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US OPEN 2022 Betting Preview by @NelsonsGolfTips

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There is no Waggle Duff this week, as we continue to take a break. However, all systems go on US OPEN 2022 betting tips and previews!

So, after an enthralling finish to the Canadian open, in which Rory Mcllroy won by two shots, we now move onto the third major of the year, after Scheffler won the Masters and Justin Thomas won by beating my favourite, Will Zalatoris in a play- off. 

The golfing world is still digesting what happened last week when several top players jumped ship to LIV and decided that the PGA pay structure was not enough for them, it is going to interesting over the coming months regarding playing major competitions, Ryder cup and to see how many more turn to the money.

We now move on to the task at hand the 122nd US Open, as your aware it is at the historic venue Brookline where the USA won the Ryder Cup by one point after being 10-6 down. 

Heading the market for the US Open is world number one Scotty Scheffler at 12/1 and then you have the usual suspects just behind him at 14/1 Mcllroy, Rahm and Thomas, we then have Smith and Morikawa at 20/1, and then we have Schauffele-Cantlay at 22/1, we then have three players on 25/1, Johnson, Zalatoris and Speith.

The market seems pretty compacted around the 20-40 mark but there is definitely some value still to be had, last year’s masters champion is a nice 40/1 Matsuyama and 2021 champion Bryson is 50s.

Looking at the Majors so far this year the bookmakers will be vying very hard for your well-earned cash, I would go as far to say there will be 12 places out there on offer, but with that the market gets diluted so try and balance the place with the price.

COURSE

The 122nd US Open is hosted at The Country Club, Brookline, Massachusetts, the course is steeped in history, it was established in 1882 and then designed in 1895 by Willie Campbell and 1902 by Alex Campbell, the course is a par 71 and is 7643 yards long.

The greens are bent grass and the rough is fescue, there are two water hazards, the fairways have been made bigger when Gill Hanse and Jim Wager over saw the course in 2009 there was a lot of trees removed, the bunkers around the green run deep.

The greens are amongst the smallest in the country with steep contours and steep run offs. 

On each of the 9 holes there is one par 5, two par 3s and six par 4s, the signature hole on the course is claimed to be the par 3 – 7th hole, it plays 197yards, it’s the oldest hole on the property and the only remaining from the original six built-in 1893.

The raised green features a challenging double plateau and is guarded by bunkers left and right, it is a large contouring green.

Some other noticeable holes are the par 3- 2nd hole measuring at 190 yards, it actually measures 90 yards shorter than the women’s tee, this is not a misprint, it is actually a great idea where the Championship course can utilise an alternative tee box on the right side of this par four and thus creates a par three for the players.

The 2nd hole plays uphill to a green that is heavily bunkered on the left side, however if you do pull it left off the tee then you’re hoping to find the sand rather than finding the gnarly fescue rough surrounding the bunker, which would be hard to get up and down from.

One other hole to look out for is the par5-11th, it is 511yards off the tee, its reachable in two but is dependent on how your drive goes, it is played over a pond, and you must thread your drive between a rock mound on the right and a tree line on the left.

If you can carry the rock then you will have a fair chance to go to the green in two, but a creek can come into factor if your drive is too long it can also be a factor for the shorter hitters on the tour, so they must decide to go for it or lay-up.

The green sits on a hill that plays at least two clubs longer, the putting surface is surrounded by trees, thus creating an amphitheatre, the raised green is one of the finest views on the property.

History

There have been three US Opens played here, the first being in 1913 and was won by local lad Francis Ouimet who was a former caddie around here, the 20yr old won an 18-hole play-off.

 the next one in 1963 was won by Julius Boros, he defeated Arnold Palmer and Jacky Cupit in a play off, and the most recent one was in 1988 and was won by Curtis Strange in another play- off by beating Nick Faldo. 

The US Amateur Championships have been played here in 2013 and was won by our very own Sheffield boy Matt Fitzpatrick, Hes since gone on to win 7 professional wins but the big PGA tour has evaded him thus far. 

There have been several big names who played in the US Amateur Championship in 2013 and have gained some course knowledge, world number one was one of them Scheffler, along with Conners, Schauffele, Dechambeau, young, Hossler, Mcarthy, Gooch, Poston, Nesmith, Zalatoris.

And not forgetting the Battle of Brookline in 1999 where America triumphed in the 33rd Ryder Cup, the Europeans was 10-6 up heading into the final round but made a stellar come back to win by a point with Leonard holing a 45-footer on the 17th.

