WGC St Jude Invitational Preview & Tips

The WGC St Jude is known for attracting one of the strongest fields of the year. With its huge purse & no cut this week the majority of the OGWR top 50 will be here. Some players flying over from the Olympics could be struggling with fatigue & jetlag this week. Especially someone like Patrick reed who has had some huge travel days lately, the last 4 weeks has earned his frequent flyer miles with flights from America to Scotland back to American then to Tokyo & now back to America. Over 20,000 miles flown. However, most players have played here before so won’t need to much practice to familiarise themselves with the course again. TPC Southwind Hosts this week for the 3rd time with previous events held in 2020 & 2019 at this course.

Course

TPC Southwind located in Tennessee will host this year for the 3rd time. It has however held PGA tour events since 1989 with the ST Jude Classic until 2018 before becoming a WGC event in 2019. The course was designed by Ron Prichard & measures just 7244 yards, a very low yardage by modern day course lengths but that is reflected with the scorecard being a Par 70. 4 par 3s,12 par 4s & 2 par 5s making up the card. Water is in play in over half of the holes this week so accuracy will be needed this week to ensure no shots end up water bound for the dreaded drop shots & 3 off the tee that the punters hate to see. Since 2003 over 5500 balls have found the water at this course which is the record on tour. The 12th hole being the worst with over 950 balls in the water. Strokes gained tee to green could be vital this week along with a very accurate player.

Previous Winners – 2018 wasn’t classed as WGC

2020 – Justin Thomas – Score -13 Pre event odds 12/1

2019 – Brooks Koepka – Score -16 Pre event odds 9/1

2018 – Dustin Johnson – Score -19 Pre event odds 6/1

2017 – Daniel Berger – Score -10 Pre event odds 25-1

2016 – Daniel Berger – Score -13 Pre event odds N/A

@Golftipster5 Selections:

Brooks Koepka 12-1 William Hill 7 Places

Brooks will be one of the freshest out there this week after not playing since The Open championship where he finished 6th. One of the most inform players at the minute just missing on adding to his win at the Waste management earlier in the year. In his last 5 starts he has finished 6-5-4-MC-2, 3 of those starts were also Majors. Having won this event in 2019 & finishing 2nd behind JT last year he clearly likes this track which makes him my easiest pick of the week the week even at a short number. He ranks 4th in strokes gained total with an average score this season of 69.677 which ranks him 5th. His strokes gained tee to green he is 3rd this season & stroke gained off the tee he is 10th. Both key stats I believe to find a winner this week.

Dustin Johnson 20-1 Paddy Power 7 Places

A few pundits were questioning DJ after his missed cut at the 3M open last time out but this week he returns to a course where he has won twice before & in the most recent 2 WGCs here he has shot every round in the 60s. DJ won here in 2012 & 2018 at the St Jude Classic. A scoring average of 69.658 ranks DJ 3rd on tour this season & his stroke gained total he is 23rd. Par 3 & 4 scoring he is 28th & 27th which will be vital this week with just 2 par 5 for him to take apart. DJ will be looking to add to his 6 WGC titles he already has. Current form reads MC-8-25-9-10

Patrick Cantlay 25-1 William Hill 7 Places

The memorial Champion statistically is one of the best players on tour this season. His strokes gained total is 6th on tour which is made up of a 15th Strokes gained off the tee, 8th around the green, 4th tee to green, 25th approach the green & 53rd putting. This week is only a par 70 with only 2 par 5s so the par 4 are crucial this week & he ranks 5th in par 4 scoring this season. In his 2 previous starts here, he has finished 35th & 12th. Current form reads MC-13-15-1-23

Harris English 45-1 William Hill 7 Places

Harris won at this course back in 2013 when it was the St Jude Classic. Since winning in 2013 he played in all the remaining St Jude Classic but never in the WGC, his course form is 1-MC-45-26-10-MC. After his win 2 starts ago, he will be full of confidence going into a course he has had success at before. Harris already has 2 victories this season which has risen him up to personal best official golf world ranking of 10th (Prior to Olympics, now 14th) He is statistically one of the best putters on the tour ranking inside the top 20 at 18th. His average score this season is 70.153 which ranks 24th, which is helped when you have 305 birdies in 79 rounds averaging 4.28 per round. Current form reads 46-1-3-14-64

Outsider

Stewart Cink 125-1 Paddy Power 7 Places

Stewart has won 2 times over the past year which gets him in the field this week along with being in the Official golf world ranking top 50. He is yet to play in a WGC at TPC Southwind however he has played in the St Jude Classic numerous times. In his last 5 outings here, he has finished 4-10-65-37-53. Stewart is one of the best green hitters on tour, he is currently 9th best & hits 70.27% of greens in regulation. With 4 par 3s on the scorecard he can be sure to add some birdies this week as he ranks 1st in par 3 scoring this season. Current form reads MC-MC-30-57-47

