The Chevron Championship Preview & Tips

It doesn’t seem that long ago when Anna Nordqvist was winning the last major of 2021 with the Open Championship. Just 13 events have passed since the last major was held & they have all been dominated by Jin Young Ko who has won 5 of those events so rightly comes into the event world no1. This event is known to most as the ANA but was renamed under the new sponsorship this year & is now known as The Chevron championship. Mission Hills in California is hosting at its Dinah Shore Tournament course for the 40th time as a major championship. Who will be taking the leap into Poppies Pong on Sunday afternoon to Join the illustrious names that have won here before?

Course

Mission Hills in California is the destination this week with the Dinah Shore Tournament Course the venue. The Desmond Muirhead designed course is a par 72 measuring 6865 yards made up of four par 3s, ten par 4s & four par 5s. A long parkland course which can be very challenging if the wind gets up which luckily this week it’s not currently forecast to so winning score could be reaching -20 for the 1st time.  Dinah Shore is very much a second shot course, getting the ball in play off the tee will be vital to controlling the second shots to give players the best opportunity of making some low numbers. The rough, 68 bunkers, trees & water in play of four holes can create numerous issues for players if they aren’t accurate off the tee or on approaches. I’m very interested to see if the 18th hole is set up without the back stop sponsorship board of previous years, the longer hitters have been able to go for the green & not risk the water behind the green as they have the board to use as a back stop. Dottie Pepper holds the cumulative score record here at -19 set way back in 1999.

Previous Winners

2021 Patty Tavatankit -18 175-1

2020 Mirim Lee -15 600-1

2019 Jin Young Ko -10 9-1

2018 Pernilla Lindberg -15 225-1

2017 So-yeon Ryu -14 14-1

2016 Lydia Ko -12 5-1

2015 Brittany Lincicome -9 66-1

2014 Lexi Thompson -14 22-1

2013 Inbee Park -15 14-1

2012 Sun-Young Yoo -9 66-1

Narrowing down some trends in the winners

  • Each of the last 10 winners have played the event at least 3 times previously.
  • 9 had at least one top 5 in the calendar year
  • 7 hadn’t registered a top 10 here before
  • 24.7 is the average age of these winners with two of them being teenagers Lydia Ko & Lexi Thompson & only one was in their 30s with Pernilla Lindberg at 31.

Players who fit this trend this year are Leona Maguire, Celine Boutier, Georgia Hall, Hannah Green, Lin Xiyu, Gaby Lopez, Marina Alex, Brittany Altomare, Hsu Wei Ling, Angel Yin & Sakura Yokomine.

Golftipster5 Picks

Danielle Kang 20-1 Skybet 7 Places

Danielle comes into the 1st major of the year in some of the best form of her career, in five starts this season she has one victory, one second place & two more top 10s. She has played this event ten times with various results, three missed cuts but then also has three top 15s & her best finish here is 6th in 2019. Also, worth noting those three top 15s were in here last three stars here. She took a short break after the Asia swing in Phuket with Ariya Jutanugarn & last week would have been great prep to get rid of any post-holiday rust before this week’s major. The current CME globe leader is one of the best putters on the LPGA which she will need to keep hot this week to have any chance of winning. Her greens in regulation percentage of 76% shows that with the course being classed as a second shot course should theoretically put her in a great position to go well this time round. She’s statistically the 3rd best golfer this year going off stroke gained total behind Jin Young Ko & Lexi Thompson who haven’t played as much as Danielle.

Minjee Lee 25-1 Skybet 7 Places

The green in regulation machine will look to claim her 2nd major this week after getting the monkey off her back last year.  The Evian Champion has had a great start to the season with a 2nd first start out & two more top 25 finishes. She like Kang has played here numerous times but has had better overall performances than Kang with just one missed cut & in her other seven starts she’s hasn’t finished worse than 26th with a best finish of 3rd in 2017. She leads the field in strokes gained approach & tee to green so if she can improve her putting stats where she ranks 122nd she should have another cracking week & will certainly be challenging come Sunday afternoon.

Celine Boutier 28-1 Skybet 7 Places

I was slightly disappointed with the price of Celine but given her form I still can’t ignore her this week. She fits the trends of pervious winner perfectly; she’s had numerous top 10s already this year & hasn’t gone particularly well here before with a best finish of 44th In 5 starts. She will 100% win one if not multiple majors in her career & there is no reason why number one can’t be this week. She ranks 5th stokes gained total combining all the strokes gained categories, Strokes gained approach she is 7th, putting 11th & tee to green 18th. She won her 1st LPGA event in the states last year & is currently in excellent form with three top 5 finishes from 5 starts so she will be full of confidence this week.

Hannah Green 40-1 Skybet 7 Places

Hannah spent the off season back home in Australia playing a few mixed events with the guys & girls on the Australia tour with some success, she won the Ladies Vic Open & a mixed event in back-to-back weeks. Since returning to the LPGA she has had one top 10 a 27th & 59th last week. She is a player who fits the narrowing down the field trend but also has good form here & is in excellent form herself. She has appeared four times here before with two top 20s, one missed cut & a 62nd. The 62nd came in the September playing of the event not the usual April. This week could easily be the week she adds another major to her name.

Brittany Altomare 125-1 Skybet 7 Places

I’ve got to be honest narrowing down a long shot I normally find quite easy but this week I’ve really struggled to pinpoint a value long shot play. I looked at Pedersen, Castren & Popov but they didn’t really stick out enough for me to pick them, so I’ve gone for a slightly shorter but still a triple figure price of Brittany. She has made four appearances here with a best result of 16th on debut. She has since gone 44-20-MC. The 31-year-old didn’t have the best of Asia swings with two 51 placed finishes but came back to the states to finish 23rd last week. She has one top 10 this year from the Drive on championship where she finished 4th so another player who fits the trends & I’m happy to play with Sky’s 7 places

Other notables:

Stacey lewis 100-1 – cracking form as of late as well as a previous winner at this event but I’ve backed her numerous times slately with no returns.

