THE 150TH OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP PREVIEW AND TIPS 2022 by @NelsonsGolfTips

We finally have the 150th Open Championship after it was cancelled due to covid in 2020, there couldn’t be a better venue than this the home of golf. 

St Andrews has been the home of golf since 1552  and it’s the oldest golf course in the world, this course is steeped in history and enthralling finishes leaving us on the edge of our seats.

Last weeks Scottish open was a good prep for the Championship, Zander Schauffele prevailed after a hard fought contest, there are a handful of players who have caught the eye.

The market is headed by Mcllroy 9/1 after some good recent form and his win in the Canadian Open, next in line is Rahm at 11/1 and hot on his collar is the world number 1 Scheffler at 12/1 with both USPGA Champion Thomas 14/1 and newly crowned US Open champ  Fitzpatrick 16/1.

Next up is former Open champions Spieth and Morikawa at 18/1 and 20/1 respectively, with the new LIV recruits close behind Johnson and Koepka, lets not forget about Tiger , the Open wouldn’t be the same without him and at 50/1 there might be some value in that.

COURSE 

 The 150th Open Championship is hosted  at the home of golf, Old Course at St Andrews, Fife, Scotland.

Established in 1552 the home of golf was born, and what a beautiful thing it has become, just seeing the professionals walking up the 18th, with the grandstands showing their respect has my hairs on the back of my neck standing.

In 1552 the Archbishop John Hamilton gave the towns people of St Andrews the right to play on the links and in 1754, 22 noblemen, professionals and Landowners founded the society of St Andrews Golfers, this society would then become the precursor to the R&A. 

St Andrews links had a scare when they went bankrupt in 1797. The towns council of st andrews decided to allow rabbit farming on the golf course-to challenge golf for popularity. Twenty years of legal battle between the golfers and rabbit farmers ended in 1821 when landowner and golfer James Cheape brought the land and is credited for saving the links for golf.

The course was designed in the 1850s by Daw Anderson and Old Tom Morris (1863- 1908) and was responsible for the old course and how its set up today, the course has hosted this major 29 times since 1873.

PAST WINNERS

 2021 Morikawa 265

2020 cancelled

2019 Lowry 269

2018 Molinari 276

2017 Spieth 268

2016 Stenson 264

2015 Z Johnson 273

2014 Mcllroy 271

2103 Mickleson 281

2012 Els 273

2011 Clarke 275

ANGLES IN

Ive been looking at past Open Championship winners, but as usual there ain’t much to to on, last year Morikawa won at Royal St George and prior to that his form was T71-2nd- T14- T8-T7 so apart from the Scottish open he was in good form, Lowrys form coming into his win at Dunluce was T34- T28- T2-T8-T3.So again I would say it was very good form going into it.

 It seems like a running theme as Molinari was in excellent form winning the Pga Championship and Quicken loans before going on to win the Open ans two seconds, all winners going into the open had an excellent approach game stretching back 5-6 tournaments before the win.

You can look through the stats and nearly every player has recent very good form and one other thing players who played well at the  PGA Championship go on to play well at the Open, it  seems to be a good guide to the winners.

WEATHER FORECAST

The forecast for the opening day is  sunny with a 13mph winds, the Friday is a similar forecast with 14mph winds, Saturday is overcast with a 15mph winds and the final day the weather is overcast again with 15mph winds

PICKS

SCHEFFLER 12/1 4PTS EW – 11PLS BYL

How can we not put this man in after the season he has had so far.

Scottie won his first major earlier this year at the masters, prior to that he won three times, his maiden win came at the Phoenix Open, which was no surprise given the great golf he was playing.

The rookie of the year in 2020 has not just exploded on the scene he’s taken over, 2021 he made the team in the Ryder cup and didnt disappoint he got 2.5 points and defeated former world number one Rahm in the singles on Sunday.

In 2022 so far Scheffler has won three times which is rare on the PGA tour unless your an exceptional player and yes he is, he has only one missed cut to his name this year which was at the PGA Championship.

He went so close to winning the US Open in June, losing by one shot to our English boy Fitzpatrick, his stats this year are impressive his numbers are SGT2G 7TH- SGOTT 47TH – SGAPP 7TH – SGGIR 1ST – SGARG 21ST – SGPUTT 39TH.

This 26yr old from New Jersey is no stranger to Majors so far his record reads Masters won- PGA T4- US Open T2- T7-The Open Championship T8 , after T8th last year at Royal St Georges Scottie is primed for a big shot at his first claret jug.

SCHAUFFELE 25/1 -3PTS EW 11PLS BYL

The resurgence of Zander cant be overlooked, he’s had a barren few years but the tide is turning, up until this year he had only one PGA tour win to his name, now he has two and a win in the doubles at the Zurich along side Cantlay, he did win the gold Medal at the Olympics.

Zander is playing some excellent golf at the moment, he has nine top 20s to his name, he played well at both the PGA and the US Open with both of them top 20, there has been a couple of missed cuts along the way with one of them at Augusta, the other being at the players so both can be excused.

Schauffeles major record reads Masters T2-T3- US Open T3-5TH-T7-T14, PGA T10-T13TH, Open T2- T26-T20.

His recent stats are a plus they read, SGT2G 8TH- SGOTT 38TH- SGAPR 8TH – SGGIR T12 – SGARG 31ST – SGPUTT 31ST.

