The PGA Championship Preview & Tips by @RH_G0LF, follow on the links below
The 104th PGA Championship takes place this week at Sothern Hills in Oklahoma. The 2nd major of the year consists of one of the strongest fields this PGA Championship has ever had so looks set to be one of the great weeks of the year. There are just the 31 major champions taking to the field to compete for The Wanamaker Trophy. A total of 156 players including 20 PGA pros will start proceedings in a bid to win the $2Million 1st prize & their name in the history books as a Major winner.
Phil Mickelson will not defend this week after withdrawing last week which only adds to the LIV situation but the less said about that this week the better. Its Major week not LIV week. He wasn’t the only withdrawal of the top ranked players with Paul Casey, Harris English, Kazuki Higa & Jimmy Walker already passing this week for various reasons. There are also doubts around whether Bryson will be teeing it up just 4 weeks after hand surgery, but he has posted a swing video this week, but he will be very rusty. There is also Sungjae Im who withdrew overnight. I was hoping to take him this week, but he flew to Korea to support a home event last week & withdrew just before his tee time because he contracted Covid which now means he will struggle to leave Korea & also enter the United States with the health regulations hence the withdrawal.
Last week’s Recap
Last week saw another birdie fest at Craig Ranch for the Byrson Nelson with KH Lee winning at -26. A 2nd year running where the course was taken apart with ultra-low scoring with a 59 watch in play on a few rounds. Hopefully the organiser will investigate this for next year as for me it’s not the best golf in the world to watch. Nobody likes a putting contest. KH defended his title at 100-1 pre-event price.
From a betting perspective it was a shocker from me but that’s golf betting for you. I was very confident in Zalatoris & Gooch going into this week but at -4 & -3 after 2 rounds wasn’t enough to make the cut. Another reason this event is not for me with a cut line of -4. It was four missed cuts in the end this week for me so onto this week very swiftly.
Name – Southern Hills Country Club
Location – Tulsa, Oklahoma
Established – 1936
Design by – Parry Maxell 1936 & renovated by Gil Hanse 2019
Par – 70
Par 3s – 4 Measuring between 173 & 230 Average of 212
Par 4s – 12 Measuring between 377 & 522 Average of 436
Par 5s – 2 Measuring Between 632 & 656 Average of 644
Greens – Bentgrass
Fairways – Bermudagrass
Water – In play on 15 holes
Bunkers – 87
2021 – Senior PGA Championship
2009 – US Amateur
2007 – PGA Championship
2001 – US Open
1994 – PGA Championship
1982 – PGA Championship
1977 – US Open
1970 – PGA Championship
1958 – US Open
Tiger Woods won the 2007 edition of the PGA Championship the last time Southern Hills hosted this event. After an opening round of 71 +1 Tiger shot one of the rounds of the week on Friday with a 63 to sit 2 clear at the half way stage. Business as usual for tiger at the weekend shooting two rounds of 69 to win by 2 shots at 8under par ahead of Woody Austin -6 & The Big Easy -5.
17 of these weeks field also competed in this event back in 2007. Garcia was disqualified after round three for an incorrect scorecard. Stenson, Zach Johnson, Bubba, Yang, & Beem all missed the cut. Tiger won, Adam Scott & Justin Rose were both 12th, Poulter 23rd, Mickelson, Cink, Westwood, Micheel & Daly all 32nd Harrington 42nd & Glover 50th.
Value Play 2PTS 16-1 William Hill 9 Places
I still find it hard to believe JT only has one major to his name with the 2017 PGA Championship. He has 13 career PGA Tour victories to go with his major win. He has been one of the best players in the world for a few years now winning at least once every year on tour since 2015. He added another top 10 last week at the birdie blitz Byron Nelson. He has 6 top 10s in 10 starts which is sensational form going into a Major. JT finished 8th at Augusta after an opening 76 so did amazing to come back so well & it was a what could have been week for him. A Solid start this week will be essential for the word no 8 & a hot putter. The putter has been very cold this year so far ranking 104th on tour. Jim Mackay on the bag to add his years of major experience will also be advantageous to JT this week.
Off the Tee – 27th
Approach the Green – 5th
Around the Green – 24th
Putting – 82nd
Tee to green – 3rd
Greens in regulation – 30th (69.32%)
Scoring average – 5th (69.645)
Value Play 30-1 Skybet 10 Places
Hideki took a few weeks out recently after the masters with his injuries he’s been having lately to recover. He came back last week & finished 3rd showing even with the short lay off his game is still in a great place. The injuries are hopefully behind him now as he had a few Withdrawals at the start of the year & lead up to Augusta. Even with the niggling injuries he’s still had solid finishes, yet to miss a cut still this year & has one win & 2 more top 10 finishes. With the course looking likely to be playing long this week & approaches over 200 yards possible on numerous hole he is one of the best from this range, he ranks in the top 10 from 200-275 yards. Not only is his long game fantastic he also ranks no lower than 40th in the 75–175-yard categories so clearly striking it very well.
