DP WORLD TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP BETTING TIPS

fantasy golf

A glance back and a look ahead

Thriston Lawrence, for me, last week, really left me hanging off the edge of a cliff, unfortunately, we fell off. Three great rounds from Lawrence left us Tied 4th going into Sunday, and I was sure to cash even the each way by the skin of our teeth before we literally fell off that cliff, gutted. 

It was interesting on Sunday to see Tommy Fleetwood and Ryan Fox battling it out, both favourites at the start of the week and it confirms how hard this week it’s going to be with such a strong field ahead of us and expect we are not going to find anything past 30/1 to win in Dubai this week. 

Season’s Finale in Dubai

As ever, the DP World Tour Championship venue is the Earth Course at Jumeirah Golf Estates. The course is one of the biggest we see on all tours, to be honest, measuring at 7,675 yards. We have a mix of stunning par 3’s like the island hole, similar to what we see at the Players Championship. We have massive par 4’s like the 9th, which measures 500 yards and huge par 5’s, which surely means we need our picks to have some length here. 

The Greens are large and undulating, so we can also look for here some good putters, and we are not short, of course form round here, so I have no issue looking back at previous years. Each winner here has ranked in the top 10 for Driving Distance on the week, which undoubtedly comes into play here. To give an early indication of this, the top 5 on driving distance in this field are Rory, Arnaus, Fox, Mansell, and Kitayama. 

On the other hand, if you are good enough and straight enough, you can make a significant impact here even if you are not the longest. 

Rory McIlroy leads the DP World Tour rankings from Ryan Fox after the Kiwi’s runner-up finish last week at the Nedbank; no one else is really close enough to have a top 10 and impact those two at the top of the rankings unless they both have awful week’s, which is very unlikely. The closest player is Matt Fitzpatrick, in 3rd, whom we haven’t seen for a few weeks; who knows where his game may be at and whether he can make an impact on the finale and the big prize of the best player on the DP World Tour. 

So McIlroy heads the betting for this event outright, and it’s essential to factor in this a no cut event, so slow starters can come back from the pack and win this. However, with 10/3 looking as the likely best price for Rory, everyone is not expecting Rory to have a slow start. John Rahm is at 5/1 and is Rory’s nearest challenger in terms of the betting. John Rahm is a bit of a mentality monster at the moment, and his putter is hot enough to win this at a canter. I expect players like Matt Fitzpatrick and Viktor Hovland in behind to have an impact, and who would write off Ryan Fox with the form he has been in this year. Tommy Fleetwood comes into this with a recent win, much like Jordan Smith, who surely is a great price at 30/1. 

Previous Winners & Prices. 2021: Collin Morikawa, 15/2; 2020: Matthew Fitzpatrick, 16/1; 2019: Jon Rahm, 7/1; 2018: Danny Willett, 80/1; 2017: Jon Rahm, 12/1; 2016: Matthew Fitzpatrick, 66/1; 2015: Rory McIlroy, 5/1; 2014: Henrik Stenson, 17/2; 2013: Henrik Stenson, 11/1; 2012: Rory McIlroy, 6/1; 2011: Alvaro Quiros, 40/1; 2010: Robert Karlsson, 50/1.

So then, let’s get into the meat of it…

So for this I think we are looking at a winning score of around -20, I’m expecting, therefore, plenty of birdies and not many mistakes from those guys at the top of the leaderboard. I feel like I say straight and long every week in these previews but I for sure, expect the best players to be the ones putting the best numbers up Strokes gained Tee to Green over anything else recently. 

Length has to be a factor as mentioned earlier and Par 5 scoring also has to be a vital cog in the winner’s game this week. Putting the ball in the right place for the second shot, ‘the lay up’ on the par 5’s is going to be everything for those slightly shorter hitters and that aspect will really come into play, emphasis on both length and Par 5 scoring definitely in the model for me. 

  • SG Tee to Green
  • SG Off the tee
  • Driving Distance
  • Putting
  • Course Form
  • OWGR
  • Recent Form

Here is how that model looks for Top 25, along with their average betting odds; 

1. Rory Mcilroy 7/2

2. Matthew Fitzpatrick 9/1

3. Shane Lowry 14/1

4. Jon Rahm 9/2

5. Tommy Fleetwood 14/1

6. Adrian Meronk 70/1

7. Marcel Schneider 110/1

8. Eddie Pepperell 75/1

9. Jordan L Smith 28/1

10. Kurt Kitayama 33/1

11. Tyrrell Hatton 16/1

12. Minwoo Lee 33/1

13. Ryan Fox 28/1

14. Fabrizio Zanotti 100/1

15. Robert Macintyre 33/1

16. Adrian Otaegui 55/1

17. Thriston Lawrence 80/1

18. Richie Ramsay 70/1

19. Oliver Wilson 275/1

20. Richard Mansell 80/1

21. Jorge Campillo 200/1

22. Rasmus Hojgaard 28/1

23. Antoine Rozner 70/1

24. Sam Horsfield 75/1

25. Victor Perez 75/1

This week’s Tips 

Before I got into who I am backing this week I want to make something very clear. If Rory McIlroy gets beaten here someone has had to play very very good golf, even if he wasn’t no1 in the world right now, where his game is at and how well all parts of his game have come together every time he steps onto that first tee it’s almost unbeatable. If you can get some value on Rory this week, even if it’s just as cover it is advisable but let’s see if we can get him beaten by one of my 4 picks or even cashing in on the other markets, let’s go ! 

Viktor Hovland – 14/1 (3pts Win)

As you will notice, Viktor is not in my model, but he will not be in many models, just because most of his golf is played on the PGA Tour. In fact, he has only played on the DP World tour 4 times this year and what I saw of him at the Wentworth back in September in a similar field is enough for me to back him here at 14/1. That week at the BMW Champs, he finished tied for 4th and his approach game was just unstoppable. If we can get a repeat of that along with landing some putts, I see him giving a Rory a big head to head here on Sunday in Dubai. If you tie that along with the fact he is nearly as long as Rory and definitely as long as Rahm, 14/1 compared to the odds of the latter, it has to be a steal. If you look at Viktor’s last appearance here in 2020, he was runner up in total strokes gained against the whole field and he finished tied 3rd. If wasn’t for a couple of holes where Fitzpatrick was better around the green that year then certainly he would have won, I’m sure. Viktor has the game to win this and his around the green play has only got better since his last effort here, I really fancy him this week. 

Tommy Fleetwood – 18/1 (2pts Win)

I’m so happy to back the Hovland play with my main man Fleetwood. Tommy has just come off a win last week, morale will be through the roof and what I saw from him on Sunday, how calm and assured he looked even in spots where he didn’t want to be I am happy to have him in my card this week. Honestly, this spot could of been Ryan Fox who doesn’t stop winning but what I seen from Tommy a couple of weeks back in South Carolina, where he was putting the lights out, that all changes this 2nd pick for me. We had seen from Fleetwood in the past, the tougher the golf course, the higher up the leaderboard he could be, because he seemed to grind out the conditions, avoid bogeys and just shoot around 70 every day. But now especially from what I have seen from him last week, the CJ cup a couple of weeks ago, and even as far back as the Open, Tommy is beginning to shoot low numbers and compete with the very best, come on Tommy. 

Kurt Kitayama  – 35/1 (1pt ew) 

This one is simple for me. Kitayama, hits the ball as long as anyone, straight as anyone, and is a fantastic putter when he wants to be, especially on Bermuda grass. I also like the fact although he is normally playing on the PGA tour in recent times, he has experience around this Earth course in the past and put that together with recent form and you may find an absolute steal here at 35/1.  

Ewen Ferguson – 110/1 (0.5 ew)

Moving away from the course form or recent form I like Ferguson this week to land us something at a price I don’t believe he deserves to be. The scot is making his debut here but that’s not to say players on their debut haven’t performed well here. Ewen has won on tour twice this season, once being in the desert at the Qatar Masters not dissimilar to this week and he can can seriously dial it into pins when he is on form. His stats Tee to green are phenomenal this season, one of the best and as I said at the start of this preview, this really is the type of player I am looking for, this could just be the bet of the week!

WTT Mayakoba Betting Picks & Tips – Tom Ford Golf Tips

Tom Ford I Golf Tips, opens his Waggle Duff account with a beauty of a preview as the PGA Tour heads to Mexico. Be sure to give him a follow on Twitter, which you can find here. He is big into Golf & Racing and will give Waggle Duff adhoc breakdowns of the upcoming tournaments. Welcome aboard Tom! Now let’s get into it….

Landing Jordan Smith…. Literally at last. 

Before we discuss the WTT Mayakoba betting preview. Jordan Smith, last week, cruised into victory and it was one purely tipped up on form, a win that, let’s be honest, was due after he had 13 out of 21 top 20 finishes in 2022, with two runner-ups. Around 20/1, in my eyes, was an absolute steal that I couldn’t ignore. He also looked scarily good once he got a few shots ahead, especially come Sunday; his accuracy off the tee was immaculate and something to look out for in the future. 

The Bermuda Championship, or the wind tunnel they were all in, was much more eventful, a two-horse race it looked like until Ben Griffin folded like a cheesy omelette. It seemed that nobody could deal with the wind off the tee, and there were some odd club selections down the back 9 for much of the field at the top. A late surge from Thomas Detry wasn’t enough to clear Seamus Power, who just limped over the line. 

I question here the amount of FedEx Cup points the PGA Tour has made available for a fall event that still doesn’t attract any big names. Not that Seamus Power will moan, but I wonder how much you can take from that event and whether it’ll affect the Fedex standings going into next year. 

We head to Mexico for the WTT Mayakoba Classic

This week we head to Mexico and back to Mayakoba for probably the last time on the PGA Tour. One of the factors that come to my head with this course and location this week is; we are still at a resort course, which is not dissimilar to what we saw last week in Bermuda. This means low scores, and being accurate is much more paramount than distance. The difference to last week is that this is more likely to be played in a vacuum than a wind tunnel; I expect to see a bunched Sunday full of top ball strikers. 