Gabriella Ruffells 200-1 – playing on the futures tour currently but has two solid finishes here previously with a 15th & 19th

Odds correct as of 08:00 29/03/22  

Good luck with all best

@Golftipster5 – Ryan Hamilton

HSBC Women World Championship Preview & Tips

After a three week break the LPGA returns this week in Singapore for the HSBC Women World Championship. A star-studded field of 65 will take on the Sentosa golf course over four days, for the $1.7 million purse. The field features five different winners from this year already from various tours with Danielle Kang, Lydia Ko & Leona Maguire from the LPGA, Esther Henesliet from the LET & Hannah Green who won the mixed event on the Australian Tour & ladies Vic Open. The event is regarded by some as the Asian Major of women’s golf which with the field strength you can see why with 9 of the world’s top 10 on show this week along with multiple tour winners.

Course

Sentosa golf club might sound familiar to those familiar with other tour betting as it hosted the Asian Tour just a few weeks ago. This time its second course will host the Ladies this week. The Tanjong course hosts for the 5th time after replacing the Serapong course in 2016.  Tanjong was designed 1974 by Frank Pennink & was refurbished in 1992 & 2007 before being completely redesigned in 2016 with Andrew Harvey Johnston in charge. The course is set up as a par 72 measuring 6718 yards. The par 72 is made up of four par 3s, ten pars 4s & four par 5s. Twelve holes have water in play with seven of the first eight so an accurate start will be vital on the front nine for good scoring. Bunkers are few & far between this week with just under an average of three bunkers per hole but they appear mainly around the small greens. In the four events at this course the average 72 hole winning score is -17 with the highest score -19 by Inbee Park on the courses first play, In four events the best 18 hole score is a 62 by Sei-Young Kim in 2018.

Golftipster5 Selections

Yuka Saso 25-1 6 Places on Paddypower

Saso hasn’t played here as a pro before, however in 2018 as an amateur she finished tied 2nd behind Atthaya Thitkul in the Asia Pacific Amateur championship. The US open winner will be looking to use this experience to build on a great start to the season. She has finished 6th & 3rd in three starts this year with a missed cut in her last event. Saso has the power to take the course apart this week, she is the 4th longest of the women teeing it up this week so far this year. When you combine her length off the tee with her green in regulation figures of 73.78% you can see why she ranks 6th on tour this year for the most birdies & 8th for the most rounds in the 60s.

Atthaya Thitikul 28-1 6 Places on Paddypower

Atthaya played here in 2018 when she was just 15 years old & she finished 8th shooting 70-71-68-66. In the same year she also won the Asia Pacific amateur at this course so clearly loves this track. Four years later she is now one of the best golfers in the world, she is ranked 20th in the world & has racked up three wins & fourteen additional top 10s in just thirty one starts.  She has made two starts this year on tour finishing 45th & 11th. With her coming back to a track she has gone well before I’m hoping she can rely on experience to challenge for the title come Sunday.  So far this year Atthaya has a 77.55% driving accuracy, 65.87% Greens in regulation & ranks 22nd in putting.

Hannah Green 28-1 6 Places on Paddypower

Hannah hasn’t been able to come back to play in America because of covid restrictions back home only just being lifted. This hasn’t stopped her from playing as she has been playing on the Australia tour in mixed events & ladies’ events. She’s took apart the mixed field last week which had some of the best Australian players in the world playing in it, she won by 4 shots to upcoming amateur Hayden Hopewell. Bookies clearly thought she would go well as she was the 8-1 pre-event favorite. Hannah shot 20 under for the week with rounds of 64-65-69-66. This win was her 2nd of the year already after winning the previous week at the Vic Open. You could argue she should be winning these events as she is the best player in the field, but she still has get the job done with all the added pressure. Also how often do the favorites go onto win in golf tournaments? She was winless since 2019 so this added confidence from getting back into the winner’s circle should do wonders for her upcoming season on the LPGA.

Stacy Lewis 50-1 6 Places on Paddypower

Stacy has had a solid start to the year in the three events played she’s has finished 18-8-4. She comes back to a venue where she finished 25th in 2017. That was the last time she played this event with her giving birth to her daughter Chesnee in 2018.  The 37-year-old is one of the best drivers on the tour, she is averaging 87% of fairways hit. She’s has hit 134 fairways out of a possible 154 which only Inbee Park can better with over 100 possible fairways to hit. She also has a 71.21% greens in regulation & ranks 32nd on tour for putting which if she can put everything together this week can give her a great chance come Sunday afternoon.

Pajaree Anannarukarn 100-1 6 Places on Paddypower

This week’s long shot is Pajaree, the 22 year old picked up her 1st win as a profession on the ladies European tour last year with the ISPS Handa in northern Ireland beat Emma Talley in a playoff. She has taken this newfound confidence in her game into this year by getting a top 10 in her first start of the year, this has been backed up with two more finishes of 52nd & 41st. She was very consistent last year only missing three cuts in twenty-five events & had five top ten finishes as well as her win. 100-1 seems quite a high number for a player who will be used to the playing conditions from her amateur days playing all over Asia.

Good luck with all bets

Ryan Hamilton – @golftipster5

Saudi International Preview & Tips

After one of the DP World Tours flagship events last week’s it’s time for the Asian Tour Flagship event. The Saudi international at the Royal Greens golf & country club takes center stage this week with a huge $5 Million up for grabs. The 1st 3 editions were all classed as European Tour events so very few of the Asia Tour players have actually played here before. The tour scrapped the event after the 2021 season, but the Asia tour picked it up as part of the new investment & took out a 10-year deal for the Saudi international to be the new flagship event of the tour. The field is full of invites from various tours, there are players from the PGA, DP World, Japan, Australian, Sunshine & the best from the Asian Tour. The PGA Tour players had to get special exceptions to come over for this event where they had to commit to play the AT&T Pebble beach event within a few years. All the invites playing this week make the event the strongest field official golf world ranking points wise that has ever been assembled on the Asia Tour. The event marks the start of the 2022 Asia tour schedule which will finish in late January 2023 but currently there are just 5 events up to March 31st in the schedule.

Course

The royal greens golf & country club has held all 3 editions of this championship. Dave Sampson designed the course as part of European Golf Design. The course opened very recently in 2017. A par 72 for members but this week a par 70 which is made up of four par 3s, twelve par 4s & just two par 5s. The course measures 7010 yards with some two very long par 4s measuring over 490 yards. The course is undulated throughout & features various waste areas & water in play on 5 holes. Luckily the players look set to play in calm & hot conditions, so they won’t need to worry about the wind that caused havoc at the Singapore international with players shooting some very high numbers. With the talent on show this week id imagine the scoring will reach around 15 under for the winning score.