Good Luck with all Bets

@golftipster5

The Olympic Golf Preview & Tips Men’s & Women’s

For only the 2nd time in the modern-day era golf will be an Olympic sport again after being held in 2016 for the 1st time in 112 years. For some players the chance to represent their countries at such a rare event was a no brainer & for others it just doesn’t fit their schedules & with Covid they have opted out. The event will be exactly the same as a normal stroke play event with 72-hole scoring & the lowest scorer winning the Gold Medal & 2nd & 3rd picking up the Silver & Bronze. Where players are tied for the 1st,2nd & 3rd position a sudden death play-off will commence. Just 59 Men & 60 Women will compete at the games so there will be no cuts for either competition. The men’s tournament will start 6 days after the opening ceremony on Thursday 29th July finishing on the Sunday. The women will then start on Wednesday 4th August finishing on the Saturday. Schedule below

Course

This year the Olympic golf will be held at the Kasumigaseki country club on the East course located 31km outside Tokyo in Saitama. The course opened in 1929 & was designed by Kinja Fujii & Shirou Akaboshi. The scorecard will be a par 71 consisting of 4 Par 3s,11 par 4s & 3 par 5s. Measuring 7466 on the Tournament card the course is a similar length to most Tour events. The ladies can expect to play of 6500 yards with the same scorecard set up. The course has held a range of different championships in its history the most recent event was the 2010 Japan Amateur which recent Master Champion Hideki Matsuyama won by 5 shots shotting 15underpar. Also playing this week who took part was Ryan Fox who finished T34 with 9 over. However, the Championship was on the West course, but some practice might have taken place on the East course prior to this.

@Golftipster5 Selections:

Note all selections were made before Rahm & Bryson had to WD & the Women’s were made before the Evian Championship commenced so form will not have Evian Result in. I will post odds that I got & the current best odds available on Sunday 25th July

Men’s Olympic Picks

Collin Morikawa 10-1 Skybet 6 Places. Current Best Odds 8-1 Skybet

When Collin is double figure odds all be it small after his Open win how can I not pick him. The best Iron player in the world put on a stripe show at The Open last week winning comfortably in the end by 2 shots ahead of Jordan Spieth. After already winning more tournaments than he has had missed cuts he will be keen to add an Olympic Gold to his impressive resume. 5 wins to 4 missed cuts for anyone wanted the figures. With no cut this week Collin can certainly rely of his consistent iron game shoot 4 low rounds & bring home what will probably be 1 of many Gold medals for team USA. As per usual every week Collin tees it up if he has a good week with the putter, he will most certainly be challenging come Sunday afternoon if not winning. He is statistically ranked one of the worst putters on tour (170th) but the best Approach player ranking 1st in strokes gained tee to green & approach to the green so when the putter behaves, he challenges. Current from reads 1-71-4-2-14

Sung-Jae Im 33-1 Skybet 6 Places. Current Best Odds 28-1 Skybet

Sung Jae missed The Open Championship to prep for the Olympics & it’s hard to not understand why him & Si Woo Kim both did this. In Korea if you win a medal at the Olympics you get the honour of getting to bypass the 2-year national service every Korean must do in their lifetime. A minimum of 2 years is a long time away from golf just look at Sang Moon Bae. He was ranked 85th in the world in 2015 when he left for national service, he returned ranked 1900th & he has only managed 1 victory on the Korn ferry tour since returning 5 years ago which many will blame the national service. He had racked up 12 victories before he left which just shows how it affected him. With this is mind Sungjae will be more determined than ever this week to at least get a Bronze medal so expect plenty of pin seeking this week to go low. Sunjae played on the Japan Tour before coming over to the States for the Korn Ferry & now PGA tour. He never recorded a victory in Asia but can rely on his experience of the conditions in Japan to bring home a Medal. Current form reads 47-8-35-35-MC

Tommy Fleetwood 33-1 Skybet 6 Places. Current Best Odds 30-1 Betfair

After the various Withdrawals from Team GB Tommy jumped at the chance to represent his country. He was quoted saying Justin Rose winning in 2016 helped inspire him. “He spoke to me about it a lot. I just think it was really cool like seeing his face light up and hearing him talk about how he felt about not only competing in Olympics but being an Olympic gold medallist. It was very, very cool seeing him and watching him talk about it” Also looking from his socials he looks elated to be going to the Olympics.  Tommy like Morikawa can rely on excellent iron play this week to get himself into contention. For the last 4 years he has ranked 3rd.4th, 1st & 1st in Greens in regulation on the European tour. It’s always been the flat stick that lets Tommy down ranking in the 100s each year. However, his passion alone I believe can get him through this week, his Ryder Cup performance where you don’t just play for yourself he was exceptional so playing for Team GB he will relish the opportunity. Current form Reads 33-26-17-50-35

Rikuya Hoshino 150-1 Skybet 6 Places. Current Best Odds 125-1 Skybet

Rikuya is one of the best players on the Japan tour currently, he managed to knock out much fancied Takumi Kanaya out of the last Position to represent Japan just a few weeks before the cut off. Rikuya’s last 4 events have all been majors & he has unfortunately had 3 missed cuts & a 26th in the US Open. He can get back to his best this week with home comforts. On the Japan Tour this year he ranks 1st in Money earned. He has the 4th best scoring average with 69.94 & has a par or better percentage of 87.21% which ranks him 4th on tour. He is a player I believe will be on the Major Tours in the next few years with his ability.  Current form reads MC-MC-26-MC-1