There is a bigger $7.2 million purse this week, so we see a field attracting 10 of the top 40 in the world, which will impact my picks, my thoughts and your lineups if you are looking at something like a Draftkings lineup. It’s a par 71, so we are missing a big Par 5, and the course is relatively short and does play as one of the easiest courses on tour. I want to be able to tell you here that we are going to find an absolutely big odds steal this week, bang for your buck kind of week. However, we are seeing the average odds of the tournament winner come down and down every week, no matter the strength of the field. We will find some great value this week with some strange betting lines to be taken advantage of. 

WTT Mayakoba Betting

Key trends for this week… 

When I start my analysis and trends every week, I always look for what the winner will do well and what he will not get wrong. This week apart from what I have already mentioned about distance not being a factor, for me, this week it’s going to be a ball strikers paradise. The conditions will be soft, we will get more rain on Thursday, and I fully expect the winner to be firing darts and being in the top 5 for Strokes Gained Approach. 

Also, part of my model is going to be driving accuracy; obviously, to be high up on the approach stats this week, you have got to put the ball in the fairway, and the winner here every year is always putting the ball in the right place, no one winning this tournament is going to be bad off the tee. 

As always, we much touch upon the greens and the putting. Paspalum greens are pretty rare on the PGA tour, so finding trends and players that putt well on this surface can be challenging. But I am happy to look back at previous tournaments here and the likes of other resort courses in Mexico and places like TPC Kuala Lumpa that have hosted tournaments with some of these players in the field to find some positives for vital putting stats on Paspalum surfaces. 

So to summarise to assemble my model for this week these are the trends I am looking for; 
  • SG OFF THE TEE
  • SG APPROACH
  • Driving Accuracy
  • Soft Positive
  • Resort positive
  • SG Putting 
  • Paspalum Positive
  • Some recent form last ¾ weeks

Here is how that model looks for Top 25 along with their average betting odds; there certainly is a Waggle Duff fantasy League team within here. As many players reach over 50/1!

  1. Viktor Hovland 10/1
  2. Tom Hoge 28/1
  3. Andrew Putnam 66/1
  4. Billy Horschel 18/1
  5. Emiliano Grillo 35/1
  6. Brendon Todd 45/1
  7. KyoungHoon Lee 45/1
  8. Joel Dahmen 75/1
  9. Maverick McNealy 25/1
  10. Aaron Wise 18/1
  11. Hayden Buckley 75/1
  12. Tony Finau 16/1
  13. Taylor Montgomery 28/1
  14. Sam Ryder 200/1
  15. Kevin Streelman 90/1
  16. Jason Day 40/1
  17. Collin Morikawa 16/1
  18. Seonghyeon Kim 110/1
  19. Alexander Noren 55/1
  20. Brian Harman 45/1
  21. Mark Hubbard 90/1
  22. Ryan Armour 200/1
  23. Lee Hodges 75/1
  24. Harris English 60/1
  25. Scott Piercy 225/1

At the top

Let’s start at the top; I mean, why wouldn’t we right? So I’m not sure why Scottie Sheffler is ahead of Viktor Hovland here in the betting; I mean, yes, he is world number 2 now after Rory took the mantle two weeks ago; however, Hovland is on a three-timer here, and we know how much he loves these shorter courses and how well he normally plays in the fall season.

That being said, this week, yes, I prefer Viktor to Scottie. However, I am happy for both of them to be a fade of mine this week. Scottie’s putting is a problem currently; he can’t seem to find the cup, and Viktor is just not playing as strong as he was a year ago; I would like to see him in the top echelons of data for SG OFF THE TEE stats to even think about having a go on him at that price, just no value for me.

So with that being said, my thoughts this week come from the next set of guys, Morikawa, Big Tone Finau, Aaron Wise and Billy Ho; surely one of these guys has a great chance? Now I tipped up Billy Ho a few weeks back at the CJ Cup, and I did see some good signs from him but not enough to suggest he was pumped and raring to go like he was at Jacks’s place in the summer.

Morikawa, again for me trending in the right places and could really shoot something low this week but putting four rounds together right now, I don’t see happening. Wise and Finau are here for me, out of all the field at the top, the ones to really focus on. I expect one if not both, to be in my picks this week and will almost certainly be in plenty of others’ content in the next few days if you are looking about.

To see previous winners by the way at this tourney please have a look at @waggleduff preview and picks to see the full list.

Down the middle 

Now I want to talk about the middle of the market this week, mainly because I think this is where we are getting most of our value. There are ball strikers here like Hoge, Day, Todd, Detry, and Henley, who stand out to me. This group has a good mixture of finding fairways and greens consistently, which leaves me in a great place to lead, with one of these guys as my main pick. 

There are also some notable players that I have to mention here whom you can’t avoid looking at, mainly because this course suits them so much.

Emiliano Grillo, well, what can I say? Just look at his price, everything points towards him having a great week; he loves resort courses, loves short soft conditions, and his latest win coming on a resort course at the Fortinet Championship backs up his 4 out of 5 top 15 finishes here at Mayakoba in the past, worth noting. Brian Harman is another player who is perfect for these courses where finding the fairway is key and not being a bomber off the tee as important. Adam Long, great form here at Mayakoba in recent years, another you can’t ignore, and you’ll be getting a great price.

Looking at the model, the likes of Putnam, Montgomery, McNealy, Ryder, Streelman, and even SH Kim do pop off the list and I can see these players here going to shoot lows scores throughout this week. Niggling away though, there is just something about all of them that tells me they can’t get the job done across the four days and notably when it matters on a Sunday. However, I must mention these are the likes of players I would look at for First-Round Leads and DraftKings lineups if that is the markets you are looking in. 

My thoughts and plays

I want to hold out for another check on the weather this week due to some high winds, mainly at the beginning of the week and who could be on the wrong side of the draw. But this does not put me off Tony Finau or Arron Wise, to be honest with you. The latter of which, maybe not be strong enough with his putting like the former is recently, so I prefer big Tone for sure.

Tom Hoge ticks many boxes, his Irons could be hitting top form, and his driving accuracy is right up there. This week, most of the Par 4’s are around 420-450 relatively short yards, and Hoge will have wedges into many of these holes. In contrast, some of the other ball strikers in and around 30/1 will have more like a nine iron which can make a big difference between 10ft putts and 20ft putts, which as we know accumulates to more birdie chances.

I also really like some guys here that are coming under the radar a bit; KH Lee at 45/1 looks excellent value. Likewise, Brendon Todd, same price, and both these players are so accurate off the tee. I’ve had some looks at some higher prices; Matt Kuchar stands out as someone who could get a top 10 here, same with Sam Ryder, whom I mentioned earlier, who is at a massive 200/1 in most places. Jason Day at 40/1 could be a little too short for me here; I’d like the number to be around 60/1 to be comfortable to back him, however, plays on him along with Andrew Putnam for first-round leader are both something I am comfortable with doing. 

Picks and Tips

  • Tom Hoge 35/1 (3pt win) Bet365
  • Tony Finau 22/1 (1.5pt win) bet365
  • KH Lee 45/1 8 places (0.5pts ew)
  • Adam Long 75/1 8 places (0.5pts ew)
  • Emiliano Grillo Top 5 9/1 (1pt)
  • Matt Kuchar Top 10 7/1 (1pt)

US OPEN – WAGGLE DUFF PREVIEW – PLAYER LIST, ODDS & FANTASY GOLF RULES

HOW TO PLAY WAGGLE DUFF – TWITTER BASED FANTASY GOLF

Tweet a team of 5 to @WAGGLEDUFF on Twitter from the list below or complete the team submission form at the bottom of the page. You can also use the team submission form, at the bottom of the page.

Your first pick is your captain

2 picks must be 50/1 or over

Use the hashtag #waggle69

Then don’t do anything else. Sit back, enjoy the golf and wait for a notification on Twitter, letting you know when the points and tables are updated

Please note, entries close after the first tee shot is hit!