Previous Winners, Key Stats & Winning Odds

2021 Dustin Johnson – Score -19 Odds 6-1

SG Off the tee 3rd

SG Approach 5th

SG Tee to green 1st

SG Putting 90th

SG Around the green 20th

Driving accuracy 48.21% 107th

Greens in regulation 83.33% 3rd

2020 Graeme McDowell Score 80-1 Odds -12

SG Off the tee 36th

SG Approach 32nd

SG Tee to green 14th

SG Putting 5th

SG Around the green 19th

Driving accuracy 69.64% 17th

Greens in regulation 76.38% 14th

2019 Dustin Johnson – Score -19 Odds 8-1

SG Off the tee N/A

SG Approach N/A

SG Tee to green N/A

SG Putting N/A

SG Around the green N/A

Driving accuracy N/A

Greens in regulation N/A

No data available for DJs win in 2019.

Golftipster5 Selections:

Thomas Pieters 20-1 6 Places

The Belgium no1 player already has a win to his name this year just two weeks ago at the Abu Dhabi championship. This week he returns to a venue where he has gone well in the past with finishes of 22-3-10. His average score here in the 12 rounds is 67.8 with a lowest round of 63. Thomas ranked one of the best for strokes gained approach & tee to green in 13th & 10th he was also 23rd for scrambling last year. Last week at the Dubai Desert Classic he was in the top 30 for all key Stroke gained stats & he also was in the top 30 the previous week when he won so his game is in a solid place right now. Everything seems to be going well for him right now both on & off the course & long may it continue. Id of liked to see him at higher odds considering the calibre of field here but I have to take him on current form & course form as nearly half the field have never teed it up here before.

Joohyung Kim 50-1 6 Places

Joohyung comes into this event as the Asia Tour No1 player after picking up the order of merit title last time out in Singapore. The 19-year-old is making a huge name for himself in the golfing world having already racked up 6 professional victories which has him 79th in the world rankings. In his last 5 starts he hasn’t finished worse than 7th with a 2-1-7-2-2 an incredible run. The Korean had the 9th best greens in reg last year with 74.63% & also the 5th best driving accuracy with 71% of fairways hit. Previous winners of this event have done well in the scrambling stats & Joohyung ranked 5th on the Asia tour last year.

Lucas Herbert 55-1 6 Places

Lucas has had the two starts so far this year. One on the PGA & one on the DP world tour where he finished 37th & 18th respectively. After winning the Bermuda championship just 5 starts ago he will still be full of confidence in his game going into this week.  Last week at the Dubai Desert Classic he was 22nd Strokes gained tee to green & 2nd strokes gained around the green. Both key attributes that appear high in the previous winner stats here. He was also high in all the putting stats & was 35th strokes gained putting for the week. The Aussie has had mixed fortune in this event in his two showings here with a T27 on debut then missing the cut on the number last year with rounds of 70 & 71.

Ryosuke Kinoshita 350-1 6 Places

Ryosuke has come on leaps & bounds over the past year rising to no76 in the world. He had great success on the Japan tour last year finishing 3rd on the money list with two wins. His stroke average was 70.4 for the year which was the 4th best on tour. For the world ranked 76 player to be such high in the betting, his stats on the Japanese tour show he could be surprise package this week, greens in regulation of 71.9% & 23rd in driving accuracy show he has the game to be competitive this week. There is also a stat called ball striking on the Japan tour where he ranks 2nd but very little information on what this means but you’d assume it’s similar to stroke gained total perhaps, but I might be wrong. 350-1 I simply can’t say no this week.

Other Notable

Sadom Kaewkanjana 125-1

The best player out of Thailand right now who picked up another win in his last start at the Singapore Open but making course debut this week, but I will still have a side bet on him.

All odds correct as of 18:00 Monday 31st all on Unibet

Good luck with all bets

@Golftipster5 – Ryan Hamilton

Dubai Desert Classic Preview & Tips

It felt great to have some European Tour golf back on the tv this week especially on the Friday with the tough playing conditions described by Bob MacIntyre as the hardest wind he’s ever played on tour in. Just one player finishing in double digits is the golf I like to see. A proper test of golf, not just hitting it as far as possible then flicking a wedge to join the putting contest but each shot creating multiple scenarios with hazards involved making the golfer plot their way around the course. 

This week we come back to familiar territory for the Dubai Desert Classic, the 1st event to be held in the middle east back in 1989 when there was just desert & a few trees. 30 years later Dubai is unrecognisable to the original event. The majority of the field that played last week all tee it up this week again with a few absentees & some golfers playing for the first time this year. Another week which has a huge purse $8,000,000 on offer & double race to Dubai points for those who play multiple tours to cement their position in the race ready for the WGCs & Majors to add to their tally. Thomas Pieters now currently leads after last weeks victory with Sharma & Cabrera-Bello Behind him.

Course 

The Majlis Course was designed by Karl Kitten in 1988. Every edition since its inception in 1989 have been held at the Majlis course with the exception of 1999 & 2000. The course is a Par 72 measuring 7424 yards (6789 Meters). The par 72 is made up of four par 3s, ten par 4s & four par 5s. Birdies are the norm every year here with every event bar one ending in double digits under par. The average winning score over the 31 years is 17.3. There are plenty of waste areas & water hazards (8 Holes) in play on the holes to catch out errand tee shots & approaches. The course is mostly famous for its 8th tee shot with its incredible backdrop, I’m sure all the players socials will be full of tee shots from the practice rounds this week. Ernie Els holds the course record set in 1994 at 61. 