Zander is primed for a big challenge of the claret jug, he tuned up himself by winning the Pro AM in Ireland,  I can see him there at the end.

 ZALATORIS 25/1 – 3PTS EW – 11PLS BYL

Willy z is the major nearly man and will be there again fighting his way up the leader-board, he’s still not yet got that first elusive win but boy has he tried, he’s gone through major heartbreak twice this year, losing in a play off with JT and looked to be going into another play-off with Fitzpatrick on the 18th until he came up with this out of the world bunker shot to win his first US Open.

Willy has already got the hearts of the fans and even though he lost in both majors he still managed a smile, its only a matter of time before he gets his first win and first major.

Zalatoris has seven top 10s so far and a couple of MC along the way, not many players can boast that, all the year he’s gained on the field apart from the MC, and talking of gained stats his putting has showed up good so far, both Majors he gained 1.26 and 1.76 respectively, and In both Majors he gained 3.84 in the PGA and 4.02 in the US Open total.

Willys stats for the year are as SGT2G 2ND – SGOTT 11TH – SGAPR 1ST SGGIR 8TH – SGARG 69TH – SGPUTT T122 

There has been a big improvement in his putting and gained in both the Us Open where he was 4th in putting and 10th in putting at the  PGA Championship.

Zala withdrew at last years Open after getting injured, but this year he’s fully fit and raring to go, and lift the holy grail the claret jug.

C SMITH 25/1 3PTS EW – 11PLS BYL

How can we no play this man, he has major champion written all over him, cam has been on my major radar for some time, its only a matter of time before he hits the heights.

Camerons form over the past two years has elevated him into a solid top ten player in the world, this year so far he’s won twice, his first win came at the start of the year at the Sentry Tournament of champions where he gained 4.53 strokes on the field.

The other win came at the prestigious Players Championship, the putter was red hot then gaining 3.00 on the field, but recently its gone cold so were taking a slight chance on it becoming hot, we all know how good cams irons are, and his short game is better bar none.

Smiths last five Tournaments read MC- T48 -T13 -T13PGA – MC , and his stats so far this year SGT2G T24TH – SGOTT 141ST – SGAPP 2ND – SGGIR 55TH – SGARG 28TH – SGPUTT 14TH.

Cams Major record reads Masters T2ND -T3RD – T5TH -T10TH, US Open T4TH -T33, PGA T13TH, OPEN T10TH – T33RD.

Smith is probably going to fly under the radar due to his recent form coupled with his wayward driving, but don’t discount him, he’s not world number six for nothing, I think the links test will suit that amazing short game he has and scrambling will be a big factor at the old course.

FITZPATRICK 25/1 3PTS EW – 11PLS BYL

We couldn’t leave out our newly crowned major champion Matt Fitzpatrick, this Sheffield lad has been sensational all year and was still waiting for his first PGA win in the states.

This lad has worked so hard on his fitness and swing and the changes are there to see, Matt has missed three cuts this year but in between that he’s put some good numbers together.

Matt’s last five tournaments read, 1ST – T10 – MC – T5TH – T2ND – , there have been eight top 10s this year only beaten by Scheffler and Thomas who are in 1st and 5th in the world.

Fitz numbers this year read SGT2G 1ST – SGOTT 8TH – SGAPR 22ND – SGGIR T78TH – SGARG 3RD – SGPUTT 36TH.

His major form reads Master T7TH – T34TH , US Open 1ST – T12TH – T12TH , PGA T5TH – T23RD, Open T20TH – T12TH – T12TH 

Matt is trending towards another win, and I can see him winning two majors this year, he’s back in Britain  and will have the backing of the locals, you would be mad not to have him on your betting slip.

MATSUYAMA 28/1 2PTS EW – 11PLS BYL

Hideki is another one who’s shown some terrific form this year, he’s not missed a cut all year  and has had four top 10s, we also had a WD and a DQ at the Memorial due to his driver not conforming to standards.

He started the year with a win on his second start at the Sony Open beating Henley in a play-off, Hideki has eight PGA Tour wins and three DP Tour wins, he has no pressure of winning a Major after he won the masters in 2021, he can just play the shots with no pressure.

His stats for the year read SGT2G 10TH – SGOTT 65TH – SGAPP 3RD – SGGIR 6TH – SGARG 57TH – SGPUTT T126TH .

Matsuyamas major form reads, Masters 1ST – T13TH – T14TH, US Open T26TH – T17TH – T16TH – T2ND, PGA T16TH – T22ND – T5TH -T4TH -T23RD, Open T14TH – T18TH.

With the forecast for the weather to be sunny and calm this could turn out to be a wedge fest and who better to have on your side buy one of the best wedge players in the world.

There are other prices and places available by other bookmakers.

VALSPAR CHAMPIONSHIP PREVIEW 2022

MARCH 15TH 2022 – ‘@NelsonsGolfTips.

The Players Championship is so hard to follow but the Valspar is equal to the task, the Players Championship was won by Cameron Smith and weren’t without its interruptions with the weather,.the on-course staff did a tremendous job of getting it playable.

We are weeks away from the master so were expecting a solid field at the Copperhead Course to get their game fine-tuned, last year we had four of the top ten and I can see more big guns coming here, more notable players were here last year including Corey Conners, Abraham Ancer, Louis Oosthuizen, Patrick Reed and Joaquin Niemann.