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Jon Rahm9/1
Brooks Koepka14/1
Bryson Dechambeau14/1
Dustin Johnson14/1
Jordan Spieth16/1
Rory McIlroy16/1
Xander Schauffele16/1
Collin Morikawa18/1
Justin Thomas18/1
Patrick Cantlay20/1
Tony Finau22/1
Viktor Hovland22/1
Patrick Reed25/1
Hideki Matsuyama30/1
Tyrrell Hatton30/1
Scottie Scheffler33/1
Will Zalatoris33/1
Shane Lowry35/1
Webb Simpson35/1
Daniel Berger40/1
Justin Rose40/1
Louis Oosthuizen40/1
Paul Casey40/1
Cameron Smith45/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick45/1
Abraham Ancer50/1
Garrick Higgo50/1
Joaquin Niemann50/1
Tommy Fleetwood50/1
Phil Mickelson55/1
Corey Conners60/1
Gary Woodland60/1
Jason Kokrak60/1
Marc Leishman60/1
Adam Scott66/1
Harris English66/1
Sung-Jae Im66/1
Max Homa70/1
Sam Burns70/1
Charley Hoffman80/1
Lee Westwood80/1
Sergio Garcia80/1
Branden Grace90/1
Brian Harman90/1
Bubba Watson90/1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout90/1
Billy Horschel100/1
Si Woo Kim100/1
Ryan Palmer110/1
Ian Poulter125/1
Kevin Streelman125/1
Matt Wallace125/1
Robert MacIntyre125/1
Stewart Cink125/1
Carlos Ortiz150/1
Charl Schwartzel150/1
Kevin Na150/1
Matt Kuchar150/1
Matthew Wolff150/1
Cameron Champ175/1
Francesco Molinari175/1
Matt Jones175/1
Russell Henley175/1
Bernd Wiesberger200/1
Brendon Todd200/1
Erik Van Rooyen200/1
Jhonattan Vegas200/1
Kevin Kisner200/1
Lanto Griffin200/1
Sebastian Munoz200/1
Wilco Nienaber200/1
Adam Hadwin250/1
Brendan Steele250/1
Chez Reavie250/1
Dylan Frittelli250/1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee250/1
Martin Kaymer250/1
Rafa Cabrera Bello250/1
Victor Perez250/1
Zach Johnson250/1
Guido Migliozzi300/1
Henrik Stenson300/1
J.T Poston300/1
Justin Suh300/1
Martin Laird300/1
Thomas Detry300/1
Troy Merritt300/1
Wyndham Clark300/1
Adrian Meronk400/1
Bo Hoag400/1
Cameron Young400/1
Jimmy Walker400/1
Jordan Smith400/1
Mackenzie Hughes400/1
Marcus Armitage400/1
Patrick Rodgers400/1
Sunghoon Kang400/1
Tom Hoge400/1
Akshay Bhatia500/1
Brian Stuard500/1
Chan Kim500/1
Edoardo Molinari500/1
Greyson Sigg500/1
John Huh500/1
Peter Malnati500/1
Richard Bland500/1
Robby Shelton500/1
Ryo Ishikawa500/1
Sahith Theegala500/1
Sam Ryder500/1
Taylor Pendrith500/1
Cole Hammer600/1
J.J Spaun600/1
Matthew Southgate600/1
Brad Kennedy750/1
Dylan Wu750/1
Fabian Gomez750/1
Hayden Buckley750/1
Johannes Veerman750/1
Pierceson Coody750/1
Rikuya Hoshino750/1
Thomas Aiken750/1
Wade Ormsby750/1
Alvaro Ortiz1000/1
Chris Baker1000/1
Dave Coupland1000/1
Matthias Schmid1000/1
Paul Barjon1000/1
Rick Lamb1000/1
Taylor Montgomery1000/1
Tyler Strafaci1000/1
Wilson Furr1000/1
Yosuke Asaji1000/1
Zach Sucher1000/1
Andy Pope1500/1
Charles Osborne1500/1
Dylan Meyer1500/1
Hayden Springer1500/1
Joe Highsmith1500/1
Joe Long1500/1
Luis Gagne1500/1
Michael Johnson1500/1
Stephen Allan1500/1
Andrew Kozan2000/1
Carson Schaake2000/1
Christopher Crawford2000/1
Eric Cole2000/1
Kyle Westmoreland2000/1
Luis Barco2000/1
Matthew Sharpstene2000/1
Spencer Ralston2000/1
Zach Zaback2000/1
Davis Shore2500/1
James Hervol2500/1
Mario Carmona2500/1
Roy Cootes2500/1

DAY 3 – MADE IN HIMMERLAND – WAGGLE DUFF LEADERBOARD

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45JimmyFitz16
46DerekDavidson13
47LeoDuckett11
48Bagshaw211211
49Stephen_Donnelly_9
50ShawnBell8
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52Adam876103828
53ThomsonGolf948
54Sullster1016
55JoePublicGolf6
56JtotheT774
57TintinandGolf4
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PLAYER POINS

Player Round 1Round 2Round 3 Round 4Total
ANGLES, Pep0
ANTCLIFF, Maverick0
ARMITAGE, Marcus22
ARNAUS, Adri22
AXELSEN, John52227
BAEK, Peter Launer22
BERTASIO, Nino*527
BESSELING, Wil527
BJERREGAARD, Lucas22
BJÖRK, Alexander*12517
BJØRN, Thomas*22
BLAND, Richard*107522
BROBERG, Kristoffer0
BROWN, Steven*22
CALDWELL, Jonathan*527
CAMPILLO, Jorge*22
CAÑIZARES, Alejandro0
CANTER, Laurie521017
CHANG, Yikeun*10212
CHESTERS, Ashley*0
COCKERILL, Aaron0
COUPLAND, Dave*0
CROCKER, Sean*0
DE LA RIVA, Eduardo*22
DEL REY, Alejandro22
DETRY, Thomas*22
DRYSDALE, David0
DUBUISSON, Victor*0
DUNNE, Paul0
ELVIRA, Nacho*0
ENOCH, Rhys0
EVANS, Ben*0
FARR, Oliver*527
FDEZ-CASTAÑO, Gonzalo*0
FELTON, Jarryd22
FIGUEIREDO, Pedro0
FISHER, Ross527
FORD, Matt*0
FOX, Ryan*0
GAGLI, Lorenzo22
GALLACHER, Stephen1212
GANDY, Tom0
GARCIA RODRIGUEZ, Sebastian22
GEARY, Josh7512
GONNET, Jean-Baptiste*0
GREEN, Gavin0
GUEDRA, Adam*0
GUERRIER, Julien*22
HANSEN, Joachim B.0
HANSON, Peter*0
HARDING, Justin*0
HAVRET, Grégory0
HEBERT, Benjamin0
HEISELE, Sebastian0
HELLIGKILDE, Marcus*22
HEND, Scott0
HILL, Calum22
HØJGAARD, Nicolai22
HØJGAARD, Rasmus0
HORSEY, David*22
HOWELL, David*0
JAMIESON, Scott0
JENSEN, Lasse0
JOHNSTON, Andrew*0
JORDAN, Matthew0
KARLBERG, Rikard0
KASKE, Janne0
KAWAMURA, Masahiro*57517
KEARNEY, Niall*0
KEYSER, Mathiam77
KIEFFER, Maximilian*0
KIM, Sihwan0
KITAYAMA, Kurt*21012
KJELDSEN, Søren22
KORHONEN, Mikko0
LAGERGREN, Joakim1212
LANGASQUE, Romain22
LAPORTA, Francesco0
LARRAZÁBAL, Pablo*10717
LAW, David*527
LEE, Min Woo*22
LEMKE, Niklas0
LEVY, Alexander*22
LI, Haotong*0
LORENZO-VERA, Mike*22
LUITEN, Joost*52512
MACINTYRE, Robert22
MADSEN, Morten Ørum0
MANSELL, Richard*0
MCEVOY, Richard*0
MCLEOD, Jake*0
MERONK, Adrian22
MIGLIOZZI, Guido22
MOLINARI, Edoardo*0
MØLLER, Niklas Norgaard7512
MORRISON, James0
NIENABER, Wilco0
OLESEN, Thorbjørn*527
ORMSBY, Wade*22
OTAEGUI, Adrian22
PAISLEY, Chris*22
PAPADATOS, Dimitrios527
PARATORE, Renato*22
PAVAN, Andrea*0
PAVON, Matthieu22
PEPPERELL, Eddie*22
PETERSON, Paul*0
PIGEM, Carlos0
POKE, Benjamin0
PORTEOUS, Garrick22
PORTEOUS, Haydn*22
PULKKANEN, Tapio22
QUIROS, Alvaro*0
RAI, Aaron0
RAMSAY, Richie*0
RITTHAMMER, Bernd0
ROCK, Robert0
ROUSSEL, Robin0
RUUSKA, Lauri10212
SADDIER, Adrien0
SANDBORG, Jesper0
SCALISE, Lorenzo0
SCHMITT, Max*77
SCHNEIDER, Marcel*0
SCHWAB, Matthias*57517
SCIOT-SIEGRIST, Robin0
SCRIVENER, Jason*257
SENIOR, Jack0
SHARMA, Shubhankar*21012
SHARVIN, Cormac*0
SHINKWIN, Callum22
SIEM, Marcel*0
SIMONSEN, Martin0
SIMSBY, Trevor*0
SLATTERY, Lee*0
SMITH, Jordan*257
SODERBERG, Sebastian*77
SORDET, Clément*0
SOUTHGATE, Matthew*0
STALTER, Joël*0
STONE, Brandon22
STORM, Graeme*0
SULLIVAN, Andy22
SURI, Julian0
SYME, Connor*0
TREE, Toby*0
VAN DRIEL, Darius*0
VAN MEIJEL, Lars0
VEERMAN, Johannes*0
VON DELLINGSHAUSEN, Nicolai*0
WHITNELL, Dale*5712
WIESBERGER, Bernd10171037
WINTHER, Jeff*22
WOOD, Chris0
WU, Ashun*5712
YONGCHAROENCHAI, Suradit*22
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TEAM BREAKDOWN

Next to your name is next to a number. To see your teams individual scores, scroll down to that number in the final table below (you may need to scroll a little while!)

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Next to your name is next to a number. To see your teams individual scores, scroll down to that number in the final table below (you may need to scroll a little while!)