Course winners taking part this week

  • Rory McIlroy 2015 & 2009
  • Paul Casey 2021
  • Lucas Hebert 2020
  • Haotong Li 2018
  • Sergio Garcia 2017
  • Danny Willet 2016
  • Rafa Cabrera Bello 2012
  • Miguel Angle Jimenez 2010
  • Henrick Stenson 2007
  • Thomas Bjorn 2001
  • Colin Montgomerie 1996

Previous Winners, Keys Stats & Winning Odds 

Paul Casey 2021 25-1 -17

SG off the tee 6th

SG approach 6th

SG tee to green 1st

SG Putting 57th

Driving accuracy 25th 53.57%

Greens in regulation 5th 75%

Lucas Hebert 2020 175/1 -9

SG off the tee 11th

SG approach 72nd

SG tee to green 7th

SG Putting 20th

Driving accuracy 67th 42.86%

Greens in regulation 5th 66.7%

Bryson DeChambeau 2019 9/1 -24

SG off the tee 5th

SG approach 16th

SG tee to green 3rd

SG Putting 5th

Driving accuracy 33rd 57.14%

Greens in regulation 4th 80.55%

Haotong Li 2018 80/1 -23

SG off the tee 38th

SG approach 27th

SG tee to green 15th

SG Putting 3rd

Driving accuracy 90th 50%

Greens in regulation 75th 65.3%

Sergio Garcia 2017 18/1 -19

Driving accuracy 9th 69.64%

Greens in regulation 1st 81.96%

Danny Willet 2016 40-1 -19

Driving accuracy 61st 55.36%

Greens in regulation 21st 77.78%

Golftipster5 Selections:

Sergio Garcia 20-1 Ladbrokes 8 Places 

Sergio’s 1st start of the year which isn’t the norm for him, he usually plays once before the Dubai Desert Classic normally the Singapore Open but opted to make this event his 1st this year, now that could back fire on me with possible cobwebs to burn off but I can’t ignore him this week. He won here back in 2017 & has made all four cuts after this finishing 32-3-23-6 a record only Rory McIlroy & Henrik Stenson beat round here. Garcia ranks in the top 10 for SG in all categories with the exception of putting here. 7th Off the tee,2nd Approach,4th Tee to green then 71st Putting. The Achilles heel of his game but even so his finishes show he’s is more than capable round here, his average score in 11 starts is 69.75.

Robert MacIntyre 35-1 Ladbrokes 8 Places 

Bob has had two starts in this event & has finishing in top 10 both times with an 8th & 3rd place finish. A missed cut last week might of done him a favour so he can get to a course he clearly enjoys playing earlier. Being a left hander & the wind direction did him no favours last week on the Friday shooting 80 in ‘the hardest wind he’s played on tour’ so I’m discounting his round of 80. Going off previous years winners stats Bob has all the attributes to win this week. He ranks 8th for SG tee to green on this course, 6th SG Off the tee, 14th SG tee to green & 26th SG Putting. Stats which firmly put him on the radar for me this week. 

Erik Van Rooyen 40-1 Skybet 7 Places

Erik has started very consistently this year with 20th at the Sony Open & a 12th place finish last week. Since his victory on the PGA TOUR with the Barracuda championship he has only Missed one cut in eleven events with five top 20 finishes. He can take great confidence in his numbers from last week where he ranked 8th SG off the tee,37th SG tee to green & 19th SG Putting. He has only played the desert classic twice missing the cut on debut then a 37th placed finish but since his appearance in 2020 he has gone on to record numerous top 10s on the PGA TOUR & has a victory so he knows his game has improved since then.

Takumi Kanaya 75-1 Ladbrokes 8 Places

The Japanese former Amateur no1 continued to impress last week with a T25 finish. Kanaya played here last season & finished 9th & with he recent run of form I couldn’t look away this week. Last season he was in great form on the Japanese & DP World Tour where he racked up twelve top 10s & one win with the Token Homemade Cup in Japan. His number keeps getting lower & lower on the main tours now as he becomes more well known with his performances. He ranked 14 SG off the tee & 16th Tee to green last week which should prove very valuable this week should he continue striking the ball so well, it just the flat stick he appears to need to work on after last week where he ranked 80th. I feel it won’t be long before Kanaya picks up a big win on either the DP World or PGA Tour

Thorbjorn Olesen 125-1 Skybet 7 places

With the court case now behind Thor he can move on & get back to the golf that has seen him become a 5 time DP world tour winner. This week he returns to a venue where he hasn’t won but has an incredible record here with four top 10s in nine starts & an average score of 69.75. Olesen like Bob has great stats round this course. He is in the top 25 for SG approach, tee to green & putting. Any rust that he may of had coming into last week looks to of been extinguished very quickly, he hit 71% of fairways & 73% of greens in regulation as well as ranking 41st in putting so his game appears to be good shape. Considering the price & course form I think this is a great value bet.

Odds correct as of 14:30 Monday 24th

Good luck with all bets

@Golftipster5 – Ryan Hamilton 

Singapore Open Preview & Tips

It’s finally here, after the 1st event of the season that started on January 8th 2020 we are finally at the last event of the season. After just 8 events the order of merit winner will be crowned after this event. Joohyung Kim’s now has a commanding lead after his playoff victory last week so he will be the heavy favourite to pick up the Order or Merit. Only three others have a chance of winning but they need Joohyung to miss the cut & they need to win, those three players are Wade Ormsby, Phachara Khongwatmai & Chan Shih-Chang. Wade Ormsby has opted for the DP World Tour so its only Phachara & Chan who have a chance to win. 

The Singapore Open normally has a Stella field with numerous invites from the PGA & DP World tours coming over to play. However, with covid still in the back of a lot of peoples minds only Paul Casey has taken up an Invite here from the main tours. 130 players are set to take centre stage on Thursday as they all go in search of the extra purse on offer this week. Not only is the purse 250,000 USD bigger this week there are also four Open Spots up for grabs for any of top 12 not already qualified so even more incentive to play well this week. 

Course Guide 

Sentosa Golf Club hosts the Singapore Open for the 14th time having 1st hosted in 2005. The course is just a 20minute journey from last weeks course so all the players who played this week will have the luxury of not having to fly to a new destination for the upcoming week which means added practice time or recovery time which they wouldn’t normally get. The course this week is set up as a par 71 measuring a staggering 7403 so for the 2nd week running the Singapore courses will be set up to be monsters in length. When you factor in the wind that Singapore gets around this time of year the course could play even longer. You just have to look at last weeks scores & how high they were from the wind causing havoc. The 71 is made up for four par 3s, eleven par 4s & three par 5s. Ronald Fream designed the course in 1982 but it was redesigned in 2006 to add the sub air & a new enhanced irrigation system. Larger greens were created & more strategic bunkers put in to make the golfers plot their way around rather than bomb a drive & flick a wedge. As I said last week accuracy will be needed on the Scraping Course with its tree lined fairways & water in play on 10 holes. It’s a trend on all the Asian courses that the Asian tours keep playing that they are tree lined & have plenty of hazards in play on nearly every hole which is why they are so accurate when they move onto the PGA & DP World Tour. 