Course copperhead course

The Copperhead Course is played at the Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club, just north of Tampa Florida, it was opened in 1970 it has four golf courses on the property with Copperhead being the most famous, it was designed by someone called Larry Packard.

The course measures 7340 yards par 71, many if not all the holes have some resemblance of dog legs which will play into the hands of someone who can work the ball both ways, there are four par 5s and five par 3s with

The signature holes on the course come right at the end of the round with them being the 16th through to the 18th and need no introduction, it’s called The Snake Pit.

16TH HOLE – 475 Yards

The 16th hole is a par four 475 Yards, it has a wall of trees on the left-hand side coupled with a large pond on the right-hand side waiting for those wayward drives. And the further you drive the ball the narrower the fairway gets, It is possibly seen as a non-driving hole but sacrificing distance can leave a very long shot into a small green.

17TH HOLE- 215 Yards

This long par three seems to look easy but don’t let it fool you its green is larger than usual but is guarded on all fronts with the bunkers, so walking away with a par will more than suffice.

18TH HOLE -445 Yards

This is why they call it the Snake Pit, it’s an intimidating closing hole with trees and bunkers on both sides of the fairway and if you fall into the left-hand trap then hitting the green in regulation is very hard, while a shot into the bunkers on the right gives you a good look into the green, they are all very narrow so hitting the front side bunkers is a good bailout but hitting the back ones is a big no-no due to the fact the green significantly slopes from back to the front and making it impossible to get up and down.

Overall this course is a stern test of the mind and is very narrow with tree-lined fairways which need the ball moving a lot, the winning score last year was -17 but normally between 7-10 under, the copperhead course is a great test of a golfer.

PAST WINNERS

2021 SAM BURNS -17 STATS SGOTT – 16TH, SGTTG- 5TH SGAPR- 14TH, SGGIR- T35, SGSCR- T30, SGPUTT- 3RD

2020 CANCELLED

2019 PAUL CASEY -8 STATS SGOTT- 6TH SGTTG- 1ST, SGAPR- 7TH, SGGIR- T5, SGSCR- 47TH, SGPUTT- 43RD.

2018 PAUL CASEY -10 STATS SGOTT- 50TH, SGTTG- 6TH, SGAPR- 7TH, SGGIR- T30, SGSCR- 3RD, SGPUTT- T5.

2017 ADAM HADWIN -14 STATS SGOTT- 47TH, SGTTG- 5TH, SGAPR- 2ND, SGGIR- T5, SGSCR- 7TH, SGPUTT- 4TH.

2016 CHARL SCHWARTZEL -7 STATS SGOTT- 52ND, SGTTG- 4TH, SGAPR- 3RD, SGGIR- T10, SGSCR- T45, SGPUTT- 12TH.

2015 JORDAN SPIETH -10 STATS SGOTT- 28TH, SGTTG- 1ST, SGAPR- 12TH, SGGIR- T32, SGSCR- 18TH, SGPUTT- 26TH.

2014 JOHN SENDEN -7 STATS SGOTT 57TH, SGTTG- 3RD, SGAPR- 5TH, SGGIR- T3, SGSCR- T35, SGPUTT- 15TH.

2013 KEVIN STREELMAN -10 STATS SGOTT- 21ST, SGTTG- 5TH, SGAPR- 7TH, SGGIR- T11, SGSCR- 1ST, SGPUTT- 3RD.

2012 LUKE DONALD -13 STATS SGOTT 25TH, SGTTG- T41, SGAPR- 62ND, SGGIR- T43, SGSCR- T28, SGPUTT- 1ST.

2011 GARY WOODLAND – 15 STATS SGOTT 10TH, SGTTG- 7TH, SGAPR- 39TH, SGGIR-T29, SGSCR- 6TH, SGPUTT-3RD.

Looking back at the winner stats the strokes gaines tee to green are up there in the high numbers along side strokes gained approach, so have a good look out for some good recent form with those strong numbers.

PICKS

VICTOR HOVLAND 11/1- 3PTS WIN W,HILL

Victor has been in stupendous form his recent outings have yielded some good scores without getting over the line, he finished T9 at the players -T12 at the API and T4 at the Genesis, his driving and iron play has made him into a solid player with him up to number three in the world ranking, he was 1st in SGTTG and 3rd in SGAPR at the Players, he was 3rd here last year in his only start, expect more wins this season with this one going in the bag.

COLIN MORIKAWA 11/1 – 3PTS WIN W,HILL

Colin missed the cut at the Players and to be honest he and many more of his professional colleagues were on the wrong side of the draw and had to play in horrendous conditions, that’s not the Morikawa we know he has been in such good form with him being rated the best iron player in the world, his recent stats are Players mc – Genesis T2- Dubai T18, he’s still showing good numbers on course with him 9th SGTTG and 12th SGAPR YTD, he has no course form here but can easily contest this tournament.

KOKRAK 33/1 – 2PTS EW 8 PLACES W, HILL

Jason has had a slow start to the season he’s had two top 30s and T53 at the players but as you are well aware that’s not the kokrak we know after two wins in 2021 and one in 2020, he’s better than the bare form suggests, Jason has some good course form here with him T2-T8 and T13 so expect him to be fighting on Sunday for his first win of the year.