#Name
1GuyStacey1
2GolfFather
3M30kle
4Sullster101
5MartenEriksson
6George12X
7Chief1425
8Fan70Sports
9GolfWriterKiel
10CliveWinward
11ShawnBell
12JRSpratt
13IanScagnelli
14JtotheT77
15BenCallanan2
16LinksAndWhiskey
1747_Irish
18MattTizzard
19lewisbroley88
20Steve_Br8
21SebMax33
22Andrew_Tizzard
23GaryCrooks11
24Spinney12
25CoxyYork
26Golfbynos
27Forritouno
28GiraffeHK
29HoleSaleGolf
30JoePublicGolf
31Adam87610382
32Mark34747787
33LeoDuckett
34Marrs_Jordan
35CarlosSunday
36GolfSportint55
37JohnFo89805933
38JimmyFitz
39NeverUpNeverIn1
403PuttOnly
41GrizzleyBear72
42ThomsonGolf94
43ThirtySixHoles
44WerzalGummage
45Jeremy_Hartle
46Bagshaw2112
47RichMellers
48TintinandGolf
49AndrewYJohnston
50GolfTipster5
51RichCrow2010
52Prince_Aled
53Stephen_Donnelly_
54DerekDavidson
55Sammie_D96
56DriscollMania
57AmitMoh
58Nikati
 POINTSTotalRound 1Round 2Round 3 Round 4
1GuyStacey165201850
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 JOHNSTON, Andrew*00000
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 BLAND, Richard*2210750
 LARRAZÁBAL, Pablo*1710700
 BONUS 20 ->20
2GolfFather651013200
 ARNAUS, Adri40200
 JOHNSTON, Andrew*00000
 KITAYAMA, Kurt*1202100
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 LUITEN, Joost*125250
 BONUS 20 ->20
3M30kle922530150
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 WIESBERGER, Bernd371017100
 HØJGAARD, Nicolai20200
 BLAND, Richard*2210750
 BONUS 20 ->20
4Sullster10160400
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 HØJGAARD, Rasmus00000
 SULLIVAN, Andy20200
 MOLINARI, Edoardo*00000
 KIEFFER, Maximilian*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
5MartenEriksson1372040200
 WIESBERGER, Bernd741017100
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 OTAEGUI, Adrian20200
 BJÖRK, Alexander*1701250
 BONUS 20 ->20
6George12X28101150
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*40200
 SURI, Julian00000
 BESSELING, Wil75200
 MOLINARI, Edoardo*00000
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 BONUS 20 ->
7Chief1425931031150
 WIESBERGER, Bernd741017100
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 FOX, Ryan*00000
 COCKERILL, Aaron00000
 BJÖRK, Alexander*1701250
 BONUS 20 ->
8Fan70Sports185650
 SULLIVAN, Andy40200
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 LUITEN, Joost*125250
 NIENABER, Wilco00000
 SYME, Connor*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
9GolfWriterKiel185650
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 LUITEN, Joost*125250
 NIENABER, Wilco00000
 SYME, Connor*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
10CliveWinward4551350
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 SHINKWIN, Callum20200
 SYME, Connor*00000
 SULLIVAN, Andy20200
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 BONUS 20 ->20
11ShawnBell80600
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 SULLIVAN, Andy20200
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 RAMSAY, Richie*00000
 MOLINARI, Edoardo*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
12JRSpratt431021100
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 WIESBERGER, Bernd371017100
 KIEFFER, Maximilian*00000
 ARNAUS, Adri20200
 SURI, Julian00000
 BONUS 20 ->
13IanScagnelli852028150
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 SULLIVAN, Andy20200
 WIESBERGER, Bernd371017100
 KIEFFER, Maximilian*00000
 BLAND, Richard*2210750
 BONUS 20 ->20
14JtotheT7740400
 HANSEN, Joachim B.00000
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 HARDING, Justin*00000
 KIEFFER, Maximilian*00000
 PAISLEY, Chris*20200
 BONUS 20 ->
15BenCallanan236521100
 FOX, Ryan*00000
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 MACINTYRE, Robert20200
 BJÖRK, Alexander*1701250
 SOUTHGATE, Matthew*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
16LinksAndWhiskey951528150
 SCHWAB, Matthias*345750
 MACINTYRE, Robert20200
 WIESBERGER, Bernd371017100
 LANGASQUE, Romain20200
 SOUTHGATE, Matthew*00000
 BONUS 20 ->20
1747_Irish28101150
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 CAÑIZARES, Alejandro00000
 KORHONEN, Mikko00000
 BONUS 20 ->
18MattTizzard3310650
 LUITEN, Joost*245250
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 LEMKE, Niklas00000
 RITTHAMMER, Bernd00000
 BONUS 20 ->
19lewisbroley884251000
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*145200
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido20200
 OTAEGUI, Adrian20200
 LEE, Min Woo*20200
 HØJGAARD, Nicolai20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
20Steve_Br82301650
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 HØJGAARD, Rasmus00000
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido20200
 DUBUISSON, Victor*00000
 BJÖRK, Alexander*1701250
 BONUS 20 ->
21SebMax3365101350
 SCHWAB, Matthias*345750
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido20200
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 OTAEGUI, Adrian20200
 SYME, Connor*00000
 BONUS 20 ->20
22Andrew_Tizzard831521100
 WIESBERGER, Bernd741017100
 JOHNSTON, Andrew*00000
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 SYME, Connor*00000
 FISHER, Ross75200
 BONUS 20 ->
23GaryCrooks11581526150
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 WIESBERGER, Bernd371017100
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 NIENABER, Wilco00000
 SYME, Connor*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
24Spinney121031526250
 WIESBERGER, Bernd741017100
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 HØJGAARD, Rasmus00000
 KITAYAMA, Kurt*1202100
 KIEFFER, Maximilian*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
25CoxyYork3851150
 SCHWAB, Matthias*345750
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido20200
 MERONK, Adrian20200
 DUBUISSON, Victor*00000
 MOLINARI, Edoardo*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
26Golfbynos195950
 HANSEN, Joachim B.00000
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 HØJGAARD, Nicolai20200
 SYME, Connor*00000
 SOUTHGATE, Matthew*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
27Forritouno165650
 FOX, Ryan*00000
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido20200
 LUITEN, Joost*125250
 LEE, Min Woo*20200
 SURI, Julian00000
 BONUS 20 ->
28GiraffeHK80600
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 HØJGAARD, Rasmus00000
 HANSEN, Joachim B.00000
 HØJGAARD, Nicolai20200
 KJELDSEN, Søren20200
 BONUS 20 ->
29HoleSaleGolf405850
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*40200
 SULLIVAN, Andy20200
 LUITEN, Joost*125250
 MOLINARI, Edoardo*00000
 ARMITAGE, Marcus20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
30JoePublicGolf60400
 SULLIVAN, Andy40200
 JOHNSTON, Andrew*00000
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 DUBUISSON, Victor*00000
 KIEFFER, Maximilian*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
31Adam8761038280600
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido40200
 HARDING, Justin*00000
 JOHNSTON, Andrew*00000
 ORMSBY, Wade*20200
 PARATORE, Renato*20200
 BONUS 20 ->
32Mark34747787405800
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*145200
 HILL, Calum20200
 FOX, Ryan*00000
 HØJGAARD, Nicolai20200
 LEE, Min Woo*20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
33LeoDuckett115400
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*40200
 HØJGAARD, Rasmus00000
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 KIEFFER, Maximilian*00000
 MANSELL, Richard*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
34Marrs_Jordan1051523100
 WIESBERGER, Bernd741017100
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 KIEFFER, Maximilian*00000
 STONE, Brandon20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
35CarlosSunday300800
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 SULLIVAN, Andy20200
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido20200
 OTAEGUI, Adrian20200
 KIEFFER, Maximilian*00000
 BONUS 20 ->20
36GolfSportint55405800
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*145200
 MACINTYRE, Robert20200
 SULLIVAN, Andy20200
 STONE, Brandon20200
 NIENABER, Wilco00000
 BONUS 20 ->20
37JohnFo8980593355513150
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 DETRY, Thomas*20200
 KITAYAMA, Kurt*1202100
 SYME, Connor*00000
 BONUS 20 ->20
38JimmyFitz1604100
 HILL, Calum40200
 FOX, Ryan*00000
 HARDING, Justin*00000
 KITAYAMA, Kurt*1202100
 SURI, Julian00000
 BONUS 20 ->
39NeverUpNeverIn126101150
 HØJGAARD, Rasmus00000
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido20200
 MOLINARI, Edoardo*00000
 BLAND, Richard*2210750
 BONUS 20 ->
403PuttOnly971530150
 SCHWAB, Matthias*345750
 WIESBERGER, Bernd371017100
 LANGASQUE, Romain20200
 LEVY, Alexander*20200
 MERONK, Adrian20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
41GrizzleyBear722310650
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 LUITEN, Joost*125250
 SYME, Connor*00000
 RAMSAY, Richie*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
42ThomsonGolf9480600
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido40200
 OTAEGUI, Adrian20200
 SOUTHGATE, Matthew*00000
 MOLINARI, Edoardo*00000
 HILL, Calum20200
 BONUS 20 ->
43ThirtySixHoles28511100
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido40200
 MOLINARI, Edoardo*00000
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 RAMSAY, Richie*00000
 SMITH, Jordan*70250
 BONUS 20 ->
44WerzalGummage215950
 MERONK, Adrian40200
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 JOHNSTON, Andrew*00000
 NIENABER, Wilco00000
 SURI, Julian00000
 BONUS 20 ->
45Jeremy_Hartle47510100
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 LUITEN, Joost*125250
 MERONK, Adrian20200
 HØJGAARD, Nicolai20200
 SMITH, Jordan*70250
 BONUS 20 ->20
46Bagshaw2112115600
 CHESTERS, Ashley*00000
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 DUBUISSON, Victor*00000
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 SULLIVAN, Andy20200
 BONUS 20 ->
47RichMellers601513100
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 LUITEN, Joost*125250
 BLAND, Richard*2210750
 MOLINARI, Edoardo*00000
 BONUS 20 ->20
48TintinandGolf40400
 JOHNSTON, Andrew*00000
 HILL, Calum20200
 ARNAUS, Adri20200
 HEISELE, Sebastian00000
 KIEFFER, Maximilian*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
49AndrewYJohnston00000
 HØJGAARD, Rasmus00000
 JOHNSTON, Andrew*00000
 RAI, Aaron00000
 NIENABER, Wilco00000
 SURI, Julian00000
 BONUS 20 ->
50GolfTipster560102800
 HØJGAARD, Nicolai40200
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 MERONK, Adrian20200
 AXELSEN, John2752200
 JENSEN, Lasse00000
 BONUS 20 ->20
51RichCrow20105058150
 MIGLIOZZI, Guido40200
 SULLIVAN, Andy20200
 LUITEN, Joost*125250
 KITAYAMA, Kurt*1202100
 NIENABER, Wilco00000
 BONUS 20 ->20
52Prince_Aled57151550
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 BLAND, Richard*2210750
 STONE, Brandon20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
53Stephen_Donnelly_95400
 FOX, Ryan*00000
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 DETRY, Thomas*20200
 MOLINARI, Edoardo*00000
 VEERMAN, Johannes*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
54DerekDavidson135600
 HILL, Calum40200
 MACINTYRE, Robert20200
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*75200
 NIENABER, Wilco00000
 SYME, Connor*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
55Sammie_D962351150
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 PEPPERELL, Eddie*20200
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 NIENABER, Wilco00000
 SOUTHGATE, Matthew*00000
 BONUS 20 ->
56DriscollMania70201850
 OLESEN, Thorbjørn*145200
 SCHWAB, Matthias*175750
 PARATORE, Renato*20200
 HEBERT, Benjamin00000
 LARRAZÁBAL, Pablo*1710700
 BONUS 20 ->20
57AmitMoh2356100
 MACINTYRE, Robert40200
 CANTER, Laurie1752100
 RAI, Aaron00000
 NIENABER, Wilco00000
 STONE, Brandon20200
 BONUS 20 ->
58Nikati51101100
 WIESBERGER, Bernd2010
 SULLIVAN, Andy20200
 HØJGAARD, Rasmus00000
 SCHMITT, Max*70700
 STONE, Brandon20200
 BONUS 20 ->20