Previous Winners 

2020 – Matt Kuchar -18 10-1

2019 – Jazz Janewattananond -18 25-1

2018 – Sergio Garcia -14 8-1

2017 – Prayed Marksaeng -9 250-1

2016 – Young Han Song -12 80-1

@Golftipster5 Selections:

Phachara Khongwatmai 16-1 PaddyPower 6 Places

Phachara finished T16 last week at the Singapore International which was a great result considering the conditions they were playing in. A final round 2 under par 70 was one of the best rounds recorded on Sunday. That finish gave him a slight chance of winning to Order of merit & he comes to a course where he has had some great finishes in the past. A 2nd place in 2017 & 18th in 2019 show he is more than capable to scoring well around here. His form over the past few months has been nothing short of sublime, bar his withdrawal at the Singha Classic he hasn’t finished worse than T16 with three wins, one 2nd & one 3rd place finish. 

Ratchanon Chantananuwat 28-1 Bet365 5 Places

The 14 year old Sensation is slowly taking the Asia tour by storm, on his 1st event outside of his home country of Thailand he finished a remarkable 3rd place. He shot 75 in the 1st round & in an interview on Friday he said he had heatstroke & wasn’t anywhere near 100% Health. For a 14 year old to play so well on a course that made some players look very foolish is incredible, the sky really is the limit for the kid. He has also said that he’s is hoping for another good week this week as he aims to qualify for the Open by finishing as one of the top 4 not already exempt. 

Travis Smyth 55-1 PaddyPower 6 Places

Travis has had a solid last 3 events on the Asia tour, he has finished 48-24-10. He has appeared in this event before & has finished 11 & 24. In those eight rounds he has only shot over par once with a 72 +1 the remaining  seven rounds he has shot 2 rounds of par & 5 in the 60s so he is more than capable of putting in some good numbers this week. Last weeks Tournament will of helped his get used to the conditions especially the wind & any weaknesses or improvements he found he can work on earlier than usual with him staying within touching distance of last weeks course this week. 

Chen Guxin 150-1 Skybet 5 Places

I’m giving Chen another go this week, last weeks playing conditions were brutal but he will of learned plenty from it & have some ideas on what to work on pre event. The 18 year old will want to replicate the form of Joohyung & Ratchanon & put his name on the list of teens to keep an eye on in the coming years. He only missed the cut by one shot last week after shooting 74 & 78. I think there will still be plenty of positives for him to take forward this season from last weeks Missed cut.. 

All odds correct as of 18:00 Tuesday 18th Jan 

Good luck with all bets

Ryan Hamilton @Golftipster5

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Preview & Tips

The DP World tour makes its 1st stop of the season to the middle east this week on unfamiliar grounds. A new course will host the 17th version of the Abu Dhabi Golf Championship after the Abu Dhabi golf club was replaced with Yas Links. Yas Links sits in what is referred to as the entertainment district of Abu Dhabi sitting parallel to the formula 1 race circuit & a quick drive to Warner bros & Ferrari world. Players will have plenty to do after they finish their rounds of golf this week.

Covid cancelled the remaining events in South Africa at the back end of the year so this is only the 2nd event of the season. Tristan Lawrence leads the Race to Dubai after winning the shortened South Africa Open. Double Race to Dubai points are on offer this week & next with both events being Rolex series events. As per usual the bigger names are on the entry list for a Rolex event with Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy & Victor Hovland the star names. They will be looking to get an early win so that they can sit around the top again for much of the year like Hatton did last season, his win here put him top of the race & he wasn’t knocked off until Jon Rahm & Collin Morikawa picked up major wins & even with a few DP world starts last year he still finished 5th so an early win can do wonders for the end of year position.

Course guide

The Yas Links will be new to many people this week. The course was built in 2010 & features rolling fairways very similar to UK links style courses. Kyle Phillips designed the course & it was awarded top 50 status in the best golf courses in the world last year ranking 48th. Kyle is one of the leading links designers in the world & that is shown this week. The Par 72 championship course measures over 7400 yards & is made up of four par 3s, ten par 4s & four par 5s. Water & strategically placed bunkers are in play on nearly every hole so accuracy off the tee will be key this week. The championship could be won & lost with a visit to the drop zone. Undulating greens will give the players a tough test on the greens especially getting the pace right to avoid any unwanted 3 putts. If the wind gets up which is due to all day Friday with up to 30mph forecast, we could see some very high scores posted if the players can’t control where their ball is going with all the hazards in play.

@Golftipster5 Selections:

Rory McIlroy 7/1 Ladbrokes (boosted) 8 Places 2 Pts

Rory had a very up & down 2021 from the heartbreak in the Ryder cup to picking up two more PGA tour victories at the Wells Fargo & CJ Cup. He would probably still say he had an average year because of his major performances but by the average pro it was a fantastic year seven top 10s & two wins with just 4 cuts missed out of 24 events. Rorys form at the Abu Dhabi championship & following week at the desert classic is just ridiculous & pretty much the reason I have him this week at such as short number. In his last 18 appearance if you ignore the one missed cut in his last eighteen appearances at both events, he has finished no worse than eleventh. He has finished 2nd three times & three 3rd place finishes.

Tommy Fleetwood 22-1 Ladbrokes 8 Places

Some golf pundits seem to have written Tommy Fleetwood off last year after another winless year & dropping down to world no 40. He still managed six top 10s & only missed 3 cuts in 23 starts so he is still one of the most consistent players on the tour. Tommy is known for loving the previous course that held this event winning twice in 2017 & 2018. This week’s event should suit a player that loves the links & middle east golf which Tommy fits perfectly. He has plenty of top 5 finishes in the Dunhill links as well as Open Championship results so I feel this week he can combine his love for links & the middle east to really plot his way around this course & post some low numbers. Tommy consistency over the years can be put down to his green in regulation stats. For the last 5 years he’s has ranked no lower than 5th on tour for greens in regulation, his lowest average for the last 5 years was 72.39% & topped out at 76.49%. Stats he will be looking to keep at that level this week to go low.