KEEGAN BRADLEY 50/1- 1PT EW 8 PLACES W,HILL

Keegan had an excellent Players championship and if had he not gone in the water at the 18th who knows what would have happened, he’s made a solid start to the year with a T11th at the Arnold Palmer which wasn’t an easy ride, he was 2nd TTG and 10th SGAPR at the Players and YTD 11th SGTTG and 26th SGAPR which for me are the most important stats for this tournament, he also has a 2nd here and T31 so I’m hoping for a good showing from Bradley.

HAROLD VARNER lll

Harold has already been in the winners circle this year unfortunately it’s not the PGA win he was after but with his recent good form I can see him making it number two like the trend is showing this year, The win in Saudi was a very strong contest with the likes of DJ – Lowry-Niemann- smith – Ancer and Fleetwood in tow, his numbers at the Players were nothing to be sniffed at with him 7th in both SGTTG and SGAPR, he has had a couple of missed cuts before the Players so probably a leap of faith needed.

AARON WISE 66/1 – 0.5PTS EW 8 PLACES W, HILL

This one is a bit left-field but after recent showings, I cant see why he can’t give it a good go, he’s finished T17th at the Arnold Palmer – T5th CJ Cup- T67 at the Genesis and T50 at the Players his numbers can give him a good chance with him being in form his SGTTG is 16th and 6th SGAPR, his last win came back in 2018 at the Byron Nelson. this could be a little gem at 66/1.

BETTING PREVIEW & TIPS -THE PLAYERS CHAMPIONSHIP 2022

MARCH 10TH 2022 – SADDLERS07

By @NelsonsGolfTips.

So after the trials and tribulations of the Arnold Palmer Invitational in which Scotty Scheffler won we now move on to what some would call the pinnacle of golf and the (Fith major, according to most people) The Players Championship.

So this season it has been nothing but dull thus far, we’ve had no more than four tour maiden winners, we had the fairy tale of Tom Hoge winning the AT&T at Pebble Beach, we also had the charismatic Scotty Scheffler winning at the Pheonix Open, two other maiden winners were Luke list(The Farmers) and two weeks ago Straka at the Honda Classic so we are not short of drama, which brings us back to the Players.

last year was an emotional triumph by Justin Thomas, after losing his grandad Paul Thomas the month before he had to come from behind to win the Players by one shot to Lee Westwood.

COURSE TPC SAWGRASS (stadium course)

The players have been held at TPC Sawgrass since 1982 it’s a Pete Dye & Alice Dye masterpiece, they have created some amazing courses but this is the crown jewel of their designs, it’s a par 72 just over 7000 yards, The fairways are a celebration grass overseeded by champion fine ryegrass and the greens are TifEagle bermudagrass overseeded with poa trivialis/velvet bentgrass,.Alice and Pete created this course specifically for the players to create drama and knife-edge viewing.

hole 17TH

There are some amazing holes to talk about and why not start with the 17th which is possibly the most famous hole on the PGA Tour and has been voted in the top ten best par 3 holes in the world alongside such holes as the 12th at Augusta and the 8th at Royal Troon (The Postage Stamp ) it’s an island green 132-yard shot which in the past has made or broken your round.

HOLE 12TH

Not to be overshadowed by the centrepiece 17th the 12th has its own idea on putting you out your comfort zone but at the same time gives you the excitement of a possible two-shot swing, The redesign par 4th usually plays just over 300 -350 yards depending on the tee box, just under half the pros go for the green in one, they have to contend with water down the left-hand side which runs alongside the whole of the green and ait has a massive bunker alongside it that gives the players a chance to go for it, there are also three small bunkers on the right waiting to give you an awkward up and down.

THE 16TH HOLE

As you can see the par 5- 16th is easy on the eye but easy is not a word for this hole, it plays just over 500yards and is reachable in two, you have water to contend with on the right-hand side and if you don’t go in you will certainly have some rough to deal with which makes the second shot so much harder to control, on the left-hand side you have trees which if you go in your possibly chipping out and then it’s more like a par rather than an Eagle or Birdie hole, by the green you have one bunker on the right and four on the left, you must make sure you get the ball on the right level of the green due to it being two-tier, the green slopes back to the water so you need to keep it well away from the water or it might roll in.