PAST WINNERS

2021 RAHM 278

2021 DECHAMBEAU 274

2020 CANCELLED

2019 WOODLAND 271

2018 KOEPKA 281

2017 KOEPKA 272

2016 JOHNSON 276

2015 SPIETH 275

2014 KAYMER 271

2013 ROSE 281

2012 SIMPSON 281

2011 McllROY 268

SUMMARY

Unfortunately, there are little stats to go on, due to no major competitions played here recently, some past comments from players who have played well here are interesting, Matt Fitzpatrick was quoted in saying my short game was the best of my life today but did say he struggled due to the nature of the length of the second shots in, so maybe we need some big hitters off the tee.

Oliver Goss, who was the other finalist, said you cannot take too many risks on this golf course, and that you must play for the fat parts of the fairways and the wide parts of the greens, and if you take any chance, you could hit the rough and end up looking at bogey or worse.

Conners who was a semi-finalist said there are some treacherous greens out there, and it is important to put yourself in good positions because you can be not that far from the pin but in nearly impossible places, you can look silly out there if you get on the wrong side of the hole, I hit some good chips out there today and made some good pars.

Looking at past winners there are a few pointers but nothing solid, most of the past winners have been in the top 30 of the previous majors in the year, Rahm won in 2021 and was T8th in the PGA prior to that, Dechambeau was T4th in the PGA prior to his win, woodland T8th in the PGA, Koepka T13th PGA, Johnson T4th in the masters prior to his win, Spieth won the Masters prior to his US Open win, Kaymer T31 at the masters, Rose T25 in the masters prior to his win. 

As you can see playing well in the majors prior to playing the US Open is defiantly a plus, the course seems to demand a straight driver of the ball coupled with a fine short game and exceptionally good with the flat stick, but I think recent form could be the defining answer.

WEATHER

We start off Thursday with the sun out, highs of 75 with little wind, then Friday is sunny with cloudy intervals, and maybe some showers, rain is forecast for sat and Sunday with winds around 11mph.

PICKS

ZANDER SCHAUFFELE 18/1 3PTS EW- 11PLS BYL

So, Zander is my headline pick for the US Open, this guy has struggled for a few years but has so much potential, the man from California is for me ready to fill a tiny bit of the potential in getting his first of many majors.

After winning his first PGA Tour Title in 2017 the Greenbrier, many thought he would go on to be one of the greats but 5yrs on Hes still looking for his first major, he has won some big titles, he won the Tour Championship in his breakthrough season 2017 and won the Olympic Title in 2021.

After being as high as 4th in the world Zander is at number 12, Hes established himself as a firm number in the world rankings for a solid 5yrs now. Make no bones about this Zander is playing some really good golf, if he gets the putter rolling early then it’s in the bag.

His results this year show as T18 Memorial – T13PGA – T5th – Byron – 1ST Zurich – MC Masters – T35th WGC –T12 Valspar

His stats of the year read SGOTT T39 – SGTTG 7TH – SGAPR 9TH – SGGIR 15TH –SGARG 29TH – SGPUTT T67 

SPIETH 20/1 3PTS EW 11PLS BYL

Jordan is my second pick, I have been a fan of him for years and found it hard to see his decline, but boy is he back on the top of the pile with the big boys, he is so enigmatic, and we all love him for his enthusiasm and running commentary.

There has been no hiding about Jordans swing problems, but his new swing looks awkward to say the least but is working effectively as he won the Heritage and has posted three top ten as well this year, it is great to see that positive energy.

Form this year is T18 mem – T7 Schwab – T34 PGA – 2nd BYRON – 1st Heritage – MC Masters 

Stats for this year SGTTG 10th– SGOTT 23rd –SGAPR 25th – SGGIR 62nd – SGARG T20 – SGPUTT 149th.

As you can see from the stats there are some good numbers there but for Jordan to win another Major, he must get that putter working the way it was for years, being one of the best putters on the Tour was his signature.

IM SUNG-JAE 33/1 – 2PTS EW 11PLS BOYLE

This 24-year-old has had it rough in recent months, he missed the PGA Championships due to Covid, Sung- Jae was rookie of the year in 2018 –2019 season, after leading the Web.com Tour in 2018.

Sung- Jae has two PGA Tour victories to his name and five victories since he turned professional, his most recent win was last year at the Shriners, Sung has played really good golf this year without winning,

He has no less than four top ten to his name, his last four starts have yielded some solid numbers, at the Memorial he ranked 12th OTT- 13th TTG – 42nd ARG, Schwab 7th OTT –2nd TTG- 3rd ARG, Heritage 1st OTT –4th TTG – 18th ARG, Masters 14th OTT- 20th TTG –21st ARG. These are not to be sniffed at.