Bernd Wiesberger 33-1 Skybet 7 Places

Bernd will be raring to push on this year after last year’s Ryder cup appearance. He will be able to play more freely now having for-filled a dream to play for team Europe. He led the DP World tour last year in strokes gained tee to green helped with a green in regulation percentage of 72.47% which shows incredible consistency. Bernd has great form in the desert finishing 2nd at fire course in the Aviv Championship, a 6th at the Dubai Desert Classic & in his two previous appearances at this event he has finished 25th & 8th. He had one win & four tops 10s last year so will be looking to build on that that this year

Nicolai Hojgaard 50-1 Ladbrokes 8 Places

Nicolai is one of the hottest players on the tour currently. He had a fantastic last part of the season picking up his 1st DP world tour victory at the Italian Open & then went on to a 2nd place in Portugal & 4th in the DP World Tour Finale. His rise last year can be put down to his greens in regulation stats which went from 62% in 2020 to 71.55% in 2021. Nearly 10% more greens hit in regulation. This helped him rise from 523rd in the world to a career best 88th. Nicolai will arrive here full of confidence after last season performance & want to really push on this year to climb the rankings.

Frederic Lacriox 150-1 Ladbrokes 8 Places

Frederic is one of the challenge tour graduates from 2021 who caught fire towards the end of the season finishing 2-4-28-5-2-5 in his last six starts of the year including the season opener in the shortened Joburg open where he finished T5 on tour debut. If the tournament wasn’t shortened, I feel he was in prime position to challenge for the win, he was hitting nearly 80% of greens in regulation, driving the ball over 320 yards on average & ranked in the top 40 for putting. He is one of the tour graduates I feel could pick up a win on the DP World tour this year, it might not be this week but at 150-1 with 8 places I’m happy to ride this one.

All Bets are 1 pt unless noted

Other notables

Richard Bland 125-1

An incredible price considering the year he had, eight top 10s & his 1st victory. How will he knee hold up after surgery? Only time will tell.

Haotong Li 125-1

A player who has won me plenty over the years with wins & Places. Lost his way a little of the past year but looks to be trending in the right direction he was 2nd before Christmas in an unofficial China event before finishing 2nd in the Volvo Open & a very good performance last week on the PGA tour but how much will the mammoth travel day take out of him from Hawaii to Abu Dhabi?

All odds correct as of 14:30 Monday 17th January

Good Luck with all bets

Ryan Hamilton – @Golftipster5

The Open Preview & Tips by @golftipster5

By Ryan Hamilton – @Golftipster5

The Open is back after a 1-year hiatus, Shane Lowry can finally defend the Claret Jug he won in 2019 after 2020 was cancelled because of Covid.  The 4th & final major of year comes to Royal St Georges for its 15th appearance. 156 players will try to get their hands on the Claret Jug & the $2Million 1st prize. 46 of the top 50 OGWR players will make up the 156 man field this week with 8 amateurs. Sungjae Im & Siwoo Kim opting for Olympic preparation as winning a medal would exempt them from national service. Covid complications means Hideki Matsuyama & Bubba Watson can’t get over & Matt Wolff gave no reasoning behind his withdrawal. 32,000 spectators are allowed into the event each day to add the atmosphere golf has been missing over the past 16 months so there should be a real buzz around all weekend. Dare I say almost back to normality.

Course

Royal St George’s is hosting this week for the 15th time in its history, 1st hosting in 1894 & most previous in 2011. In 2017 the Amateur championship was held here won by Tom Lewis. The course sits parallel with the Coast in Sandwich, Kent so we can expect some stiff breezes off the coast. The wispy tall grass will surround the fairways so accuracy off the tee will be vital around here. Laidlaw Purves designed the links test way back in 1887 when he wanted to emulate a test similar to St Andrews. 7206 yards will make up the par 70 scorecard this week consisting of 4 par 3s,12 par 4s & just 2 par 5s. Scoring in the last 2 Opens held here have finished on -5 & -1 so its unlikely we will see a double figure winning score like Shane Lowry’s winning score in 2019. The forecast is set to be sunny & dry all week but winds getting stronger each day with up to 35mph predicted for Sunday.

Previous winners – Course in Brackets

2019 – Shane Lowry – Score -15 (Royal Portrush) Pre-Event Odds 70/1

2018 – Francesco Molinari – Score -8 (Carnoustie) Pre-Event Odds 30-1

2017 – Jordan Spieth – Score -12 (Royal Birkdale) Pre-Event Odds 14-1

2016 – Henrik Stenson – Score -20 (Royal Troon) Pre-Event Odds 28-1

2015 – Zach Johnson – Score -15 Won Playoff (St. Andrews) Pre-Event Odds 100-1

2011 Open Championship

The last time the Open was held at Royal St Georges Darren Clarke won at 110-1 with a score of -5 3 shots clear of DJ & Phil Mickelson. Tom Lewis was leading amateur finishing T30 & actually had a share of the lead after round one with a 5 under 65.

How it finished

PositionPlayerScoreTo Par
T1Darren Clarke68-68-69-70=275-5
T2Phil Mickelson70-69-71-68=278-2
T2Dustin Johnson70-68-68-72=278-2
4Thomas Bjorn65-72-71-71=279-1
T5Chad Campbell69-68-70-70=280E
T5Anthony Kim72-68-70-70=280E
T5Rickie Fowler70-70-68-72=280E

Open Stats

  • The last 2 winners of The Open at Royal St Georges were ranked outside the OGWR top 100. Ben Curtis 396th & Darren Clarke 111th
  • 5 of the last 10 Champions claimed their 1st Major with The Open – Shane Lowry, Francesco Molinari, Henrick Stenson, Darren Clarke & Louis Oosthuizen.
  • 8 of the last 10 winners played the week before the open in either the Scottish Open or John Deere
  • 8 of the last 10 winners also registered at least 1 victory in the calendar year before The Open
  • The last 8 winners were all ranked inside the OGWR top 40

@Golftipster5 Selections:

Brooks Koepka 18-1 William Hill 9 Places

The major man looking to add another trophy to the career grand slam. With 3 top 10s in 4 starts at The Open he has shown he can adapt his game to the links setup seamlessly. He already has a 2nd place finish at the PGA & a 4th Place finish at the US Open & he is known for showing up at Major championships.  Brooks already has a win this year at the Waste management Phoenix Open & 4 top 5 finishes so is challenging nearly every week he tees it up. His stats back up his form, he is 10th in both Strokes gained off the tee & Approach to the green, that added with a 3rd tee to green ranks his overall strokes gained Total 4th on tour. Current form reads 5-4-MC-2-MC