PAST WINNER

2021 JUSTIN THOMAS -14 SGTTG 1ST – OTT 10TH -APR 5TH -GIR T17 -SCR 14TH – PUTT 42ND.

2020 CANCELLED

2019 RORY MCLLROY -16 SGTTG 1ST -OTT 2ND -APR 6TH -GIR T3 -SCR T40 -PUTT 45TH.

2018 WEBB SIMPSON -18 SGTTG 16TH – OTT 32ND – APR 62ND -GIR T5TH – SCR 24TH -PUTT 1ST

2017 SI WOO KIM -10 SGTTG 2ND – OTT 2ND – APR 17TH – GIRT37TH -SCR 1ST -PUTT 37TH.

2016 JASON DAY -15 SGTTG 3RD -OTT 28TH -APR 9TH -GIR T15TH – SCR 1ST – PUTT 8TH.

2015 RICKY FOWLER -12 SGTTG 5TH -OTT 26TH – APR 5TH – GIR T51 -SCR 10TH – PUTT 20TH.

2014 MARTIN KAYMER -13 SGTTG 2ND – OTT 9TH -APR 4TH -GIR 3RD -SCR 4TH -PUTT 19TH.

2013 TIGER WOODS -13 SGTTG 1ST – OTT 30TH -APR 2ND – GIR T3RD – SCR 6TH -PUTT 38TH.

2012 MATT KUCHAR -13 SGTTG 10TH -OTT 20TH -APR 12TH – GIR T3RD -SCR 21ST -PUTT 2ND.

2011 K J CHOI -13 SGTTG 28TH – OTT 45TH – APR 27TH – GIR 21ST – SCR 3RD – PUTT 2ND.

Looking back at the past winner its quite obvious that strokes gained off the tee and approach are important with possibly someone who has strong scrambling stats, looking back you can see some strong iron players have won the players with the likes of Tiger – Rory -Thomas – Day – and fowler, we are looking for the best birdie makers, and we need to identify those with good SG/approach numbers.

correlating courses

QUAIL HOLLOW (results)

HARBOUR TOWN (results)

EAST LAKE (results)

SEDGEFIELD (results)

PICKS

JUSTIN THOMAS 12/1- 3PTS EW 11 PLACES BOYLE SPORTS 1/5 ODDS

After a steady start to the season, last year’s winner is back to defend his title and will be coming down the stretch on the 18th with him winning back to back players. He has three top tens this year out of four starts with him finishing T20th on the other start, his stats for the Genesis where he finished 6th which was his last start read as SGTTG 9th -SGOTT 4th – SGAPR 47th – SGGIR T8th- SCR T12th- PUTT 14th, stats so far this year are SGTTG 4th – OTT 16th – APR 10th- GIR 14th – SCR 16th- PUTT 127th. as you can see from the stats Justin has been steady off the tee with good stats with the TTG, his irons are not the usual darts he throws but they are not a million miles away from being where he wants them to be, Justin is a solid bet and at 11 places its a licence to print money for me.

COLIN MORRIKAWA 12/1- 3PTS EW 11 PLACES WITH BOYLE SPORTS 1/5 ODDS

Colin has started the year with a bit of a mixed bag he has two top tens to his name he also T18 in Dubai and T62 at Abu Dhabi, but his recent start where he was T2 was so much better. His stats for the Genesis were SGTTG 6th SGOTT 7th SGAPR 26th SGGIR T8th SGSCR 1st SGPUTT 3rd, his course form is pretty average with him only T41 in 2021 which was his only start there. Colin has their wins in 2021 with one of them being the open championship, it won’t be long before he adds to that tally.

MATSUYAMA 25/1- 2PTS EW 11 PLACES BOYLE SPORTS 1/5 ODDS

Hideki has already tasted victory this year at the Sony he’s also posted a T8th at the Pheonix and two other top 30s. Last year’s Masters champion has shown that it wasn’t just a fluke and is trying to establish himself as a solid top ten player in the world, at the moment he’s 11th. Hideki has some course form to go on, he’s T7-T17-T22-T23at the stadium course, he’s also played well at some correlating courses such as East Lake and the Wyndham, Matsu has played some solid golf this year and with the stats pointing towards SGOTT and SGAPR Hideki must have a good chance of getting his first win in the players.

DANIEL BERGER 40/1- 1 PT EW -8 PLACES WITH PADDY POWER 1/5 ODDS

So I’m giving Daniel a reprieve after the Honda debacle, this man has talent in abundance, he made the Ryder Cup-winning team last year with his great form, so far this year he’s posted T5 at the Sentry- T20 Farmers – mc and 4th at the Honda, his missed cut at the Pheonix was by 3 shots, his numbers suggest he’s due a win with him 39th SGOTT -6th SGTTG gaining 1.639 strokes – 3rd APR -22nd GIR -1st SCR and 89th Putt, so let’s hope he used his time off to brush up on the putting, and if he can keep his nerve in the final round then he can get his first Players.

SI WOO KIM 80/1-0.5PTS EW 8 PLACES WITH PADDY POWER 1/5 ODDS

What can we say about the enigmatic person that is Si Woo that ain’t already been said after being the youngest golfer to win the players at the ripe old age of 21, his numbers this year are trending towards another win after winning the Wyndham last year, he’s posted T26 at the API – 73Rrd at Genesis- T26 phoenix- 11th Farmers- 11th Amex-T55 Sony and T23 at the Sentry, his course form is 1st in 2017 – T9 2021 – T56 in 2019 – T63- 2018 and T23 in 2016, he also has correlating form winning the Wyndham with a 2nd and 3rd, he also has a second at Harbour town. Si Woo is back at his old hunting ground where he feels most comfortable.

KEVIN KISNER 80/1- 0.5PTS EW – 11 PLACES BOYLE SPORTS 1/5 ODDS

Kevin has been on the tour for quite some time but the Players has eluded him, like others in the same boat he’s trying to get his first win at the Stadium Course, he’s placed better than most with the good course form he has and playing well at similar venues, he also comes into the players with the good recent form he mc the Arnold Palmer but after such a hard tournament he can be forgiven that, previously he T38 at the Pheonix -mc – T3rd at the sony and T8th at the Sentry, Kevin is a solid ew player at here.