Outsider

Jazz Janewattananond 200-1 Skybet 6 Places. Current Best Odds 200-1 Bet365

Jazz hasn’t had the best of years but has still managed a 2nd & a 11th finish in his last 8 start with 4 missed cuts. In 2019 he was one of the best Asia tour players in the world registering 6 wins & 10 2nd or 3rd Place finishes. He also got to 40th in the world rankings.  A player like Hoshino who can take advantage of knowing how the conditions & humidity will affect the golf ball. I like his chances this week & at 200-1 I’m happy to take it on each way. Current form reads 46-MC-MC-37-MC

Women’s Olympic Picks All odds still currently best available

Patty Tavatankit 18-1 5 Places William Hill

Patty missed this weeks Evian Championship in order to be well prepped for the Olympic games. Having already won a major this year she will look to add an Olympic medal to her resume. She is one of the best putters on tour with her average putts per green in regulation ranking her 4th & average putts taken 14th. She hits just over 70% of greens in regulation which ranks 63rd but is still very respectable. Since her maiden major win, she has carried on her impressive for with 4 tops 5s in 7starts. The current leader for the Rookie of the year award form reads 5-21-26-5-3

Leona Maguire 28-1 5 Places Mansion Bet

After a record equalling major round of 61 in her final round week to finish T6 Leona can go to Tokyo full of confidence. She will be looking to capitalise on the smaller field this week to get her 1st victory. She has 5 top 10 finishes this year so far & her form certainly deserves a win so why not an Olympic Gold. She ranks 10th on the scoring average for the tour this season with 70.08 which is certainly helped with 161 birdies & 5 eagles in 42 rounds of golf. She is also ranked as one of the best putters on tour with a putt per green in regulation ranked 5th & average putts per round ranked 22nd with 29.44. All attributes she can use this week to go for Gold. Current form reads 15-15-2-9-26

Mone Inami 50-1 Boyle Sports 6 places

Mone is a player that isn’t a household name on the LPGA tour. She plays predominantly on the JLPGA. She fully deserves her spot on the Japanese team with Nasa Hataoka. She has won on the Japan tour 5 times in 2021 & has 4 top 5 finishes. At 50-1 in a field of 60 I’m more than happy to take this on. She ranks 1st n scoring average on tour with 70.28. A relatively short driver by tour standards at an average of 237.98yards she hits the fairway 74.28% of the time.  With no travelling to get to the Olympics as Japan is where she is based, she should be one of the freshest & best rested players this week. The Majority of the field have at least an 12hour flight from the Evian & those still stateside are looking at nearly a 24hour travel day. Mone will also be used to all the conditions that playing in Japan has to offer which will stand in her favour. Current form reads 4-22-MC-MC-41.

Gaby Lopez 66-1 Boyle Sports 6 places

Gaby has planned her entire year around the games. “That’s what my schedule is going to be played around, being rested, being prepared, in time to play well that week” She also got the honour of carrying her countries flag in the Opening Ceremony. The 2-time LPGA tour winner will be looking to hit top form this week to get herself a Gold Medal. She passed on this week’s Evian Championship like a few others in order to be ready to go come game day. Gaby is one of the longer hitters on tour hitting an average of 272.63 yards off the tee with a 67.22% accuracy. Greens in regulation she ranks 28th on tour with 73.86%. This helps her to be the 10th best birdie scorer this season with 177 birdies in 49 rounds. Current form reads 3-MC-25-41-42

Outsider

Maria Fassi 500-1 Boyle Sports 6 places

After her finish at the Evian I’ve added her as the outsider at 500-1. More than enough value for one of the longest hitters on the tour. She currently averages 277.81 yards off the tee. Its been a year of Missed cuts for Fassi but she seems to have made a turn in the right direction. After teaming up with Stacey Lewis in the previous week she’s opened up about how much she learned from playing with her for a few rounds  “I asked her a million questions, from what it is that she does on practice rounds to what she is looking for, to why she’s hitting some of the shots she was or why she plays the way she plays.” It looks to have payed off with 3 rounds in the 60s this week at the Evian Championship & she will look to continue the trend at the Olympics. Recent form reads 15-MC-MC-MC-MC

The Amundi Evian Championship Preview & Tips

The Evian Championship like The Open is back after a 1-year hiatus. Cancelled in 2020 because of Covid the Ladies will be keen to get back familiar territory at the Evian Resort Golf Club in France for the 4th Major of the year. Not the last however, with the Ladies having 5 Majors The Open still to come in 3 weeks’ time.  The best in the world will take to the field but it will be missing a few stars. US Open Winner Yuki Saso, Danielle Kang & Lexi Thomson all I believe electing for Olympic prep, but I may be wrong. The usual extra CME Globe points on offer this week with 625 instead of 500 & a nice $4.5Million Purse. Jin Young Ko is the defending Champion this week

Course

The Evian Resort Golf Club always hosts this event. The course is in Evian-Les-Bains, Southern France which overlooks Lake Geneva. It has been called the 5th Major since 2013. However, it has hosted the Evian Masters since 1994 when it was a Ladies European Tour Event before becoming a co-sanctioned LPGA & LET event in 2000. 6527 yards will make up the par 71 course this week. 5 par 3s,9 par 4s & 4 par 5 complete the scorecard. Steve Smyers helped redesign the course with European Golf Design in 2012-13 costing whopping $8million. The Redesign hasn’t been to everyone’s liking with high profile players such as Lexi Thomson & Stacy Lewis voicing concerns about it at the time. Stacy didn’t play for 2 years during a boycott because of new design. The best total score for the week was by In Gee Chun in 2016 shooting -21.