Justin Thomas 20-1 Betfair 10 Places

JT came over early this year for the Scottish Open to get used to the British conditions. He was never out of the top 10 shooting 65-69-70-65 & finishing 8th which was fantastic prep for this week. The world No.3 already has a win this year with the Player Championship & has just 3 missed cuts all season from 15 events played. JT hit 76.38% of green in regulation this week which was helped by his Driving. He ranked 1st in strokes gained off the tee with a 67.31% accuracy off the tee. Finding the fairway will be vital this week & with the confidence he can take from his Scottish Open driving he should be able to find plenty of fairways this week. He had just 5 dropped shots all week with 2 bogey free rounds which ranked him 1st in strokes gained around the green so when he was out of position, he was the best in the Feld at getting up & down. Current form reads 8-19-42-40-MC

Louis Oosthuizen 33-1 William Hill 9 Places

Often called a nearly man in majors with his career slam 2nd places some people forget he won The Open in 2010 & was defending champion in 2011 at Royal St Georges. Now with the freedom of not being defending champion he can play with a lot less media attention. He already has 2 2nd place finishes & a T23 finish in the 3 majors this year so he is getting closer to his 2nd major every time he tees it up in a major. Louis is statistically the best putter on the PGA tour this season ranking 1st in stroke gained putting. He makes on average 81ft 8inch (24.8metres) of putts a round which is 5th outright on tour which with the size & speeds (13+stimpmeter) of the links green this week should put him in a good position to gain strokes on the field.  Current form reads 42-2-18-2-8

Tyrrell Hatton 40-1 Mansionbet 8 Places

Tyrrell had a quiet Saturday at the Scottish Open & one of the rounds of the day on Sunday to finish T18 shooting 69-67-72-65 for the week. Hatton was one of the best par 3 & par 4 scorers this week averaging 2.8 on par 3s which was 13th  & 3.94 on par 4s which was 23rd. With 16 of the holes par 3 or 4 this week he will look to better this this week to claim his 1st Major. The world No10 ranked around the average mark in the field in all his major stats last week but even the average was still 75.25% of greens in regulation. Only hitting 53.85% of fairways could be a problem as the rough will be punishing any shots not in the fairway this week but he can fix that within his Prep this week. Current form reads 18-MC-2-38-39.

Rickie Fowler 80-1 Bet365 8 Places

After missing his 1st major in 10 years Rickie returns to Royal St Georges looking to go a few better than 2011 where he finished 5th. A recent upturn in form sees Rickie come into The Open under the radar slightly I feel. There hasn’t been the usual media frenzy with Rickie in the build up to The Open like there has been in previous years. He will want to prove the media wrong this week & finally capture his 1st Major championship. Recent form of 32-MC-11-8-MC is enough for me to take him on at 80-1. I’ve sent him off at 25s in previous years so 80-1 is too high to not take seriously. He & wife Allison also recently announced that they are expecting their 1st child so he will be buzzing with how his personal life is going at the minute & there’s no reason why he can’t take this to the golf course to get his hands on the Claret Jug.

Ian Poulter 100-1 Mansionbet 80 Places

Poults is another player like Louis & Rickie who played in the last Open & Royal St Georges. Ian shot 69-78 then to miss the cut. He is also in the same category as Rickie both still looking for their 1st Major championships. After sneaking into the OGWR top 50 with his T4 finish last week he can do what his Ryder Cup teammate & Captain did in 2011 & win his 1st Major Championship. Poulter registered just 2 dropped shots all week at the Scottish Open & if he continues the bogey avoidance this week there is no reason he can’t be fighting it out down the stretch on Sunday Afternoon. He hit 83.33% of greens this week & hit the fairway 67.31% of the time. To go with that he was 5th in strokes gained putting last week so he comes into The Open this week with a real chance of winning. 100-1 was my easiest pick this week. Current form reads 4-36-40-25-3

Outsiders

Lucas Hebert 110-1 Bet365 8 Places

Backed up his Irish Open win with another solid finish last week T4. He averaged 6 birdies a round last week which helped him up the leader board. He took the par 5s apart this week averaging 4.13 for the week. Averaging 313.75 yards off the tee will help to overpower the par 5s. Unfortunately there are only 2 par 5s this week for him to take care off so he will be relying on his distance to shorten some of the huge par 4s in play this week 496 & 493 are the 2 longest in play this week. He is another player who was solid with the flat stick last week ranking 8th in strokes gained putting & averaging 9.5 one putts which was the best of anyone in the field who played all 4 rounds. Current form of 4-1-19-18-71

Richard Bland 175-1 Bet365 8 Places

Richard continues to improve week on week after his British Masters victory. He is currently sat at his career best world ranking of 98 after a solid last 5 events where he even shared the 36-hole US Open lead. He will make his 2nd Open appearance this week with his last in 2017. After winning his 1st European event 5 starts ago he has gone from strength to strength & his confidence will be at an all-time high. He has openly said Phil Mickelson’s PGA win at the age of 51 has inspired him to do even better & show that age is just a number. At 48 he will try to become one of the oldest 1st time Major winners. It really would cap of a fairy-tale few month’s for Blandy. With bogey avoidance a must this week its worth noting in his last 2 events of 144 holes he has only dropped 13 shots which were all bogeys. You have to go to the final round in the US open for his last double bogey. Current form reads 15-4-50-3-1

Top 20/Top40 Markets

No markets out yet but I’ll be very interested to see what Rikuya Hoshino, Richard Mansell & Matthias Schmid go off at in these markets. Hoshino, I posted at 1000-1 for the US open & finished in the top 25 is currently 500-1. Mansell is 1000-1 & Schmid is 600-1 so there should be good value on these 3 when the markets get released.