His recent results are Memorial T10 – Schwab T15 –RBC T21 –Masters T8 – WGC T35.

His stats for the year read 9th SGTTG – 12th SGOTT – 63rd SGAPR – 7th SGGIR – 6th SGARG – 74th SGPUTT.

Sung- Jae best finishes for the majors are Masters T2-2020 T8 –2022, PGA T17, US Open 22nd –2020 –T35- 2021.

Can Im Sung -Jae become the Second South Korean to win a Major Championship.

PEREIRA 45/1 – 1PT EW 11PLS BYL

Mito has become one of the fans favourites this year, Hes become a regular face on the leader boards, I am hoping that he has overcome the heart ache of the PGA Championship where he was in front until the last hole where he drove his ball into the creek and bogeyed the last, missing a three way play off where Thomas prevailed.

Mito is one of many good Chileans on the Tour, he resides in Jupiter, Florida and along with Niemann, Munoz and Ortiz the house share whilst on the tour. 

Mito has won twice on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2021 and once in 2020, and has come close this year, he has two top ten, four top 20s and four top 30s.

His stats for the year are T20 SGOTT – 11th SGT2G – 7th SGAPR –6th SGGIR – 86th SGARG – 98th SGPUTT. 

Only the players and the Zurich are where Mito did not gain strokes on the field in recent competitions, the Players was a brutal test, and the Zurich was a team event so he can be forgiven for not gaining at both events, even after the disaster on the 18th at the PGA he still gained 3.58 on the field.

CONNERS 45/1 – 1 PT EW 11PLS BYL

This course should be ideal for his game, he shot 62 in the final round of the Canadian Open, setting himself up for the US Open, Corey like many others on the Tour are always giving a good show of themselves, and this year is no different, Hes up to his highest world ranking of 31st in the world.

Corey should be able to navigate around here with the solid iron play and his long game off the Tee, when you talk of good iron players Conners is always one of them in mind.

His results so far this year are Canadian 7th – Memorial T13 – PGA MC – Wells T21- Heritage –T12- Masters T6 – Texas T35 – WGC 3rd

His stats for the year show 8th SGOTT – 21st SGT2G – 37th SGAPR – 4th SGGIR – 123rd SGARG – 91st SGPUTT.

His best results in the majors are Masters T6 2021 T27 2022, PGA T17 2021- T9 2022, Open T15 2021.

POWER 80/1 0.5PTS EW 11PLS BYL

Seamus is my Irish hope, Shane was on my short list, but I Opted for value, that does not mean he will not have the same chance, make no bones about it, Hes got Major champion written all over him and future Ryder cup player who has potential in abundance.

Seamus turned pro in 2011 and has 6 professional wins to his name, he has risen to 41st in the world rankings, he won his first PGA Title last year and with the all-round game he has it should be many more.

He has played well in both Majors this year with him T9th at the PGA and T27th at the Masters, which for me puts him in good stead to have a good go at the US Open, Hes played some good comps this year he T17th at the Byron, T5th at the WGC, T3rd at the Sony, and T9th at the AT&T after surrendering a five-shot lead.

His numbers this year are 60th SGT2G  – 57th SG OTT – 98th SGAPR – 8th SGGIR – 85th SGARG – 29th SGPUTT 

Seamus gained in stats in total in both the Master and the PGA and has been consistently gaining on the field when Hes made the cut, Seamus is value at around the 100 marks for the tournament and cannot be sniffed at.

MCCARTHY 250/1 0.5PTS EW 11PLS BYL

Denny has made a good recovery this year, he slumped to 248 in the world last year and is now as high as 121st but that does not show how well he has played recently, especially his putting.

McCarthy has showed Hes playing steady this year Hes only missed one cut this year, Hes had two top ten, two top 20s, two top 30s and three top 50s.

His results this year are Memorial T5 – Schwab T27 – PGA T48 – Wells T25 –Heritage T56 – Texas T18. 

Stats for the year are 135 OTT -103 TTG- 137 SGAPR – 140 SGGIR – 32 SGARG – 5 SGPUTT.

The stats for the Memorial are much better he was 17th SGT2G – 66th SGOTT- 30th SGAPR – T55th SGGIR – 1ST SGARG- 7th SGPUTT

This US Open can be won by anyone and with Denny in good form especially around the greens and putting then Hes in a good place to have a good shot at it.

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