Previous winners

2019 – Jin Young Ko – Score -15

2018 – Angela Stanford – Score -12

2017 – Anna Nordqvist – Score -9

2016 – In Gee Chun – Score -21

2015 – Lydia Ko – Score -16

@Golftipster5 Selections:

Inbee Park 16-1 PaddyPower 6 Places

Inbee needs no introduction she is one of the most successful Players to grace the LPGA. She has won 21 times on tour including 7 Majors, the only Major missing from her collection is the Evian Championship. This week she can become the 1st Woman to win the Grand Slam of Golf in the Evian Championship Era. 5 women have won the 4 slam before & Karrie Webb has done the 5 Slam but nobody since the Evian has existed has completed the modern 5 slam.  She has finished 8th in this event 3 times in 2015,2018 & 2019. The year before this event became a Major in 2012, she won here so she knows to play 4 consistent rounds round here to get the job done. The world No3 has been in great form this season, she has had 21 rounds in the 60s this season & has 1 win at the Kia Classic in March. She is one of the best putters on tour ranking 3rd in average putts for the season, this with an 81.18% driving accuracy & a 73.22% greens in regulation will make her tough to beat this week. Current form reads 22-40-10-29-7

Mattila Castren 33-1 Unibet 6 Places

Matilda won on the Ladies European Tour last week at a very short price of 5/2. The event was in her home country of Finland & gave her a huge confidence boost the week before a major winning by 3 shots & only having 3 dropped shots all week. This win will almost guarantee her a spot on the Team Europe for the Solheim cup in a few months’ time. Her 2nd win of the year comes just 5 starts after her last win so she is in great form currently. The green in regulation machine is one of the best one tour ranking 6th with 77.01% so she should give herself plenty of chance this week. Current form reads 1-15-2-MC-1

Jessica Korda 35-1 PaddyPower 6 Places

Jessica can follow in her Sister’s footsteps this week & land her maiden Major just before jetting off to the Olympics. The last 2 starts at the Evian Championship Jess has finished 17th & 8th so she has plenty of course form to use to her advantage this week. Jess has the 3rd best scoring average this season on tour with 69.67 which is helped with a green in regulation percentage of 76.74. The world No13 will be looking to add to her victory at the start of the year to cement her place in the Solheim cup team. Current form reads 50-15-25-30-3

Atthaya Thitikul 40-1 Skybet 6 Places

Atthaya is still & probably always will be the youngest winner of a Women’s professional event when she won the Thailand Championship in 2017 ages just 14 years & 4 months. She had another win in 2019 in the same championship still as an amateur. She turned pro in 2020 & won a recent as a 4 starts ago at the Czech Ladies Open. She has had 7 starts this season & finished 6th or better 6 times which puts her 1st in the Race to Costa Del Sol. Atthaya has hit 74.55% of greens in regulation as well as 60.38% diving accuracy which has helped her to a score average of 69.81. In 2017 she made her only appearance at the Evian Championship as an amateur & she was ranked T19 for birdies made that week. Current form reads 4-2-4-1-65

Esther Henseleit 70-1 PaddyPower 6 Places

Esther has had a fantastic Rookie year on tour & sits 4th in the Rookie of the year standings. The 22-year-old is yet to taste victory on the LPGA tour but her recent finishes show she is very close to winning. In her last 5 starts she’s has finished 4-4-15-57-26. She knows how to get it done with a win on the Ladies European Tour in 2019. The same year she won not only Rookie of the year but also the LET order of Merit which hasn’t been done since Dame Laura Davis did it in 1985. Esther is another player who has a solid scoring average with 70.15 ranking 14th. She is also one of the most accurate players on tour with 74.6% Fairways hit & 73.25% greens in regulation.

Outsider

Chella Choi 175-1

Chella Choi stats wise is one of the best players on the tour. She is 2nd in driving accuracy with 85.6%, Greens in Regulation of 74.76% & Putts per green in regulation she ranks 17th. She isn’t the longest of hitter only averaging 245.54 yards but that should be an issue for such an accurate iron player especially when the Evian Course isn’t long by modern standards with 5 of the par 4s playing below 400 yards. She has made the cut 6 out of 7 times at this event with her finishes reading 6-MC-25-39-48-16-22. Her current form reads 22-33-29-7-28

Good Luck with all Bets

@golftipster5

European Tour – The Cazoo Open Preview & Tips

After the Collin Morikawa Stripe show at The Open last week its off the Wales this week for the Cazoo Open. The strength of the field OGWR wise looks set to be relatively low but that is expected for the week after The Open & with players going off to Japan for Olympic preparation. Most of the field didn’t play last week so most players will be nice & fresh to kick start their remaining UK Swing of golf & climb the Race to Dubai Leader board. This event came back to the tour last year after last being played in 2014. Romain Langasque victorious last time at Celtic Manor Resort but has opted not to defend this week. Formally known as the Wales Open, Celtic manor has always hosted this event since its inception in 2000.