THE HONDA CLASSIC 2022 BETTING PREVIEW & TIPS

By @NelsonsGolfTips

This event has been hosted at several places over the years but settled at the PGA National since 2007, it hosted the Ryder Cup in 1983 and the 1987 PGA Championship, it went under renovation in 2002.

Course PGA National

Its a par 72 and is 7,048 yards it was designed by George and Tom Fazio then redesigned by Jack Nicklaus, its fairways are Bermudagrass: perennial ryegrass and the greens are Tifeagle Bermuda. The course is made up of four par 5s, four par 3s and ten par 4s.

There is only one place to start and that’s the Bear Trap holes 15-17 which are the signature holes on this course possibly only out done by Amen corner as three most famous holes in the states

HOLE15.

The Bear Trap has two par 3s, kicking off on the 15th, it’s a 179-yard hole that requires a slight draw off the tee sending it over the water on the right-hand side. There are two bunkers beyond the green, the smart play is to aim at the bottom tier on the left and hope for a two-putt to a back pin if the hole location is on that portion of the green then more birdies can be had.

HOLE 16

The 16th hole is a dogleg right par 4 which measures 434 yards off the Tee, there is water along the right-hand side with fairway bunkers to protect the aggressive drivers and the overly cautious ones. The green shape runs diagonally to the right of the approach shot from the fairway, we have seen numerous players over the years going for the money shot and ending up either in the bunker or worse into the water, play the safe way and walk off with a much deserved par.

HOLE 17

The final hole on the bear trap is another Par 3, the 17th is the best by far and the scariest of them. It’s a tee shot pretty much over water to a thin-ish green that runs long, miss it on the right side? splash, bail out left? you’ll be fortunate to find a bunker or you might go further left into the grass either way a poor second shot could send your ball to a watery grave.

As stated earlier PGA National is one of the toughest nuts to crack on the tour, undoubtedly solid ball striking is the way to get the job done, keeping your ball out of the numerous water hazards will help you achieve success with solid ball striking.

HISTORY

PGA National is undoubtedly a tough test only twice in the last seven years has the winning score been double digits both Rickie Fowler in 2017 and Matt Jones in 2021 have shot -12, the other winning scores over the past seven years have been -8 -9 -6 -8 and -6 from Sun Jae Im.

Just how difficult the course plays is dictated by how hard the wind blows and of course if the track has been softened up by the rain

PAST WINNERS

2011 RORY SABATINI 1st TTG – 39th SGOTT – 4th SGAPR – T21st GIR – 1st SCR – 21st SG PUTT.

2012 RORY MCllROY 2nd TTG – 2nd SGOTT – 8th SGAPR – T10th GIR – 1st SCR – 9th SG PUTT

2103 M THOMPSON 4th TTG – 34th SGOTT – 3rd SGAPR – T5th GIR – 36th SCR – 5th SG PUTT

2014 R HENLEY 3rd TTG – 28th SGOTT – 16th SGAPR -T26th GIR – T9th SCR – 31st SG PUTT

2015 P HARRINGTON 2nd TTG – 52nd SGOTT -2nd SGAPR – T24th GIR – 6th SCR – 37th SG PUTT

2016 A SCOTT 3rd TTG – 5th SGOTT – 2nd SGAPR – 1st GIR – 6th SCR – 23rd SG PUTT

2017 R FOWLER 7th TTG – 10th SGOTT – 16th SGAPR – T18th GIR – T9th SCR – 2nd SG PUTT

2018 J THOMAS 1st TTG – 13th SGOTT -1st SGAPR – T14th GIR – 1st SCR – 28th SG PUTT

2019 K MITCHELL 1st TTG – 12th SGOTT – 7th SGAPR – T22nd GIR – T2nd SCR – 38th SG PUTT

2020 SUN JAE IM 1st TTG – 11th SGOTT – 5th SGAPR – T2nd GIR – T5th SCR – T38th SG PUTT

2021 M JONES 1st TTG – 10th SGOTT – 7th SGAPR – T5th GIR – 17th SCR – 25th SG PUTT

As we can see from the past 11 years SGTTG and SGAPR are very important stats, only Rickie Fowler has finished out of the top 5 for strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained approach is massively important no winner has finished no worse than 16th, putting doesn’t seem that important but would be good to have the flat stick working for you rather than against you, most of the winner also had decent scrambling stats.

Looking at past winners and placed players a few tournaments keep popping up, form from the Masters – the players and Arnold palmer invitational seems relevant matt Jones 3rd at Arnold Palmer, Sun Jae 3rd twice at the Arnold Palmer, Mitchell T5- T6 at the AP, Thomas 1st in the players and 4th in the Masters, Harrington 2nd twice in the players, Fowler 1st-2nd in the players 2nd in the masters, Mcllroy 1st in the players 1st in the AP. The greens on the course spoken about are Bermuda at both the players and AP and bent grass at the Masters, I would dare to say players who perform well on Bermuda grass will thrive at the Honda,

Another similarity that is relevant some of the winners have form in the Open Championship both Rory and Padraig have won in the Open, Fowler has finished T2nd – T6th and won the Scottish open, JT 11th, Scott 2nd-T3rd -T5th.

One other point to note on this roll of houour only 5 of the past 11 winners have hailed from the US.

From the point of recent form its a bit of a mish mash some players came into it with good form but other have no form to speak of so for me were looking for a player with strong good TTG and good APR twinned with the fact they are good on Bermuda and possibly have some form on the courses i spoke about.