WAGGLE DUFF OPEN – GRAN CANARIA OPEN

Welcome back everybody! Waggle Duff returns, and firstly this week will be the European Tour due to the reduced “teamed” field at Zurich (poor planning by me)

Below is the player list and rules.

  1. Tweet 5 players to @WaggleDuff on twitter, ensure you use the hashtag #WAGGLE69
  2. Your first pick is your captain and will score double points
  3. You must pick 2 players who are 50/1 or greater, as per the list below.

*Deadline is strictly the first T-Shot on Thursday*

Antoine Rozner14/1
Matthias Schwab20/1
Andy Sullivan22/1
Sam Horsfield22/1
Kurt Kitayama25/1
Rafa Cabrera Bello25/1
Calum Hill28/1
Fabrizio Zanotti30/1
John Catlin30/1
Joost Luiten33/1
Kalle Samooja33/1
Mikko Korhonen33/1
Romain Langasque33/1
Victor Dubuisson33/1
Justin Harding35/1
Mike Lorenzo-Vera35/1
Garrick Higgo40/1
Guido Migliozzi40/1
Jamie Donaldson40/1
Joachim B. Hansen40/1
Johannes Veerman40/1
Marcus Armitage40/1
Wil Besseling40/1
Sean Crocker45/1
Thorbjorn Olesen45/1
Adri Arnaus50/1
Dean Burmester50/1
Maximilian Kieffer50/1
Adrian Otaegui55/1
Andrew Johnston60/1
Masahiro Kawamura66/1
Niklas Lemke66/1
Paul Waring66/1
Jeff Winther70/1
Jordan Smith70/1
Justin Walters70/1
Matthew Jordan70/1
Alexander Bjork80/1
Ashun Wu80/1
Connor Syme80/1
Dale Whitnell80/1
Eddie Pepperell80/1
Jorge Campillo80/1
Nino Bertasio80/1
Ross Fisher80/1
Scott Jamieson80/1
Alexander Levy100/1
Benjamin Hebert100/1
Louis De Jager100/1
Pablo Larrazabal100/1
Pep Angles100/1
Richie Ramsay100/1
Matthew Southgate110/1
Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez110/1
Steven Brown110/1
Adrian Meronk125/1
Alejandro Canizares125/1
Ashley Chesters125/1
Darius Van Driel125/1
Gaganjeet Bhullar125/1
Jack Senior125/1
James Morrison125/1
Maverick Antcliff125/1
Ondrej Lieser125/1
Sebastian Heisele125/1
Aaron Cockerill150/1
Austin Bautista150/1
Chris Wood150/1
Garrick Porteous150/1
Grant Forrest150/1
Joakim Lagergren150/1
Julien Guerrier150/1
Lorenzo Gagli150/1
Nicolai Hojgaard150/1
Richard Bland150/1
Richard McEvoy150/1
Cormac Sharvin175/1
Francesco Laporta175/1
Gonzalo F-Castano175/1
Julian Suri175/1
Sebastian Soderberg175/1
Shubhankar Sharma175/1
Alejandro Del Rey200/1
Clement Sordet200/1
David Drysdale200/1
Marcel Schneider200/1
Matthieu Pavon200/1
Nacho Elvira200/1
Nicolai Von Dellingshausen200/1
Ricardo Santos200/1
Richard Mansell200/1
Rikard Karlberg200/1
Soren Kjeldsen200/1
Zander Lombard200/1
Adrien Saddier250/1
Eduard Rousaud250/1
Jake McLeod250/1
Jean-Baptiste Gonnet250/1
Lars Van Meijel250/1
Lucas Bjerregaard250/1
Matt Ford250/1
Max Schmitt250/1
Pedro Oriol250/1
SSP Chawrasia250/1
Scott Fernandez250/1
Sihwan Kim250/1
Toby Tree250/1
Tom Sloman250/1
Ajeetesh Sandhu300/1
Dave Coupland300/1
David Law300/1
Oliver Farr300/1
Oliver Wilson300/1
Peter Hanson300/1
Rhys Enoch300/1
Lee Slattery350/1
Paul Dunne350/1
Robin Sciot-Siegrist350/1
Alfredo Garcia-Heredia400/1
Alvaro Quiros400/1
Ben Evans400/1
Berry Henson400/1
Edoardo Molinari400/1
Eduardo De La Riva400/1
Euan Walker400/1
Gregory Havret400/1
Jonathan Caldwell400/1
Niall Kearney400/1
Suradit Yongcharoenchai400/1
Andrea Pavan500/1
Benjamin Poke500/1
Haydn Porteous500/1
Ivan Cantero Gutierrez500/1
Joel Stalter500/1
Liam Johnston500/1
Oliver Fisher500/1
Pedro Figueiredo500/1
Robin Roussel500/1
Samuel Del Val500/1
Steven Tiley500/1
Tapio Pulkkanen500/1
Ross McGowan600/1
Yi-Keun Chang600/1
Carlos Pigem750/1
Raphael Jacquelin750/1
Tyler Koivisto750/1
Borja Virto1000/1
David Howell1000/1
Ignacio Urriza Fuentes1000/1
Janne Kaske1000/1
Oscar Sanchez1000/1
Tom Gandy1000/1
Carl Suneson1500/1

Kenya Savannah Classic 2021 – GOLF BETTING preview and TIPS

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Written by @MattTizzard for @WaggleDuff

WAGGLE DUFF fantasy golf returns to The PGA TOUR this week, you can see the format for the DELL WGC MATCHPLAY here.

Below is the betting preview for the KENYA SAVANNAH CLASSIC

KENYA SAVANNAH CLASSIC – BETTING PREVIEW

Déjà vu, here we are again. Karen Club, Kenya for our 2nd instalment of European Tour action from Africa. For the players, it’s a short 1-day break then back to it, as this event is run from TUESDAY – FRIDAY. The short 6900 course will again be a birdie fest, but we do expect some rain and maybe some storm delays on Tuesday.

I liked my plays last week, OTAEGUI, RAI and HANSEN threatened top 6 at times but didn’t quite get there. I did get carried away with covering a number of other players who were towards tiple digits. TONG LI withdrew and I will not continue my support, MOLINARI I poked at early Thursday morning, but he missed the cut.

I did catch HARDING after day 1 at 18/1 and I felt this was good value for money with SOUTH AFRICANS performing typically well. HARDING closed out a bogey free 66 to get the win on Sunday.

This week, I am going to go a little left wing away from the popular picks (RAI, HANSEN, VEERMAN) but give myself good value in returns. This course and field give you an opportunity to do. With many players threatening over the course of the MAGICAL KENYA OPEN.

  • For @GolfBets101 WGC Matchplay preview – click here
  • For @MattTizzard WGC Matchplay preview – click here

WHAT WE LEARNT FROM LAST WEEK

It is a short course and a birdie fest so being good off the Tee is key. Players that ripped apart the par 5’s and drove right down or on the short par 4s seemed to pick up the birdies necessary. The beast that is NIENABER ticks this box and is 33/1.

A lot of players can make the birdies on what is an easier course to climb the leaderboard. Again, I think this is a field to bet low but cover with many outsiders who have the game to potentially threaten, HEND gets there at 150/1.

I have a mix in my picks this week, although tempting to go with HARDING and KITAYAMA after last week, I am going to pass. I never like backing back-to-back winners and after watching KITAYAMA I did feel he was fighting his swing, particularly off the tee.

He was using his hands a lot through impact to flick the ball straight. I am not sure this is sustainable over another 4 days of tournament play, starting less than 48 hours after the MAGICAL KENYA OPEN.

SUMMARY OF PICKS

  • Wilco NIENABER 33/1 – (0.5u)
  • Niklas LEMKE 50/1 (0.75u E/W)
  • Pep ANGLES 70/1 – (0.25u E/W)
  • Soren KJELDSEN 125/1 – (0.25u E/W)
  • Scott HEND 150/1 – (0.25u E/W)

OTHER PLAYERS CONSIDERED

  • Justin HARDING
  • Aaron RAI
  • Adrian OTAEGUI
  • Dean BURMESTER

KEY STATS

GIR

Putting

Birdie Performance

Last week’s performance indicator

THE COURSE

Parkland style, tight but not as tight as appears on TV

Small greens, pushes me towards GIR stats

Short course compared to most.

RECENT WINNERS MAGICAL KENYAN OPEN (PLAYED ON SAME COURSE)

2021 –  Justin Harding

2019 – Guido Migliozzi

2018 – Lorenzo Gagli

2017 – Aaron Rai

2016 – Sebastian Soderberg

2015 – Haydn Porteous

2015 – Jake Roos

2013 – Jordi Garcia Pinto

2012 – Seve Benson

2011 – Mihiel Bothma

2010 – Robert Dinwiddie

Wilco NIENABER 33/1 – (0.5u)

Ticks the boxes for me off the Tee. Can rip the course apart if kept straight.  A little undetected in his -10 total for last week, however constantly a popular pick and tip.