Course

Celtic Manor hosts this week on the Twenty Ten course. The course is located in Newport, Wales. A nice 4-hour drive West for those playing The Open this week.  The par 71 is made up of 5 Par 3s, 9 par 4s & 4 par 5s. 7315 yards will makes up scorecard, the par 3s average 202 yards this week so accuracy will be key to scoring on the par 3s. The 4 par 5s all reachable with good tee shots. The 2nd hole might only be reachable for the big guys measuring at over 600 yards a downward breeze will be needed to assist getting there in 2. The forecast on Thursday could hit 28° & after the heat we have had this week the course could already be baked out so should be running quick & firm. Thursday & Friday look set to be hot conditions with little wind, but showers are forecast on Saturday & Sunday with potential Storms.

Previous winners

2020 – Romain Langasque – Score -8 Pre-Event Odds 66-1

2014 – Joost Luiten – Score -14

2013 – Gregory Bourdy – Score -8

2012 – Thongchai Jaidee – Score -6

2011 – Alex Noren – Score -9

Odds unavailable for winners after 2020.

@Golftipster5 Selections:

Sam Horsfield 16-1 Skybet 6 Places

Sam comes into the Cazoo Open of the back of a cut made at The Open but a finish of T67. He managed one round in the 60s last week but can build on the confidence gained from making the cut at The Open on his debut this week. He is one of the best players on tour on his approach to the green. He is 2nd on approach to the green, 12th tee to green & hits 70.97% of Greens in regulations which ranks him 16th. He will look to take apart the par 5s this week with his green under regulation ranking him 4th & an average par 5 score of 4.52. Sam needs to have a good week with the driver to have a chance on Sunday, currently he hits less than 50% of fairways. Last year he finished T44 but with a 65 in his final round he knows he can now go low round Celtic Manor. Current form Reads 67-MC-WD-5-19

Callum Hill 28-1 Skybet 6 Places

Callum finished 8th here last year & there’s no reason he can’t go a few better this week. He ranks as one of the best par 3 & par 4 scorers on the tour. He ranks 9th for par 3 scoring with 2.95 & 12th for par 4 scoring at 3.97. Callum has the lowest scoring average for somebody playing more than 40 rounds this year with an average of 69.15 for 48 rounds. Bogey avoidance will be key this week & an average of 2.33 bogeys a round should keep Hill’s bad scores to a low this week.  He has missed the last 2 cuts in the events he has played but a short break last week sees him fresh & ready to go again to climb the Race to Dubai leader board.  Current form reads MC-MC-17-29-40

Chan Kim 40-1 Skybet 6 Places

Chan Kim might not be a very familiar name to the hardcore European & PGA tour fans. The world No94 has been on the Japanese Tour & Asia Tour for most of his career.  Chans last 3 events have all been the last 3 Majors where he finished 53rd at The Open, Missed Cut at the US Open & 23rd in the PGA. His Tour form before that was 15-9-2-MC-35. He has a win to his name this season with the Golf Nippon Series JT Cup at the back end of the year in December.

Richard Mansell 66-1 Skybet 6 Places

Another player who made his Open debut this week & another player who made the cut. A good week overall for Richard who came into the week with hope of making the weekend which he secured with 2 opening rounds of 72 & 69. A 69 to finish off the weekend will fill him with confidence ahead of this week’s event. The Challenge tour graduate is one of the best green hitters on the tour, a greens in regulation percentage of 69.97 ranks him 23rd & his greens under regulation he ranks 9th so he should be able to make easy work of the par 5s this week. Current form reads 74-37-MC-Mc-57

Good Luck with all Bets

@golftipster5

The Open Preview & Tips by @golftipster5

By Ryan Hamilton – @Golftipster5

The Open is back after a 1-year hiatus, Shane Lowry can finally defend the Claret Jug he won in 2019 after 2020 was cancelled because of Covid.  The 4th & final major of year comes to Royal St Georges for its 15th appearance. 156 players will try to get their hands on the Claret Jug & the $2Million 1st prize. 46 of the top 50 OGWR players will make up the 156 man field this week with 8 amateurs. Sungjae Im & Siwoo Kim opting for Olympic preparation as winning a medal would exempt them from national service. Covid complications means Hideki Matsuyama & Bubba Watson can’t get over & Matt Wolff gave no reasoning behind his withdrawal. 32,000 spectators are allowed into the event each day to add the atmosphere golf has been missing over the past 16 months so there should be a real buzz around all weekend. Dare I say almost back to normality.

