Genesis Invitational Trend Research

The PGA Tour caps off its West Coast swing with a trip to Riviera Country Club. Riviera is a classical golf course with tree-lined fairways, deep bunkers, and fast putting greens. As an invitational, the field will be smaller than normal PGA events, with just over 120 golfers in attendance.

Recent winners of this event: Adam Scott, J.B. Holmes, Bubba Watson, Dustin Johnson, Bubba Watson, James Hahn, Bubba Watson (again!), John Merrick, Bill Haas, and Aaron Baddeley.

Looking at these winners there are some trends that can be found.

Trend: 8 of the last 10 winners had finished T15 or better in one of their four most recent appearances at Riviera. Merrick and Hahn were the two outliers.

Trend: 9 of the last 10 winners had played at either Pebble Beach or TPC Scottsdale the year they won at Riviera. Pebble Beach and TPC Scottsdale were the two most recent PGA Tour events. Adam Scott was the one outlier.

When you combine these two trends, there are only 28 golfers in the field who check both boxes. Below is a list of these golfers and their four recent finishes at Riviera.

Golfers

Patrick Cantlay – Cantlay played this past week at Pebble Beach. His four most recent finishes at Riviera have been: T17th, T15th, and T4th (2020-2018), he did not play from 2014-2017 and missed the cut in 2013.

Joel Dahmen – Dahmen played at both Pebble and TPC Scottsdale. Dahmen has played at Riviera three times and has finished: T5th, MC, MC.

Talor Gooch – Gooch played at TPC Scottsdale two weeks ago. He has played Riviera twice finishing T10th last year and T20th in 2018.

Adam Hadwin – Hadwin played two weeks ago at TPC Scottsdale. Hadwin has played Riviera the last four years finishing: T26th, 75th, T6th, and T34th.

James Hahn – Hahn has played the last two weeks. His four most recent finishes at Riviera have been: T13th, T14th, T28th, and MC.

J.B Holmes – Holmes has played the last two weeks. His four most recent finishes at Riviera have been: T51st, 1st, T60th, and T34th.

Max Homa – Homa has played the last two weeks. He’s played the last two years at Riviera and finished T5th, and T37th. He also played in 2014 and 2015, where he missed the cut both years.

Sung Kang – Kang has played the last two weeks. His last four finishes at Riviera have been: T2nd, T64th, T16th, and T22nd.

Si Woo Kim – Kim has played the last two weeks. His last four finishes at Riviera have been: T37th, T3rd, MC, and MC.

Matt Kuchar – Kuchar played at TPC Scottsdale two weeks ago. His last four finishes at Riviera have been: T2nd, T28th, T26th, T22nd.

Matin Laird – Laird played at TPC Scottsdale two weeks ago. His last four finishes at Riviera have been: T43rd, MC, T9th, and T8th.

K.H. Lee – Lee played at TPC Scottsdale two weeks ago. He has played at Riviera twice finishing: T13th and T25th.

Luke List – List played two weeks ago at TPC Scottsdale. His last four finishes at Riviera have been: T30th, T15th, T26th, and MC.

Hideki Matsuyama – Matsuyama played two weeks ago at TPC Scottsdale. His last four finishes have been: T5th, T9th, MC, T11th. (He did not play in 2018).

Rory McIlroy – Rory played two weeks ago at TPC Scottsdale. His last four finishes at Riviera have been: T5th, T4th, T20th, and T20th. (He did not play in 2017).

Carlos Ortiz – Ortiz played two weeks ago at TPC Scottsdale. He has played at Riviera four times finishing: T26th, T9th, T26th, T20th. (He did not play in 2017 or 2018).

Jon Rahm – Rahm played two weeks ago at TPC Scottsdale. Rahm has played at Riviera finishing: T17th and T9th.

Chez Reavie – Reavie has played the last two weeks. His four most recent finishes at Riviera have been: T10th, MC, 73rd, and MC.

Patrick Rodgers – Rodgers has played the last two weeks. His four most recent finishes at Riviera have been: T30th, T15th, T26th, and T22nd.

Xander Schauffele – Xander played two weeks ago at TPC Scottsdale. He’s played at Riviera three times and finished: T23rd, T15th, T9th.

Jordan Spieth – Spieth has played the last two weeks. His four most recent finishes at Riviera have been: T59th, T51st, T9th, T22nd.

Justin Thomas – Thomas played two weeks ago at TPC Scottsdale. His last four finishes at Riviera have been: MC, T2nd, T9th, and T39th.

Michael Thompson – Thompson has played the last two weeks. His last four finishes at Riviera have been: MC, T7th, MC, and MC. (He did not play from 2016-2018).

Brendon Todd – Todd played two weeks ago at TPC Scottsdale. Todd’s last four finishes at Riviera have been: 56th, MC, 14th, and 35th. (He did not play from 2017-2019).

Cameron Tringale – Tringale has played the last two weeks. Tringale’s last four finishes at Riviera have been: T30th, MC, T8th, and T68th.

Harold Varner – Varner has played the last two weeks. Varner’s last four finishes at Riviera have been: T13th, MC, T60th, and MC.

Bubba Watson – Bubba played two weeks ago at TPC Scottsdale. His last four finishes at Riviera have been: MC, T15th, 1st, and WD.

Scott Stallings (Alternate) – Stallings has played the last two weeks. Stallings last four finishes at Riviera have been: MC, MC, 4th, and MC. (He did not play in 2017).

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