Off the Tee – 57th
Approach the Green – 6th
Around the Green – 54th
Putting – 143rd
Tee to Green – 9th
Greens in Regulation – 7th (71.09%)
Scoring Average – 12th (70.070)
Value Play 33-1 Skybet 10 Places
Shane has every chance this week of picking up his 2nd major. He is fantastic form of late with a 3rd at the RBC Heritage & a 3RD the week before at the Masters. Shane comes into this week full of confidence but is still winless since the 2019 Open Championship however he has picked up 11 top 10 finishes in that time. He is 9 for 9 in cuts made this year with a worst finish in a stroke play event of 24th which is a fantastic return. With his last 2 starts of 3rd place he also has a 2nd place at the tricky Honda Classic & 4 more top 15 finishes. His approach game & putting are statically some of the best on tour, he is 2nd for proximity to the hole which will be vital with the relatively small greens this week & severe run offs that will be catching players out.
Off the Tee – 64th
Approach the Green – 4th
Around the Green – 143rd
Putting – 13th
Tee to green – 24th
Greens in regulation – 43rd (68.65%)
Scoring average 3rd (69.524)
Value play 50-1 William Hill 9 Places
If you’re going to dangle 50-1 on the world no 17 who ranks 1st for strokes gained total, then I’m afraid that is the no1 auto bet of the week. Even if he misses the cut this week, I can’t not take Fitzy at such a good price. Matthew has had some great tournaments so far this year with 5 top 10s in just 8 Strokeplay starts. To go with that he also finished 14th at the Masters. He is just missing that first win stateside which once he wins one I’m pretty sure it will have a Scottie Scheffler effect on him. The Sheffield lad certainly has all the attributes needed to win this week especially the short game which will no doubt come into play at some point. Nobody is going to hit every green so scrabbling will be crucial & he ranks 3rd on tour for this.
Off the Tee – 14th
Approach the Green – 24th
Around the Green – 19th
Putting – 19th
Tee to Green – 6th
Green in Regulation – 101st (66.51%)
Scoring Average – 4th (69.627)
Value Play 100-1 Paddy Power 10 Places
I’m going put last weeks missed cut on the burner & forget it happened. He still managed to shoot 3 under for 2 rounds which 9/10 is normally good enough to see the weekend. Gooch rose to a career high 31st in the world rankings at the start of the year after his win at the RSM Classic & had a great Master’s Debut finishing 14th. Just 1 top 10 this year at the Arnold Palmer but has 7 top 30 finishes so game is clearly in good shape coming into the 2nd major of the year. His form is very similar to that of Jimmy Walker when he won the PGA so I’m hopeful Gooch has the same luck. Talor is an Oklahoma Resident so has the luxury of being able to stay at home this week & will be able to have close family & fiends at the event giving him support but best of all he gets his own bed.
Off the Tee – 133rd
Approach the Green – 21st
Around the Green – 7th
Putting – 93rd
Tee to Green – 29th
Greens in Regulation – 26th (69.69%)
Scoring Average – 19th (70.218)
Harold Varner 80-1 Boylesports 11 Places
Value Play 125-1 Paddy Power 10 Places
The Saudi Invitational winner is looking for his maiden Major this week. He comes into this major in the best place his game has been in pre major. A 3rd place finish at the RBC heritage, a 23rd at Augusta & 6th at the Players show he’s playing well in the stronger field events this year. He also has the Asia Tour Victory where he landed a monster putt on the 72nd hole to steal victory away from Bubba Watson. If you go on Butch Harmons Socials, he is always full of praise for Harold which has shown in his performances lately. He couldn’t add another major winner to his resume could her?
Off the Tee – 135th
Approach the Green – 52nd
Around the Green – 30th
Putting – 60th
Tee to green – 57th
Scoring average – 63rd (70.82)
Sam Burns 80-1 – Was my player to watch this year on the PGA so when I saw 80-1 on offer at the start of the year, I jumped on that. 6 Places
Other notables –
I will be looking at the top 20 top 40 markets for these guys.
Min Woo Lee – 14th at Augusta on Debut & will want to replicate his sister last week who won on the LPGA
Rikuya Hoshino – the best form player in Japan right now, finishing in the top 10 5 starts in a row.
Sadom Kaewkanjana – The current best ranked player from Thailand. In his last 18 starts he has won 4 times & has 5 more top 10s to go with it.
Pablo Larrazabal – not your usual household major name but in great form on the DP world. He has won twice in 5 starts & has 3 more top 10s in 7 starts.
Could make for a good 4 fold Acca or Lucky 15 if the prices are right.
Odds correct as of 20:00 15/5/22
Good luck with all bets