Course

Royal St George’s is hosting this week for the 15th time in its history, 1st hosting in 1894 & most previous in 2011. In 2017 the Amateur championship was held here won by Tom Lewis. The course sits parallel with the Coast in Sandwich, Kent so we can expect some stiff breezes off the coast. The wispy tall grass will surround the fairways so accuracy off the tee will be vital around here. Laidlaw Purves designed the links test way back in 1887 when he wanted to emulate a test similar to St Andrews. 7206 yards will make up the par 70 scorecard this week consisting of 4 par 3s,12 par 4s & just 2 par 5s. Scoring in the last 2 Opens held here have finished on -5 & -1 so its unlikely we will see a double figure winning score like Shane Lowry’s winning score in 2019. The forecast is set to be sunny & dry all week but winds getting stronger each day with up to 35mph predicted for Sunday.

Previous winners – Course in Brackets

2019 – Shane Lowry – Score -15 (Royal Portrush) Pre-Event Odds 70/1

2018 – Francesco Molinari – Score -8 (Carnoustie) Pre-Event Odds 30-1

2017 – Jordan Spieth – Score -12 (Royal Birkdale) Pre-Event Odds 14-1

2016 – Henrik Stenson – Score -20 (Royal Troon) Pre-Event Odds 28-1

2015 – Zach Johnson – Score -15 Won Playoff (St. Andrews) Pre-Event Odds 100-1

2011 Open Championship

The last time the Open was held at Royal St Georges Darren Clarke won at 110-1 with a score of -5 3 shots clear of DJ & Phil Mickelson. Tom Lewis was leading amateur finishing T30 & actually had a share of the lead after round one with a 5 under 65.

How it finished

PositionPlayerScoreTo Par
T1Darren Clarke68-68-69-70=275-5
T2Phil Mickelson70-69-71-68=278-2
T2Dustin Johnson70-68-68-72=278-2
4Thomas Bjorn65-72-71-71=279-1
T5Chad Campbell69-68-70-70=280E
T5Anthony Kim72-68-70-70=280E
T5Rickie Fowler70-70-68-72=280E

Open Stats

  • The last 2 winners of The Open at Royal St Georges were ranked outside the OGWR top 100. Ben Curtis 396th & Darren Clarke 111th
  • 5 of the last 10 Champions claimed their 1st Major with The Open – Shane Lowry, Francesco Molinari, Henrick Stenson, Darren Clarke & Louis Oosthuizen.
  • 8 of the last 10 winners played the week before the open in either the Scottish Open or John Deere
  • 8 of the last 10 winners also registered at least 1 victory in the calendar year before The Open
  • The last 8 winners were all ranked inside the OGWR top 40

@Golftipster5 Selections:

Brooks Koepka 18-1 William Hill 9 Places

The major man looking to add another trophy to the career grand slam. With 3 top 10s in 4 starts at The Open he has shown he can adapt his game to the links setup seamlessly. He already has a 2nd place finish at the PGA & a 4th Place finish at the US Open & he is known for showing up at Major championships.  Brooks already has a win this year at the Waste management Phoenix Open & 4 top 5 finishes so is challenging nearly every week he tees it up. His stats back up his form, he is 10th in both Strokes gained off the tee & Approach to the green, that added with a 3rd tee to green ranks his overall strokes gained Total 4th on tour. Current form reads 5-4-MC-2-MC

Justin Thomas 20-1 Betfair 10 Places

JT came over early this year for the Scottish Open to get used to the British conditions. He was never out of the top 10 shooting 65-69-70-65 & finishing 8th which was fantastic prep for this week. The world No.3 already has a win this year with the Player Championship & has just 3 missed cuts all season from 15 events played. JT hit 76.38% of green in regulation this week which was helped by his Driving. He ranked 1st in strokes gained off the tee with a 67.31% accuracy off the tee. Finding the fairway will be vital this week & with the confidence he can take from his Scottish Open driving he should be able to find plenty of fairways this week. He had just 5 dropped shots all week with 2 bogey free rounds which ranked him 1st in strokes gained around the green so when he was out of position, he was the best in the Feld at getting up & down. Current form reads 8-19-42-40-MC

Louis Oosthuizen 33-1 William Hill 9 Places

Often called a nearly man in majors with his career slam 2nd places some people forget he won The Open in 2010 & was defending champion in 2011 at Royal St Georges. Now with the freedom of not being defending champion he can play with a lot less media attention. He already has 2 2nd place finishes & a T23 finish in the 3 majors this year so he is getting closer to his 2nd major every time he tees it up in a major. Louis is statistically the best putter on the PGA tour this season ranking 1st in stroke gained putting. He makes on average 81ft 8inch (24.8metres) of putts a round which is 5th outright on tour which with the size & speeds (13+stimpmeter) of the links green this week should put him in a good position to gain strokes on the field.  Current form reads 42-2-18-2-8

Tyrrell Hatton 40-1 Mansionbet 8 Places

Tyrrell had a quiet Saturday at the Scottish Open & one of the rounds of the day on Sunday to finish T18 shooting 69-67-72-65 for the week. Hatton was one of the best par 3 & par 4 scorers this week averaging 2.8 on par 3s which was 13th  & 3.94 on par 4s which was 23rd. With 16 of the holes par 3 or 4 this week he will look to better this this week to claim his 1st Major. The world No10 ranked around the average mark in the field in all his major stats last week but even the average was still 75.25% of greens in regulation. Only hitting 53.85% of fairways could be a problem as the rough will be punishing any shots not in the fairway this week but he can fix that within his Prep this week. Current form reads 18-MC-2-38-39.