PICKS

BERGER 16/1 3PTS EW W,HILL 8 PLACES

After a much needed break Daniel is back and hopefully with a bang, he missed the cut at the Phoenix and prior to that he posted a T20 at the Farmers and a T5th at the Sentry. The world number 21 has gone close here before finishing second here in 2105 and t4th in 2020, his stats this year lead me to believe he’s got the tools to get the job done here his TTG is T10th his SG APR 7th and his GIR are 30th in this year to date standings, he also has form on other Bermuda grass courses he’s won twice at the St Jude.

OoSTHUIZEN 20/1 2PTS EW W,HILL 8 PLACES

Louis missed last weeks Genesis but the guy is ultra consistent, he’s been plagued at the end of last year with a lower back problem. were hoping for the louis of old with him dialling in the wedges. He’s got some course form here T24 -T21 but nothing to write home about, his recent form reads T14 -MC – T26 – T14, his recent stats read as 1st in GIR 14th TTG. Louis has the course form I’ve spoken about he’s won an Open Championship and T3rd he has a masters 2nd and players T2nd its been quite some time since he won 2018 to be exact so with such a weak field its probably as good time as ever to do it.

FLEETWOOD 20/1 2PTS EW W,HILL 8 PLACES

Just like Louis its been some time since he lifted a trophy not as long though as Oosty he won in 2019 in the Nedbank Challenge hosted by no other than Gary Player, tommys old form boasts of 5 wins on the DPWT Tour and he’ looking to get his first win in the states after his close 2nd in the U.S Open in Shinnecock hills in 2018 losing by one shot to Brooks Koepka. He has a 3rd and 4th place here at the PGA National his recent stats are T8th -T12th -T48th -T36th.

PEREIRA 40/1 1PT EW W,HILL 8 PLACES

Mito had a wonderful year in 2021 winning twice on the KFT he also just missed out on an Olympic medal by finishing T4th, he’s had an up and down start to the season with him missing two cuts and posting two solid efforts to date he T25 at the Farmers and this week a solid T15 at the Genesis, his T14th GIR, 22nd SGOTT and 25th SGAPR are welcome numbers for the form book, it wont be long before this Chilean gets his maiden win

.

VEGAS 50/1 0.5PTS W,HILL 8 PLACES

Three time PGA tour winner Jhonattan Vegas is back to his old best with a couple of good scores posted, its been a long time between drinks but after his T8th in the Saudi International his game seems to be in a much better place, his T55 at the genesis showed some good stats he was 20th SGTTG – 14th SGAPR – T8 GIR, He posted a T4th at the Honda and he also posted a 3rd – 7th at the players, it would be nice to see this gentleman in the winners circle.

BEZUIDENHOUT 50/1 0.5PTS EW W,HILL 8 PLACES

Christian is settling in well on the PGA tour he’s still a maiden on the PGA, he’s been solid this year unfortunately he missed the cut at Genesis seems like the driver wasn’t playing ball hopefully a stint down the range has fixed that, he’s no course form to speak of as he’s not played the Honda before. its going to be tough with him facing the Bear trap for the first time but with that exceptional short game he wont be far away from the first win.

GENESIS INVITATIONAL PREVIEW & BETTING TIPS

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The west coast swing makes its final stop at historic Riviera Country club. The Genesis invitational is thought to be one of the best tournaments of the year.

Course Riviera Country Club

The Riviera was designed by George C. Thomas Jr and William P. Bell. It’s a par 71 measuring 7,322 yards. The fairways and rough consist of kikuyu grass and the greens are Poa annua. There are also tight tree lined fairways so accuracy is key off the tee, but if it is wet conditions it can then become a driving fest. The Genesis Invitational normally entices the big guns in the top 20, with no other than at least eight of the top ten here religiously every year, including Dustin Johnson who hasn’t missed playing here from the start of the Genesis. Looking at the course historically the first hole is the easiest on the course and most of would be disappointed if they walked off with a par. The risk and reward hole 10th is drivable at 315 yards, it’s a good eagle opportunity but if you miss on the wrong side then a bogey is a possibility, the great Tiger Woods once said it’s the coolest par 4 we’ll play.