Niklas LEMKE 50/1 (0.75u E/W)

LEMKE came T33 last week, remember it is the same course, and this was his worst finish in his last 5 appearances. LEMKE’s recent finishes are T9 (Cyprus), T11 (Joburg Open), T8 (Dubai DP World), T9 (Qatar Masters).

He also made more than enough birdies to challenge last week, just made a number of mistakes. LEMKE is in good form and if he can go a step further can get inside the Top 6. A good each way bet at 50/1/

Pep ANGLES 70/1 – (0.25u E/W)

Solid performance last week finishing T8th. A good price of 70/1 for ANGLES and the game to show. ANGLES ticks the boxes with the length and accuracy of the Tee and kept it quite straight last week. He ranked 6th T2G on the Friday and he ranked 1st off the tee on the Saturday, which indicates the swing is in place.

His approach play let him down, and that was the difference between his performance and KITAYAMA, particularly in round 1, ANGLES ranked 101st in approach play.

ANGLES is a recent winner on the Challenge Tour and this course has historically been a Challenge Tour venue. That combined with a watered-down field for the European Tour, there is no reason he can’t go one better this week.

Soren KJELDSEN 125/1 – (0.25u E/W)

A little emotional pick, but I noticed KJLEDSEN T14 after round 1 last week. I also looked back at his cards and he only dropped 6 shots all week. Where he failed was taking advantages of the Par 5’s and short Par 4’s which the bigger hitters will do.

When play starts tomorrow there is a good chance that rain, and storms may come into play. Someone like KJELDSEN with his tight compact swing and the way he plots round the course could get himself into contention. Particularly if those conditions come into pay.

If he can have a hot week with the putter, KJLEDSEN will be in with a chance, he is always going to find the greens in regulation, just maybe with slightly longer putts!

Scott HEND 150/1 – (0.25u E/W)

Exceptional price, considering HEND was right up there until the last round. He closed with a 73.

Although let’s not ignore the previous 67, 64, 68.

Within that 68 he effectively dropped 4 shots on the field on the short par 4 10th and par 5 11th. The game is there to pick the sticks up tomorrow and compete.

DAY 3 – WAGGLE DUFF LEADERBOARD – KENYA OPEN

#NamePoints
1DriscolMania112
2GolfSportint5595
3LinksandWhiskey92
4CliveWinward90
5Sammie_D9677
6DerekDavidson75
7M30kle72
8njholden70
9GirleyGolfer201370
10Steve_Br865
11JRSpratt65
12MyGhanaland65
13PhilTunstill62
143PuttOnly62
15CoxyYork62
16JimmyFitz60
17RichCrow201057
18BeenBane55
19PeterSmith27252
20GiraffeHK50
21Bagshaw211250
22AHawk30050
23LeoDuckett48
24ThirtySixHoles45
25D_Doback45
26Spinney1242
27JStanBets42
28GrizzleyBear7240
29GolfFather40
30GaryCrooks1140
31AmitMoh40
32Liam_Latimer40
33WerzalGummage40
34GolfWriterKiel40
35MartenEriksson40
36nicksmith_m40
37SebMax3338
38IanScagnelli37
39Steve_Donnelly33
40Marrs_Jordan33
41GolfTipster533
42TheMitchTobin33
43PaulJacksonGolf30
44MattTizzard30
45JoePublicGolf30
4647_Irish30
47Andrew_Tizzard30
48GuyStacey130
49AndrewYJohnston28
50Jeremy_Hartle16
51BrandanPoole11
52thejackal19618
53HoleSaleGolf8
54RichMellers8
55RyanBarney866
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Player Round 1Round 2Round 3 Round 4Total
B Herbert15217
A Meronk10212
S Horsfield10212
R Jaquelin10717
B Ritthammer102517
K Samooja1012527
C Hill107522
C Syme107522
J Suri55
J Harding571527
M Southgate5712
D Whitnell527
G Bhullar527
S Hend12517
R Ramsay77
D Burmester7512
K Kitiyama7512
G Higgo7512
J Donaldson22
J Senior22
S Kjeldsen22
J B Gonnet257
V Dubuisson22
G Migliozzi257
W Nienaber22
N Bertasio22
A Otaegui22
F Laporta22
L Van Meijel22
A Rai22
JB Hansen22
M Schwab22
R Santos22
O Wilson22
R Langasque22
S Garcia Rodriguez22
P Angles22
G Green22
J Veerman21012
J Schaper21012
G Coetzee22
J Walters22
N Lemke22
J Smith22
B Evans22
D Perrier22
M Schneider22
R Sciot-Siegrist22
J Luiten22
K Moon22
G Porteous22
D Fichardt22
G Forrest22
J Fahrbring22
JC Ritchie22
A Chesters22
B Poke22
R Karlberg22
S Vincent22
G Harvet 22
R McEvoy257
S Chege22
O Lieser22
R Bland22
L Slattery22
J Catlin22
M Kieffer22
A Cockerill22
L Scalise22
J Guerrier22
D Van Driel22
T Tree22
L Gagli22
R Wattel22
H Porteous22
L De Jager22
J Kruyswilk257
M Ford22
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 POINTSTotalRound 1Round 2Round 3 Round 4
1GrizzleyBear724010800
 V Dubuisson40200
 J Luiten20200
 S Horsfield1210200
 R Bland20200
 A Levy0
 BONUS 20 ->20
2GolfFather4010800
 G Coetzee40200
 S Horsfield1210200
 J Donaldson20200
 J Smith20200
 H Tong Li0
 BONUS 20 ->20
3Spinney1242010100
 J Donaldson40200
 G Coetzee20200
 M Schawb20200
 J Schaper1202100
 W Nienaber20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
4AndrewYJohnston28011100
 G Migliozzi140250
 C Paisley0
 G Higgo120750
 A Otaegui20200
 J Campillo0
 BONUS 20 ->
5BrandanPoole110650
 C Paisley0
 A Rai20200
 G Migliozzi70250
 J Janewattananond0
 W Nienaber20200
 BONUS 20 ->
6Steve_Donnelly33511150
 G Coetzee40200
 J Harding2757150
 J Janewattananond0
 J Catlin20200
 A Levy0
 BONUS 20 ->
7M30kle72020200
 K Kitayama240750
 G Higgo120750
 J Veerman1202100
 J Smith20200
 J Catlin20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
8RyanBarney8660600
 J Janewattananond0
 A Otaegui20200
 A Rai20200
 C Sordet0
 W Nienaber20200
 BONUS 20 ->
9Marrs_Jordan33511150
 A Rai40200
 J Harding2757150
 R Langasque20200
 Campilo0
 Armitage0
 BONUS 20 ->
10GiraffeHK5010850
 G Migliozzi140250
 S Horsfield1210200
 A Otaegui20200
 J Janewattananond0
 J Senior20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
11CliveWinward90518200
 J Harding5457150
 J Donaldson20200
 D Burmester120750
 J Janewattananond0
 J Smith20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
12PhilTunstill62515200
 G Coetzee40200
 G Migliozzi70250
 J Harding2757150
 V Dubuisson20200
 J Smith20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
13GolfTipster533011100
 G Higgo240750
 D Van Tonder0
 J Donaldson20200
 R Mansell0
 J Kruyswijk70250
 BONUS 20 ->
143PuttOnly6202050
 S Hend3401250
 R Langasque20200
 JB Hansen20200
 J Smith20200
 J Senior20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
15thejackal196180600
 J Donaldson40200
 N Lemke20200
 J Luiten20200
 J Janewattananond0
 M Kawamura0
 BONUS 20 ->
16JStanBets4201050
 G Migliozzi140250
 A Rai20200
 N Lemke20200
 O Lieser20200
 L Van Meijel20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
17CoxyYork62015150
 K Kitayama240750
 Veerman1202100
 JB Hansen20200
 W Nienaber20200
 L Van Meijel20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
18GolfSportint55952023250
 G Migliozzi140250
 K Samooja27101250
 G Bhullar75200
 J Harding2757150
 J Campillo0
 BONUS 20 ->20
19Steve_Br865023150
 G Migliozzi140250
 K Kitayama120750
 G Higgo120750
 J Janewattananond0
 R Ramsay70700
 BONUS 20 ->20
20PaulJacksonGolf300800
 G Coetzee40200
 M Schawb20200
 J Luiten20200
 J Campillo0
 V Dubuisson20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
21Bagshaw211250013100
 G Migliozzi140250
 K Kitayama120750
 J Donaldson20200
 A Otaegui20200
 A Levy0
 BONUS 20 ->20
22JRSpratt65251350
 A Otaegui40200
 M Armitage0
 G Bhullar75200
 C Syme2210750
 A Meronk1210200
 BONUS 20 ->20
23PeterSmith27252015100
 G Migliozzi140250
 A Rai20200
 K Kitayama120750
 S Vincent20200
 J Catlin20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
24njholden70513200
 G Higgo240750
 D Whitnell75200
 S Schaper1202100
 J Kruyswijk70250
 S Lowry//////////0
 BONUS 20 ->20
25TheMitchTobin33511150
 A Rai40200
 G Coetzee20200
 J Harding2757150
 J Lagergren0
 G Fdez-Castano0
 BONUS 20 ->
26LinksandWhiskey921520100
 K Samooja54101250
 A Rai20200
 G Migliozzi70250
 G Bhullar75200
 J Walters20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
27Jeremy_Hartle1601150
 A Levy0
 G Higgo120750
 JC Ritchie20200
 G Coetzee20200
 M Kawamura0
 BONUS 20 ->
28MattTizzard300800
 JB Hansen40200
 A Otaegui20200
 L De Jager20200
 A Rai20200
 H Tong Li0
 BONUS 20 ->20
29MyGhanaland65513200
 D Whitnell145200
 S Schaper1202100
 J Kruyswijk70250
 G Higgo120750
 S Lowry//////////0
 BONUS 20 ->20
30GaryCrooks114001350
 G Coetzee40200
 K Kitayama120750
 J Donaldson20200
 J Janewattananond0
 W Nienaber20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
31Sammie_D96771020200
 G Migliozzi140250
 J Harding2757150
 M Schawb20200
 M Southgate125700
 S Vincent20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
32BeenBane55513100
 G Migliozzi140250
 A Rai20200
 K Kitayama120750
 G Bhullar75200
 J Campillo0
 BONUS 20 ->20
33AmitMoh4001350
 A Rai40200
 G Coetzee20200
 D Burmester120750
 W Nienaber20200
 S Soderberg0
 BONUS 20 ->20
34RichCrow201057515100
 G Migliozzi140250
 A Rai20200
 G Higgo120750
 W Nienaber20200
 G Bhullar75200
 BONUS 20 ->20
35Liam_Latimer4051300
 J Donaldson40200
 G Coetzee20200
 M Schawb20200
 J Janewattananond0
 M Southgate125700
 BONUS 20 ->20
36JoePublicGolf300800
 J Donaldson40200
 M Schawb20200
 A Rai20200
 V Dubuisson20200
 A Levy0
 BONUS 20 ->20
37ThirtySixHoles455850
 G Migliozzi140250
 JB Hansen20200
 D Whitnell75200
 L Van Meijel20200
 R Enoch0
 BONUS 20 ->20
3847_Irish300800
 M Schwab40200
 G Coetzee20200
 J Donaldson20200
 J Smith20200
 S Soderberg0
 BONUS 20 ->20
39Andrew_Tizzard300800
 J Luiten40200
 A Rai20200
 J Janewattananond0
 R Bland20200
 S Kjeldsen20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
40HoleSaleGolf80600
 G Coetzee40200
 A Rai20200
 JB Hansen20200
 E Molinari0
 A Quiros0
 BONUS 20 ->
41DriscolMania1121525250
 J Harding5457150
 K Samooja27101250
 G Migliozzi70250
 J Catlin20200
 R Langasque20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
42LeoDuckett481011150
 K Kitayama240750
 C Paisley0
 S Horsfield1210200
 J Schaper1202100
 L Bjerregaard0
 BONUS 20 ->
43DerekDavidson751518200
 G Coetzee40200
 J Harding2757150
 C Hill2210750
 W Nienaber20200
 A Levy0
 BONUS 20 ->20
44AHawk3005001350
 G Higgo240750
 N Lemke20200
 D Van Tonder0
 L De Jager20200
 JC Ritchie20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
45WerzalGummage4010800
 W Nienaber40200
 J Catlin20200
 S Horsfield1210200
 A Rai20200
 S Sharma0
 BONUS 20 ->20
46GirleyGolfer201370201350
 S Horsfield2410200
 M Schawb20200
 J Smith20200
 Syme2210750
 C Sharvin0
 BONUS 20 ->20
47GolfWriterKiel4001350
 W Nienaber40200
 J Janewattananond0
 K Kitayama120750
 A Rai20200
 J Donaldson20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
48D_Doback45013100
 R Langasque40200
 G Migliozzi70250
 G Higgo120750
 J Janewattananond0
 JC Ritchie20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
49RichMellers80600
 J Donaldson40200
 J Janewattananond0
 R Mansell0
 G Coetzee20200
 A Rai20200
 BONUS 20 ->
50JimmyFitz60    
 G Higgo240750
 K Kitiyama120750
 C Paisley0
 L De Jager20200
 S Vincent20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
51GuyStacey1300800
 J Donaldson40200
 J Luiten20200
 G Coetzee20200
 V Dubuisson20200
 A Levy0
 BONUS 20 ->20
52IanScagnelli3701050
 R Langasque40200
 A Rai20200
 G Migliozzi70250
 L De Jager20200
 R Bland20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
53MartenEriksson4001350
 M Schawb40200
 K Kitayama120750
 N Lemke20200
 J Lagergren0
 A Otaegui20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
54nicksmith_m4001350
 J Smith40200
 K Kitayama120750
 M Armitage0
 G Coetzee20200
 G Green20200
 BONUS 20 ->20
55SebMax3338011150
 K Kitayama240750
 S Schaper1202100
 M Armitage0
 D Van Tonder0
 G Coetzee20200
 BONUS 20 ->