Rickie Fowler 80-1 Bet365 8 Places

After missing his 1st major in 10 years Rickie returns to Royal St Georges looking to go a few better than 2011 where he finished 5th. A recent upturn in form sees Rickie come into The Open under the radar slightly I feel. There hasn’t been the usual media frenzy with Rickie in the build up to The Open like there has been in previous years. He will want to prove the media wrong this week & finally capture his 1st Major championship. Recent form of 32-MC-11-8-MC is enough for me to take him on at 80-1. I’ve sent him off at 25s in previous years so 80-1 is too high to not take seriously. He & wife Allison also recently announced that they are expecting their 1st child so he will be buzzing with how his personal life is going at the minute & there’s no reason why he can’t take this to the golf course to get his hands on the Claret Jug.

Ian Poulter 100-1 Mansionbet 80 Places

Poults is another player like Louis & Rickie who played in the last Open & Royal St Georges. Ian shot 69-78 then to miss the cut. He is also in the same category as Rickie both still looking for their 1st Major championships. After sneaking into the OGWR top 50 with his T4 finish last week he can do what his Ryder Cup teammate & Captain did in 2011 & win his 1st Major Championship. Poulter registered just 2 dropped shots all week at the Scottish Open & if he continues the bogey avoidance this week there is no reason he can’t be fighting it out down the stretch on Sunday Afternoon. He hit 83.33% of greens this week & hit the fairway 67.31% of the time. To go with that he was 5th in strokes gained putting last week so he comes into The Open this week with a real chance of winning. 100-1 was my easiest pick this week. Current form reads 4-36-40-25-3

Outsiders

Lucas Hebert 110-1 Bet365 8 Places

Backed up his Irish Open win with another solid finish last week T4. He averaged 6 birdies a round last week which helped him up the leader board. He took the par 5s apart this week averaging 4.13 for the week. Averaging 313.75 yards off the tee will help to overpower the par 5s. Unfortunately there are only 2 par 5s this week for him to take care off so he will be relying on his distance to shorten some of the huge par 4s in play this week 496 & 493 are the 2 longest in play this week. He is another player who was solid with the flat stick last week ranking 8th in strokes gained putting & averaging 9.5 one putts which was the best of anyone in the field who played all 4 rounds. Current form of 4-1-19-18-71

Richard Bland 175-1 Bet365 8 Places

Richard continues to improve week on week after his British Masters victory. He is currently sat at his career best world ranking of 98 after a solid last 5 events where he even shared the 36-hole US Open lead. He will make his 2nd Open appearance this week with his last in 2017. After winning his 1st European event 5 starts ago he has gone from strength to strength & his confidence will be at an all-time high. He has openly said Phil Mickelson’s PGA win at the age of 51 has inspired him to do even better & show that age is just a number. At 48 he will try to become one of the oldest 1st time Major winners. It really would cap of a fairy-tale few month’s for Blandy. With bogey avoidance a must this week its worth noting in his last 2 events of 144 holes he has only dropped 13 shots which were all bogeys. You have to go to the final round in the US open for his last double bogey. Current form reads 15-4-50-3-1

Top 20/Top40 Markets

No markets out yet but I’ll be very interested to see what Rikuya Hoshino, Richard Mansell & Matthias Schmid go off at in these markets. Hoshino, I posted at 1000-1 for the US open & finished in the top 25 is currently 500-1. Mansell is 1000-1 & Schmid is 600-1 so there should be good value on these 3 when the markets get released.

Good Luck with all Bets

@golftipster5

European Tour – Scottish Open Preview & Tips by @Golftipster5

European Tour, Scottish Open Preview

By Ryan Hamilton – @Golftipster5

After last weeks wire to wire victory by Lucas Herbert is time to go across the Irish sea to North Berwick for the Scottish Open. The event that has in the past few years always come the week before The Open. The Tour gets an influx of players from the PGA Tour looking to fine tune in their games ready for next week. The Scottish open is one of 4 events on the Tour schedule which are Rolex events offering double race to Dubai points & a nice $8,000,000 Purse to go with it. Its’s the 2nd Rolex Event of the year after Tyrell Hatton won the 1st at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. As one of the flagship events on the Tour players will be looking to add their names to the impressive list of winners including Phil Mickelson, Justin Rose & Martin Kaymer. Phil is the only player in the last 15 years to win the Scottish Open & then The Open the following Week.

Course

The Renaissance Club is hosting this week for the 3rd year in a row. The Tom Doak designed course measures 7293 yards & plays as a par 71. The 71 is made up of 5 par3s,9 pars 4s & 4 par 5s. Previous years have seen Aaron Rai & Bernd Wiesberger come out victorious with scores of -11 & -22. Scoring last year was a lot lower than 2019 mainly because of the weekend weather, a lot of players struggling in the torrential rain. I can remember players uploading pictures on their socials of soak yardage books as well as clothes & Bags all drying out. Last year’s Scottish open was held in October & not July like 2019 & this year so the Autumn downpour of last year should be missed. Current forecast is set to be cloudy with a gentle breeze so the Tour could test players with pin positions if the conditions allow it.