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THE LAST TEN WINNERS

2012 HAAS -7 won play off. stats SG TTG 31st/ SG OTT 50th/ SG GIR T58 /SG APR 51st/ SG PUTT 3rd.

2013 MERRICK -11 won play off. stats SG TTG 1st/ SG OTT 37th/ SG GIR T23/ SG APR 7th/ SG PUTT 15th

2014 WATSON -15 SG TTG 1st/ SG OTT 1st/ SG GIR 11th/ SG APR 16th/ SG PUTT 20th.

2015 HAHN -6 won play off. stats SG TTG 2nd/ SG OTT 7th/ SG GIR T28/ SG APR 22nd/ SG PUTT 50th.

2016 WATSON -15 stats SG TTG 5th/ SG OTT 16th/ SG GIR T7/ SG APR 3rd/ SG PUTT 11th.

2017 JOHNSON -17 stats SG TTG 8th/ SG OTT 2nd/ SG GIR 1st/ SG APR 20th/ SG PUTT 3rd.

2018 WATSON -12 stats SG TTG 2nd/ SG OTT 17th/ SG GIR T7/ SG APR 11th/ SG PUTT 21st.

2019 HOLMES -14 stats SG TTG 11th/ SG OTT T31/ SG GIR T2/ SG APR 6th/ SG PUTT 1st.

2020 SCOTT -11 stats SG TTG 3rd/ SG OTT 17th/ SG GIR 26th/ SG APR 3rd/ SG PUTT 27th.

2021 HOMA -12 won play off. stats SG TTG 3rd/ SG OTT 2nd/ SG GIR T5/ SG APR 21st/ SG PUTT 7th.

When trying to find any connection with past winners and places players, it becomes clear that previous course form is quite relevant. Before he won last year, Homa previously posted T5th in the year before and T37 in 2019. Adam Scott, 2020 winner was another who posted a top ten the year before he won. Johnson posted a 4th in 2016 the year before he won, highlighting what i said about course form. Another connection I found is that recent form, which again can be considered, is as important as course form. The stats speak for themselves, the winner posted no worse than T29 at the event before they won at Riviera, only Bubba Watson and J B Holmes are the exceptions, two weeks before Genesis they posted a top 20, so were back to recent form as a plus, Max Homa posted T7 at Pebble the week before his win, Scott won at the Australian Open the week before, Johnson posted 3rd at Pebble the week before his 2017 win, 2015 Hahn was 29th the week before his win, Watson was T2 in 4014 the event before his win, Merrick in 2103 was T16 the week before his win and Haas was T19 the event before his win at Riviera. so as you can see recent form with course form is a must especially if you want to find the winner. looking at the stats SG TTG is showing as a definite starting point, only Holmes 11th and Haas 31st are out of the top 10 in SG TTG, two other good ones are SG GIR and SG APR, most of the last ten winners have posted inside top 30, only Hass is the exception.

WEATHER

Over the four days the weather is forecast sunny Thursday and Friday, Saturday and Sunday sunny with overcast at times, the wind will be between 5-10 mph.

PICKS

RAHM 9/1 2PTS WIN BET 365

John is going through a lean spell, being world number one comes with a hefty weight on your shoulders, his recent form is half decent, he has three top tens and a T14 at the Amex, his stats for his T10 at the Phoenix Open reads SG OTT 1st, SG TTG 3rd, SG GIR 2nd, his putting stats are 58th which as you can see is letting him down, but his driving and iron play is still solid and that’s what he needs to win this, he also has a good record here with two top tens, his last win came in the US Open at Torrey Pines in 2021, it’s time to show the world why he is the best player on the planet..

SCHAUFFLE 22/1 2PTS EW PADDY POWER 1/5 ODDS

Zander has had a good Phoenix Open just falling short by a shot, he only had two bogeys over the four rounds, it sets him up nicely for the Genesis Open, his stats for last week was 8th SG OTT, 1st TTG, 9th APR, 1st GIR, 5th SCRAMBLING, his recent form is T34 Farmer and 12th at the Sentry, his last win came in the Olympics in 2021 in Japan, which he dedicated it to his father who has dedicated his life in making Zander the golfer he is today, he’s started year with a glint in his eye and looks like the Zander of old, banging in the wedges for tap in birdies, guaranteed it won’t, be long before he gets another win on the tour, overall he’s back to his best doing what he used to, hitting long straight drives and dialing in his wedges.

WILL ZALATORIS 28/1 2PTS EW PADDY POWER 1/5 ODDS

What can we say apart from like Scotty Scheffler this man should already have his first win, but as you know getting your first win on the tour is tough due to the talent that your up against, can Will make it two first time winners in a row, I hope so, he’s made a solid start to the year with two top tens, a T6th at the Amex and 2nd in the Farmer, his driving stats are where you want them to be, after the Farmer he was 1st TTG, 13th OTT, 1st APR, 10th GIR and 145 putting, as you can see the flat stick needs some attention and with the time off I’ve no doubt he’s been working on it, I will be surprised not to see him in the top ten come Sunday.

FITZPATRICK 33/1 2PTS EW PADDY POWER 1/5 ODDS

Matt has made a good start to the season posting a T6th at the AT&T at Pebble Beach, stats for the tournament reads SG TTG 19th, SG GIR 30th, SG PUTT 2nd gaining 1.193 on the field, he then went on to post a T10 at the Phoenix Open, stats there was SG OTT 22nd, SG TTG 11th, SG APR 8th, SG GIR T47 and 30th in Putting, with a final round of 67, Matt’s still looking for his first PGA Tour win, he last won on the DP World Tour in 2021 at the famous and hard Valderrama golf course in the Andalucia Masters, Matt’s game is trending in the right direction twinned with his T5th at Riviera it’s got to give him a good chance.

HOMA 40/1 0.5 PTS EW WILLIAM HILL 1/5 ODDS

Max is the winner of last year’s event with a score of -12 and winning it in a play off with the unlucky Tony Finau, this season he’s only played in three events and one of them he missed the cut, but he has posted two top 20s with a 15th at the Sentry and 14th at the Waste Management, posting stats of 5th OTT, 27th TTG, 39th APR, T23 GIR and 16th in PUTT, Max is showing some of his old form and if he gets his approach game in order then watch out, moustache or no moustache he’s still in the top 50 and he’s top draw.

preview by @NelsonsGolfTips.