MAGICAL KEYNA OPEN – BETTING PREVIEW

By @MattTizzard

For this weeks PGA TOUR Betting Preview click here – by @GolfBets101

MAGICAL KENYAN OPEN – BETTING PREVIEW

The European Tour heads to Africa now and begins with the Magical Kenya Open. Certainly, one from the B side of the European Tour schedule. This event has flicked between the Safari Tour, Challenge Tour and now European Tour . Still, we shake things up on WAGGLE DUFF and feature the Kenya Open this week.

There is a reason to put a case forward for many 3 digit players this week, its very exciting. Certainly a week to bet small and go for the higher odds players. I have tried to not get carried away, but you can make a case for and I have considered the following;

  • McEvoy – Tweeted about him earlier! 150/1
  • Kjeldsen – 150/1
  • Lars Van Meijel 150/1
  • Bjerregaard 175/1
  • Rithammer 175/1

However, below is who I have backed. This week I have got a little emotional over OTAEGUI and TONG LI. I believe statistically the other 3 are good performers!

SUMMARY OF PICKS

  • Louis De Jager – 55/1 – 1pt EW
  • Joachim B Hansen – 40/1 pt EW
  • Aaron Rai – 28/1 – 1pt EW
  • Adrian Otaegui – 40/1 – 0.5pt EW
  • Hao Tong Li – 125/1 – 0.5pt EW

KEY STATS

GIR

Putting

Birdie Performance

THE COURSE

Parkland style, tight but not as tight as appears on TV

Small greens, pushes me towards GIR stats

Short course compared to most.

RECENT WINNERS

2019 – Guido Migliozzi

2018 – Lorenzo Gagli

2017 – Aaron Rai

2016 – Sebastian Soderberg

2015 – Haydn Porteous

2015 – Jake Roos

2013 – Jordi Garcia Pinto

2012 – Seve Benson

2011 – Mihiel Bothma

2010 – Robert Dinwiddie

Louis De Jager 55/1 (1pt E/W)

Louis scored highest on the Golf Betting System model that I used for this event. He was also 4th on the official model used by Steve & Paul. The key difference is Driving accuracy will play a part in leading me towards some of my other picks below.

Louis flicks between African and European Tours, which I hope will put him right at home this week.

The South African doesn’t smash the trend of straight hitters, he’s a bit of a monster rather than someone that plots his way around the course. Yet, across the key stats of Driving, Approach, Putting, and Scrambling he has improved from 2019 into 2020.

He has made 9 of his last 10 cuts, which indicates the game is there He can now push on from the T10 in Cyprus late last year.

Joachim B Hansen 30/1 (1pt E/W)

I watched HANSEN at the BMW PGA last year and thought he looked excellent. Since then he has won the JOBURG OPEN and finished 9th last week in Qatar. Players in the typically do well here. I think HANSEN will relish returning to Africa and will be full of confidence come Thursday morning. He also smashes the ball striking stats, which will be important this week.

HANSEN had a good week last week and enters the Kenya Open in good form. His approach play was excellent, and this is a key stat for this week.

Aaron Rai – 28/1 (1pt E/W)

Ok, people know I like Rai a lot. Now using the GolfBettingSystem.com model, Aaron Rai ranks highly due to his putting stats.

Aaron also has a good finish this year, coming T18 in the Workday WGC, against the big boys may I add. A little like Adrian Otaegui he typically starts seasons slow and grows into them. I think this shift following such a good performance in a WGC event will give him a boost.

Aaron is great off the tee, good into the green and good with the putter. I have weighted GIR and putting as the key stats and he is 10th on my model.

Adrian Otaegui 40/1 (1pt E/W)

Ok, my last 2 picks are more on the gut then the stats. I know this isn’t what you read this for, but this is my justification! I would add, I was right with Spieth EW at the WASTE MANAGEMENT Phoenix Open a few weeks ago!

Apart from 2018, recent winners have been towards the -20 mark. What this means is players that can make birdies will do well, and we can look no further than Italian OTAEGUI. I said OTAEGUI starts seasons slow, and yet again he has. So potentially its now time to see him find a groove. Changing from the sandy Arabian courses to the more parkland Karen Club will suit him. There is also a correlation between tight Italian & Spanish courses and good performers in Kenya.

Adrian does frustrate me, in the last 3 weeks he has shot rounds in the 60s, so the game is there. It’s the consistency. I thought that given this week is a bit more of a parkland course, accuracy off the tee is important.

Either way, OTAEGUI has the long game and ranks 11th off the tee this season on Tour. He can certainly put himself in position. Also the KAREN CLUB isn’t the longest course on tour, which will suit his short, accurate play.

Everyone remembers what he did in Scotland, going crazy low to win. It’s in the locker and 40/1 against this field is a good bet.

Hao Tong Li – 125/1 (0.5pt E/W)

Before I start, Li is WELL OUT OF FORM but I have some justification.

It feels like Li has been kicking about for 10 years, well he actually has. He played when he was 14 in the Volvo China Open. This means now he is still only 25 years old, although he has a lot of experiences that can arm him for a big 2021. He’s played in all the majors, WGC and even in the Olympics. Between such events, he holds 6 wins across the European Tour, OneAsia Tour and PGA Tour China.

LI lead the PGA Championship last year by 2 strokes after round 1 last year. He has the experience and game to do well, despite a lack of form and maybe some motivation.