Previous winners – Course in Brackets

2020 – Arron Rai – Score -11 (Renaissance)

2019 – Bernd Wiesberger – Score -22 (Renaissance)

2018 – Brandon Stone – Score -20 (Gullane)

2017 – Rafa Cabrera-Bello – Score -13 (Dundonald)

2016 – Alex Noren – Score -14 (Castle Stewart)

@Golftipster5 Selections:

Tyrell Hatton 20-1 Paddy Power 8 Places

After winning the 1st event of the Rolex series back in January, Hatton will be looking to add the Scottish open to his resume. 4 of his 6 European Tour wins have been part of the Rolex Series. In 2019 he finished 14th on this course shooting 70-66-64-67 so he is more than capable of going low here. He has played most of the season in America & ranks one the best players tee to green in 15th. His strokes gained off the tee he ranks 20th & approach to the green 11th. It’s the flatstick that has been letting him down. He was interviewed a few weeks ago saying he was going to try a new one if his final round didn’t go well because he had putting so badly. Even with this he still ranks as one of the best putters on the PGA Tour this year, his average putts per round is 28.29 which is 13th on Tour. I thought he would have been considerably lower in the market this week so at 20-1 he was an easy click. Current form reads MC-2-38-39-18

Bernd Wiesberger 40-1 SkyBet 8 Places

The 2019 champion comes into this event full of confidence after a win at the Made in Himmerland just 4 starts ago & a top 5 in the BMW in his last start. He finished 48th in his defence last year but considering the course plays completely different from July to October he can go back to conditions that saw him victorious in 2019. Another player who hits lots of greens, 70.99% ranks him 16th on Tour this year, he is ranked as one of the shorter hitters on Tour, not that 295yards is short but he gets it in play 54.94% of the time which will be key this week to getting a good score. Current form reads 5-MC-40-1-MC

Branden Grace 40-1 Paddy Power 8 Places

A winner already stateside this year looks to add to his 9 European Tour wins this week. He has a love for the Scottish links winning the Alfred Dunhill Link Championship & a 2nd place in the Scottish open in 2013. With his ability to hit the Low Drives he can drill some Bullets down the fairway this week & get plenty of run down the fairway. Graces form in the past year seems to have coincided with him adding Lee Warne as his permanent Caddy on the bag who previously had plenty of wins & experience with Alex Noren. All Graces stats are very similar to the average on the PGA Tour with nothing standout for being good or bad. Current form reads 7-4-WD-38-54

Guido Migliozzi 55-1 Paddy Power 8 Places

Guido is fast becoming a fan favourite with many people. His passion alone is worth a watch, everyone saw his 4-fist pump reaction at the US Open when he drained a mega putt on his way to his 4th Place finish. His form this year has been excellent it’s just missing a win. In his last 4 starts he has had two 2nd places at the Made in HimmerLand & British Masters which has him ranked 8th in the race to Dubai standings. He ranks 15th in greens in regulation this year & has a stroke average of 69.19 which ranks 8th on Tour. All ammo he can use this week to get his 1st Victory since the Belgium Knockout in 2019. Current form reads 13-4-2-2-MC.

Andrew Johnston 66-1 Paddy Power 8 Places

Beef continued his fine form last week with another top 10 finish at the Irish Open just one shot of placing for our bet last week. Like his bogey avoidance last week, he again did very well on bogey avoidance this week with just 5 all week so in his last 144 holes he has only had 11 dropped shots. He had 3 rounds in the 60s last week & his highest round was still a very respectable 70. In 2019 Beef hit 83.33% of greens in regulation when he finished 4th helped with a final round 62. He didn’t come into the 2019 event in much form so this year with his 3 top15 finishes in his last 5 events he can build on 2019 & bring home his 2nd European Tour victory. Current form reads 9-14-MC-17-4

Outsider

Victor Perez 150-1 Paddy Power 8 Places

Victor Perez will look to cement his place in Team Europe this week. He has very good form in Scotland, He won the Alfred Dunhill back in 2019 & his last 2 Scottish opens he has finished 14th & 28th so improving each time he has played. He has been playing stateside since the Saudi International where he had a good Players Championship & WGC Match Play but has struggled since missing 4 cuts.  The Scottish Open is also now a home event for him as he moved to Scotland just a few years ago so he can count on home comforts this week. His form on European Tour soil was solid before the stateside adventure which if you go back to the BMW PGA at Wentworth, he had 3 top 10 finishes in 7 starts which is why he is so high in the Ryder Cup list. Current form Reads MC-MC-MC-MC-4

Other notables

Lucas Herbert – 55-1 Fresh off a wire to wire victory I was saving Lucas for this week rather than last week as he came 4th here last year but it’s doubtful, he can go back to back.

Jason Scrivener – 100-1 A 3rd top 10 in 4 starts last week but still looking for his 1st European Tour win.

Calum Hill 150-1 – Another player in fine form this year but again still awaiting the 1st victory on Tour. 4 top 10s this season in 13 starts.

Good Luck with all Bets

@golftipster5