Good Luck with all Bets

@golftipster5

European Tour – Scottish Open Preview & Tips by @Golftipster5

European Tour, Scottish Open Preview

By Ryan Hamilton – @Golftipster5

After last weeks wire to wire victory by Lucas Herbert is time to go across the Irish sea to North Berwick for the Scottish Open. The event that has in the past few years always come the week before The Open. The Tour gets an influx of players from the PGA Tour looking to fine tune in their games ready for next week. The Scottish open is one of 4 events on the Tour schedule which are Rolex events offering double race to Dubai points & a nice $8,000,000 Purse to go with it. Its’s the 2nd Rolex Event of the year after Tyrell Hatton won the 1st at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. As one of the flagship events on the Tour players will be looking to add their names to the impressive list of winners including Phil Mickelson, Justin Rose & Martin Kaymer. Phil is the only player in the last 15 years to win the Scottish Open & then The Open the following Week.

Course

The Renaissance Club is hosting this week for the 3rd year in a row. The Tom Doak designed course measures 7293 yards & plays as a par 71. The 71 is made up of 5 par3s,9 pars 4s & 4 par 5s. Previous years have seen Aaron Rai & Bernd Wiesberger come out victorious with scores of -11 & -22. Scoring last year was a lot lower than 2019 mainly because of the weekend weather, a lot of players struggling in the torrential rain. I can remember players uploading pictures on their socials of soak yardage books as well as clothes & Bags all drying out. Last year’s Scottish open was held in October & not July like 2019 & this year so the Autumn downpour of last year should be missed. Current forecast is set to be cloudy with a gentle breeze so the Tour could test players with pin positions if the conditions allow it.

Previous winners – Course in Brackets

2020 – Arron Rai – Score -11 (Renaissance)

2019 – Bernd Wiesberger – Score -22 (Renaissance)

2018 – Brandon Stone – Score -20 (Gullane)

2017 – Rafa Cabrera-Bello – Score -13 (Dundonald)

2016 – Alex Noren – Score -14 (Castle Stewart)

@Golftipster5 Selections:

Tyrell Hatton 20-1 Paddy Power 8 Places

After winning the 1st event of the Rolex series back in January, Hatton will be looking to add the Scottish open to his resume. 4 of his 6 European Tour wins have been part of the Rolex Series. In 2019 he finished 14th on this course shooting 70-66-64-67 so he is more than capable of going low here. He has played most of the season in America & ranks one the best players tee to green in 15th. His strokes gained off the tee he ranks 20th & approach to the green 11th. It’s the flatstick that has been letting him down. He was interviewed a few weeks ago saying he was going to try a new one if his final round didn’t go well because he had putting so badly. Even with this he still ranks as one of the best putters on the PGA Tour this year, his average putts per round is 28.29 which is 13th on Tour. I thought he would have been considerably lower in the market this week so at 20-1 he was an easy click. Current form reads MC-2-38-39-18

Bernd Wiesberger 40-1 SkyBet 8 Places

The 2019 champion comes into this event full of confidence after a win at the Made in Himmerland just 4 starts ago & a top 5 in the BMW in his last start. He finished 48th in his defence last year but considering the course plays completely different from July to October he can go back to conditions that saw him victorious in 2019. Another player who hits lots of greens, 70.99% ranks him 16th on Tour this year, he is ranked as one of the shorter hitters on Tour, not that 295yards is short but he gets it in play 54.94% of the time which will be key this week to getting a good score. Current form reads 5-MC-40-1-MC

Branden Grace 40-1 Paddy Power 8 Places

A winner already stateside this year looks to add to his 9 European Tour wins this week. He has a love for the Scottish links winning the Alfred Dunhill Link Championship & a 2nd place in the Scottish open in 2013. With his ability to hit the Low Drives he can drill some Bullets down the fairway this week & get plenty of run down the fairway. Graces form in the past year seems to have coincided with him adding Lee Warne as his permanent Caddy on the bag who previously had plenty of wins & experience with Alex Noren. All Graces stats are very similar to the average on the PGA Tour with nothing standout for being good or bad. Current form reads 7-4-WD-38-54

Guido Migliozzi 55-1 Paddy Power 8 Places

Guido is fast becoming a fan favourite with many people. His passion alone is worth a watch, everyone saw his 4-fist pump reaction at the US Open when he drained a mega putt on his way to his 4th Place finish. His form this year has been excellent it’s just missing a win. In his last 4 starts he has had two 2nd places at the Made in HimmerLand & British Masters which has him ranked 8th in the race to Dubai standings. He ranks 15th in greens in regulation this year & has a stroke average of 69.19 which ranks 8th on Tour. All ammo he can use this week to get his 1st Victory since the Belgium Knockout in 2019. Current form reads 13-4-2-2-MC.

Andrew Johnston 66-1 Paddy Power 8 Places

Beef continued his fine form last week with another top 10 finish at the Irish Open just one shot of placing for our bet last week. Like his bogey avoidance last week, he again did very well on bogey avoidance this week with just 5 all week so in his last 144 holes he has only had 11 dropped shots. He had 3 rounds in the 60s last week & his highest round was still a very respectable 70. In 2019 Beef hit 83.33% of greens in regulation when he finished 4th helped with a final round 62. He didn’t come into the 2019 event in much form so this year with his 3 top15 finishes in his last 5 events he can build on 2019 & bring home his 2nd European Tour victory. Current form reads 9-14-MC-17-4

Outsider

Victor Perez 150-1 Paddy Power 8 Places

Victor Perez will look to cement his place in Team Europe this week. He has very good form in Scotland, He won the Alfred Dunhill back in 2019 & his last 2 Scottish opens he has finished 14th & 28th so improving each time he has played. He has been playing stateside since the Saudi International where he had a good Players Championship & WGC Match Play but has struggled since missing 4 cuts.  The Scottish Open is also now a home event for him as he moved to Scotland just a few years ago so he can count on home comforts this week. His form on European Tour soil was solid before the stateside adventure which if you go back to the BMW PGA at Wentworth, he had 3 top 10 finishes in 7 starts which is why he is so high in the Ryder Cup list. Current form Reads MC-MC-MC-MC-4

Other notables

Lucas Herbert – 55-1 Fresh off a wire to wire victory I was saving Lucas for this week rather than last week as he came 4th here last year but it’s doubtful, he can go back to back.

Jason Scrivener – 100-1 A 3rd top 10 in 4 starts last week but still looking for his 1st European Tour win.

Calum Hill 150-1 – Another player in fine form this year but again still awaiting the 1st victory on Tour. 4 top 10s this season in 13 starts.

Good Luck with all Bets

@golftipster5