On paper, he doesn’t smash anything so more a gut pick. Either way, 125/1 is a ridiculous price! Surely if I stick with him his good week will come and we will have a lovely payout, right? (+EV pick?)

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 2021 – ENTRY LIST & ODDS

Hi all, The European Tour is back! Please select your teams of 5 and tweet them to me @waggleduff before the end of Wednesday 20 January!

Remember 2 of your picks must be 50/1 or greater and your first pick will be your captain, scoring double points.

WAGGLE DUFF is a 100% free to play fantasy golf game played online and on twitter, feel free to join the community today and play!

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ENTRY LIST AND ODDS

Justin Thomas6/1
Rory McIlroy6/1
Tyrrell Hatton12/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick14/1
Tommy Fleetwood14/1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout28/1
Victor Perez28/1
Justin Rose30/1
Martin Kaymer30/1
Shane Lowry30/1
Bernd Wiesberger33/1
Lee Westwood33/1
Matt Wallace33/1
Andy Sullivan35/1
Robert MacIntyre35/1
Ian Poulter40/1
Thomas Pieters40/1
Mike Lorenzo-Vera45/1
Sami Valimaki45/1
Adri Arnaus60/1
Danny Willett60/1
Henrik Stenson60/1
Matthias Schwab60/1
Ross Fisher66/1
Thomas Detry66/1
Tom Lewis66/1
Antoine Rozner70/1
Joost Luiten70/1
Rafa Cabrera Bello70/1
Wilco Nienaber70/1
Adrian Otaegui80/1
Laurie Canter80/1
Andrew Johnston90/1
Dean Burmester90/1
Lucas Herbert90/1
Sean Crocker90/1
Aaron Rai100/1
Jamie Donaldson100/1
Jordan Smith100/1
Renato Paratore100/1
Romain Langasque100/1
Alexander Levy125/1
Brandon Stone125/1
Callum Shinkwin125/1
David Lipsky125/1
Francesco Laporta125/1
Garrick Higgo125/1
George Coetzee125/1
Hao Tong Li125/1
Joachim B. Hansen125/1
Paul Waring125/1
Rasmus Hojgaard125/1
Ryan Fox125/1
Scott Jamieson125/1
Thorbjorn Olesen125/1
Alexander Bjork150/1
Joakim Lagergren150/1
Justin Harding150/1
Kurt Kitayama150/1
Marcus Armitage150/1
Marcus Kinhult150/1
Masahiro Kawamura150/1
Mikko Korhonen150/1
Pablo Larrazabal150/1
Padraig Harrington150/1
Victor Dubuisson150/1
David Horsey175/1
Eddie Pepperell175/1
Fabrizio Zanotti175/1
Gavin Green175/1
Guido Migliozzi175/1
Jason Scrivener175/1
Jazz Janewattananond175/1
Kalle Samooja175/1
Marc Warren175/1
Richard Sterne175/1
Chris Paisley200/1
James Morrison200/1
John Catlin200/1
Jorge Campillo200/1
Julian Suri200/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat200/1
Minwoo Lee200/1
Nicolas Colsaerts200/1
Richie Ramsay200/1
Robert Rock200/1
Sebastian Soderberg200/1
Steven Brown200/1
Benjamin Hebert250/1
Graeme McDowell250/1
Grant Forrest250/1
Lucas Bjerregaard250/1
Matthew Southgate250/1
Maximilian Kieffer250/1
Zander Lombard250/1
Ashley Chesters300/1
Ashun Wu300/1
Edoardo Molinari300/1
Jeff Winther300/1
Julien Guerrier300/1
Justin Walters300/1
Lorenzo Gagli300/1
Matthieu Pavon300/1
Nacho Elvira300/1
Scott Hend300/1
Shubhankar Sharma300/1
Soren Kjeldsen300/1
Stephen Gallacher300/1
Wade Ormsby300/1
Alvaro Quiros400/1
Tapio Pulkkanen400/1
Chris Wood500/1
David Drysdale500/1
David Law500/1
Gaganjeet Bhullar500/1
Haydn Porteous500/1
Joel Stalter500/1
Nino Bertasio500/1
Oliver Fisher500/1
Oliver Wilson500/1
Richard McEvoy500/1
Robert Karlsson500/1
Ross McGowan500/1
Thomas Aiken500/1
Kristoffer Broberg600/1
Andrea Pavan750/1
Thomas Bjorn750/1
Arjun Gupta1000/1
David Howell1000/1
Raphael Jacquelin1500/1
Ahmed Marjan2000/1
Ahmed Skaik3000/1

SONY OPEN PREVIEW

The PGA Tour continues its Hawaii swing with the Sony Open. Wai’alae Country Club is a Par 70, 7,044 yards, and has Bermuda greens.

In 2019, Matt Kuchar was quoted saying that Wai’alae reminded him of Harbour Town and of Colonial. This led me to look at Harbour Town (RBC Heritage) and Colonial Golf Course (Charles Schwab Challenge) as correlated courses. Other golf courses that have some similarities with Wai’alae are El Camaleon (Mayakoba Classic), and Sea Island Golf Course (RSM Classic).

The last 5 winners of the Sony Open are Cameron Smith, Matt Kuchar, Patton Kizzire, Justin Thomas, and Fabian Gomez. Reviewing their scorecards from their events, I found some key stats to look at this week. Over the last 5 years, the winner of this event has averaged: 4.41 Strokes Gained Approach, 7.86 Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, 7.05 Strokes Gained Putting, 76.66% Greens in Regulation, and 307.58-yard average driving distance. Perhaps the most important stat will be Par 5 scoring. There are only two Par 5s on this course, and golfers must score on these Par 5s.

Cameron Smith (2020) Par 5 Performance: 8 total Par 5s, 5 Birdies

Matt Kuchar (2019) Par 5 Performance: 8 total Par 5s, 6 Birdies, 1 Eagle

Patton Kizzire (2018) Par 5 Performance: 8 total Par 5s, 4 Birdies

Justin Thomas (2017) Par 5 Performance: 8 total Par 5, 6 Birdies, 2 Eagles

Fabian Gomez (2016) Par 5 Performance: 8 total Par 5s, 3 Birdies, 1 Eagle

Therefore, the key stats I used for this week were: SG: Tee-to-Green, SG: Approach, Greens in Regulation, SG Putting, Good Drives %, Distance, Putting Average, Par 5 Birdie or Better, Par 4 Efficiency (400-450 yards).

Sony Open Tips

Webb Simpson 14-1 (Bet MGM)

Webb is coming off a decent performance at Kapalua in the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Webb shot -16 with 1 Eagle, 22 birdies, 6 bogeys, and 1 double. Webb has 5 straight Top 20 finishes at the Sony Open finishing – 3rd, T4th, T13th. T13th, T13th.

Webb Simpson won the RBC Heritage in 2020 and finished T16th in 2019, and T5th in 2018.

Using ShotLink data from 2020, Webb Simpson excels in almost all of the key stats I looked at for this week. Among the golfers in this field, Webb Simpson is 6th Tee-to-Green, 4th Approach, 7th Greens in Regulation, 6th Putting, 1st Putting Average, 15th Par 5 Scoring, and 5th in Par 4 Efficiency (400-450 yards).

Daniel Berger 20-1 (BetMGM)

Berger is also coming off a nice showing at Kapalua. He shot -19 with 23 birdies and 4 bogeys. Berger’s course form isn’t as good as Webb’s but Berger has not missed a cut the last 5 times, he has played this course.

In 2020, Berger won at Colonial, and finished T5 at Harbour Town.

Among the golfers in this field, Daniel Berger ranks: 5th Tee-to-Green, 17th Approach, 10th Putting, 1st Par 5 Birdie or Better, 2nd Par 4 Efficiency (400-450 yards).

Kevin Kisner 33-1 (DraftKings)

Kisner got the rust off by playing in the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Kisner didn’t have an overly impressive performance finishing -14 with 1 eagle, 19 birdies, and 7 bogeys. However, a strong Sunday performance has Kisner trending in the right direction.

Kisner’s first appearances at Sony were less than stellar, but he’s drastically improved over his last 5 tries. Over the last 5 years, Kisner is 5/5 on made cuts, he has 3 Top 5 finishes, and added one more Top 25 in that span as well.

Among golfers in this field, Kisner is 8th in Putting and 3rd in Par 4 Efficiency (400-450 yards). Kisner is an accurate hitter, a good putter, and a consistent golfer.

Charles Howell III 66-1 (DraftKings)

Charles Howell did not play last week at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, but this is a course he loves playing on. Howell has played the Sony Open 19 times dating back to 2002. He has never missed a cut at this event and has 10 Top 10 finishes. He has 7 Top 20 finishes over the last 9 years. Howell is not a golfer who will stick out in stat models, but he can drive the ball and give himself birdie opportunities. 66-1 is a good price for a guy who has shown he has Top 10 upside on this course.

Sebastian Munoz 66-1 (DraftKings)

Sebastian Munoz played in the Sentry Tournament of Champions last week and got off to a rough start. After Round 1, Munoz was +2 while recording 5 bogeys in the round. Rounds 2-4 were much kinder to him, as he recorded 2 bogey-free rounds and only one bogey in Round 3. Munoz finished the Sentry Tournament of Champions -16, with 22 birdies and 6 bogeys. Munoz has only played Sony twice, recording a Top 10 in 2019 and a missed cut in 2020.

Among golfers in this field, Munoz is 15th Tee-to-Green, 25th in Approach, 14th in Driving Distance, 20th in Par 5 Scoring, and 25th in Par 4 Efficiency (400-450 yards). Munoz was 5th among all PGA players in total birdies for 2020 (84 rounds), and through 2021 (32 rounds) is currently 3rd in total birdies. At 66-1, Munoz provides great scoring upside and if he can avoid bogeys could find himself near the top of the leaderboard come Sunday.

By @Golfbets101